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Race 5Class 1 Handicap

BATHURST PLUMBING & GASFITTING CLASS 1 HANDICAP ($19K)

TBA AEDT1106m19,00014 runners
AI Best Bet
#2 BivaccoJ: Chad Lever
Bivacco gets the plum draw in barrier 2 and comes from the powerful Maher stable, which is always a significant factor. With Chad Lever in the saddle, this horse looks well-placed to improve on its career record and contend strongly in this class.
Excellent barrier drawStrong stable backing (Maher)Experienced jockey (Lever)Untapped potential in Class 1
Each-Way Value: Rubelin
78%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Class 1 Handicap over 1106m at Bathurst presents a challenging puzzle with many runners having limited career starts and inconsistent form. The wide barriers for some key contenders like Penciller and Tennessee Dolly will make their task harder, while those drawn inside, such as Invincible Salex and Bivacco, could get a more economical run. Trainer Brett Robb has multiple runners, and his stable form will be a factor.

AI Selections & Analysis (14 runners)

1
Bivacco
Barrier 2 · 132kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER8:1-1
Jockey:Chad Lever
Trainer:Ciaron Maher

Bivacco gets the plum draw in barrier 2 and comes from the powerful Maher stable, which is always a significant factor. With Chad Lever in the saddle, this horse looks well-placed to improve on its career record and contend strongly in this class.

Excellent barrier drawStrong stable backing (Maher)Experienced jockey (Lever)Untapped potential in Class 1
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
2
Invincible Salex
Barrier 1 · 127kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER5:1-0
Jockey:Jacob Stiff
Trainer:Kylie Kennedy

Invincible Salex draws the coveted rail position in barrier 1, which is a massive advantage at this track and distance. With a win to its credit, this horse can gain a soft run and be a major threat if it can hold its position and sprint well.

Prime barrier draw (1)Economical run expectedPrevious winPotential for improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
10
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
3
Penciller
Barrier 13 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER5:1-3
Jockey:Izzy Neale
Trainer:Brett Robb

Penciller boasts an impressive place strike rate, indicating consistency, but faces a tough challenge from barrier 13 over this short distance. While the trainer has multiple runners, the wide gate could force a difficult run, requiring a top-tier ride to overcome.

High place strike rateTough wide barrier (13)Consistent performerTrainer has multiple chances
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
4
Tennessee Dolly
Barrier 14 · 128kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER5:1-0
Jockey:Keagan Latham
Trainer:Richard Litt

Tennessee Dolly has shown capability with a win but has a zero-place record, suggesting an all-or-nothing style. The wide barrier 14 is a significant hurdle, and while Keagan Latham is a good jockey, it will take a strong effort to find a position.

Win potentialPoor place recordVery wide barrier (14)Capable jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
5
Rubelin
Barrier 4 · 121kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER3:1-0
Trainer:Brett Robb

Rubelin has the highest win strike rate in the field from only three starts, indicating potential. Drawing barrier 4 is a big plus, and coming from the Brett Robb stable, this horse could be ready to step up and perform strongly if fit.

High win strike rateExcellent barrier draw (4)Untapped potentialFrom in-form stable
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
6
Denman Deputy
Barrier 8 · 126kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER5:1-0
Jockey:Leeshelle Small
Trainer:Brett Robb

Denman Deputy is another runner from the Brett Robb stable, which is a positive, but its career record suggests it might be better suited to easier company or needs to show significant improvement. Barrier 8 is neutral, offering options but not a clear advantage.

From in-form stableNeutral barrier drawNeeds to lift formLimited career starts
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
7
Chappolicious
Barrier 7 · 123kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER7:1-1
Jockey:Winona Costin
Trainer:Mack Griffith

Chappolicious has a win to its name and a fair place record, but its overall strike rate is modest. Barrier 7 is acceptable, and with Winona Costin aboard, it could run into the money if the pace is genuine and it gets a clear run.

Acceptable barrierCapable jockey (Costin)Modest strike rateNeeds strong pace
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
8
Unsolved
Barrier 11 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER6:1-0
Jockey:Shaun Guymer
Trainer:Mack Griffith

Unsolved has a win but no places from six starts, making it an inconsistent proposition. Barrier 11 is a disadvantage, and it will need to improve significantly on its past performances to challenge for a top-three spot.

Inconsistent performerWide barrier (11)Needs to find moreLimited career starts
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
9
Stormy Swey
Barrier 10 · 122kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER6:1-0
Jockey:Matt Kirk
Trainer:Angus Stewart

Stormy Swey has a win but no places from six starts, suggesting inconsistency. Barrier 10 is tricky for this distance, and it will need a strong push from Matt Kirk to overcome the wide draw and be in contention.

Inconsistent formTricky barrier (10)Needs early speedLimited career starts
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
10
Cool Space
Barrier 5 · 122kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER13:1-1
Trainer:Michael Mulholland

Cool Space has had many starts for only one win and one place, indicating it struggles to find the line. While barrier 5 is good, its overall form suggests it will need a career-best performance to be competitive against this field.

Poor career strike rateGood barrier drawNeeds significant improvementLong-term maiden breaker
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
11
Roman Miss
Barrier 12 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER17:1-0
Jockey:Louise Day
Trainer:Alison Smith

Roman Miss has a very poor career record with only one win and no places from 17 starts. The wide barrier 12 further compounds its challenge, making it difficult to recommend this horse as a contender in this field.

Very poor career recordVery wide barrier (12)Struggles to placeOutclassed here
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
5
12
Russian Ember
Barrier 6 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER12:1-0
Jockey:Mikayla Weir
Trainer:Sharon Jeffries

Russian Ember has a very poor career strike rate, with only one win and no places from 12 starts. While barrier 6 is decent, its overall form suggests it will struggle to be competitive in this Class 1 event.

Very poor strike rateDecent barrier drawLacks consistent formFaces tougher competition
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
13
French Harp
Barrier 9 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER27:1-1
Trainer:Paul Theobald

French Harp has had a very extensive career with minimal success, indicating it is well below the required standard for this race. Despite a neutral barrier, its overall form and strike rate make it a significant outsider.

Extremely poor strike rateMany career starts without successOutclassed in this fieldNeeds a miracle
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
2
Distance Form
2
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
1
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
2
Weight Handicap
3
14
Just Joan
Barrier 3 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER21:1-2
Jockey:Jake Pracey-Holmes
Trainer:Toby Pracey

Just Joan has an extremely low win and place strike rate from a large number of starts, indicating it's a very limited galloper. Despite a good barrier draw, it's hard to see this horse featuring prominently in a Class 1 race.

Very poor career recordGood barrier draw (3)Struggles to winOutclassed here
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
2
Distance Form
2
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
2
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
4

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