Race 3Maiden Plate

LADBROKES BIG BETS COPY NOW MAIDEN PLATE ($23K)

TBA AEDT2414m23,00014 runners

AI Best Bet

#9 LillardJ: Lachlan King

Lillard has shown some glimpses of staying ability, and the rise in distance here looks to be exactly what she needs. With a strong jockey aboard and a trainer who excels with stayers, she appears to be the most promising candidate to break her maiden. Her recent form is better than it looks on paper, indicating she's ready for this challenge.

Suited by distance riseStrong stable/jockey combinationImproving with racing

Each-Way Value: Saltillo

78%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This 2414m Maiden Plate presents a challenging puzzle with many runners yet to show significant form over staying distances. The extended trip will be key, and horses with some prior experience at or near this distance, or those bred to stay, will hold an advantage. Expect a tactical race where stamina will be tested in the final stages.

AI Selections & Analysis (14 runners)

Lillard

Barrier 9 · 131kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER5:0-1

Jockey:Lachlan King

Trainer:Jason Warren

Suited by distance riseStrong stable/jockey combinationImproving with racing

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Saltillo

Barrier 6 · 131kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER4:0-0

Jockey:Jye Mcneil

Trainer:Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

Saltillo comes from a top stable and has been steadily improving, with his last start indicating he's looking for more ground. While he hasn't placed yet, the Hayes stable often gets maidens to break through when they step up in trip. With Jye McNeil in the saddle, he's a strong each-way prospect who could surprise.

Top stableJockey upgradeSearching for longer distance

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Guthrie

Barrier 4 · 131kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER3:0-0

Jockey:Craig Newitt

Trainer:Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

Guthrie is from a strong staying stable and has shown some minor improvement in his short career. The Busuttin & Young yard are adept at getting horses to perform over ground, and with Craig Newitt, he's certainly one to watch. This distance could unlock his potential, making him a contender in this field.

Strong staying stableWell-bred for distanceExperienced jockey

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Ateyate

Barrier 1 · 131kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER5:0-1

Jockey:Jett Stanley

Trainer:Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

Ateyate has placed once from five starts and comes from a stable that can produce stayers. The inside barrier is a plus, and with Jett Stanley's 2kg claim, he gets in light. If he can handle the significant step up in distance, he could be competitive for a place in this open maiden.

Inside barrier advantageApprentice claimStable can produce stayers

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Wizardess

Barrier 7 · 127kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER5:0-0

Jockey:Teo Nugent

Trainer:Jamie Edwards

Wizardess has shown glimpses of ability and the step up to 2414m could be beneficial for her. Teo Nugent is a capable rider who can get the best out of these types of horses. While her form doesn't jump off the page, she could be an improver at this distance and is worth considering for exotics.

Potential for distanceCapable jockeyCould improve sharply

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Clydebank Robber

Barrier 5 · 131kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER53:0-6

Jockey:Jason Maskiell

Trainer:Susie Wells

Clydebank Robber has a wealth of experience, but unfortunately, it's mostly in not winning, with 53 starts for no victories. While he has placed six times, his form doesn't suggest he's suddenly going to break through over this trip. He's a consistent trier but hard to back for the win.

Extensive maiden careerConsistent placegetterExperience over distance

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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I'mnodrummerboy

Barrier 11 · 131kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER3:0-0

Jockey:Damien Thornton

Trainer:Mitchell Freedman

I'mnodrummerboy is lightly raced but hasn't shown much in his three starts to date. The significant jump to 2414m is a query, though Mitchell Freedman is a good trainer. He would need to show massive improvement to be a factor here, making him a roughie at best.

Lightly racedSignificant distance queryTop jockey booking

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Charlie Messy Hair

Barrier 12 · 131kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER13:0-1

Jockey:Billy Egan

Trainer:Jessica Pateman

Charlie Messy Hair has had many starts without a win and a wide barrier draw won't help his chances over this staying trip. While Billy Egan is a strong jockey, the horse's overall form suggests he's unlikely to break through here. He's a long shot who would need everything to go his way.

Poor career strike rateWide barrier drawNeeds significant improvement

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Startling Moon

Barrier 8 · 131kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER2:0-0

Jockey:Melea Castle

Trainer:Pat Carey & Harris Walker

Startling Moon is very inexperienced with only two starts, and the jump to 2414m is a massive ask. While the stable can produce stayers, this horse is still very green and likely needs more time and experience. She's a definite outsider in this field.

Very inexperiencedMassive distance jumpNeeds more time

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Exceed And Believe

Barrier 3 · 131kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER3:0-0

Jockey:Ben Kennedy

Trainer:Carly Thomas

Exceed And Believe is lightly raced but has shown nothing to suggest he's ready for a 2414m maiden. His form is poor, and this distance could be a bridge too far at this stage of his career. He's a definite outsider and hard to recommend.

Poor career formSignificant distance queryNeeds to improve sharply

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Whatta Man

Barrier 1 · 131kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER7:0-0

Jockey:Luke Cartwright

Trainer:Adele Garraway

Whatta Man has had seven starts without showing any competitive form, and the step up to 2414m is a significant challenge. While he has an inside barrier, his overall career record suggests he's not likely to be a factor here. He's a definite outsider.

Poor career formSignificant distance queryNeeds to improve dramatically

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Janey Bopper

Barrier 2 · 127kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER7:0-0

Trainer:Andrew Bobbin

Janey Bopper has seven starts under her belt with no placings and her form is not inspiring. The 2414m trip is a significant step up and she would need to show vast improvement to be competitive. She's a clear outsider in this field.

Poor career formSignificant distance queryNo jockey listed

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Dempsey

Barrier 12 · 131kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER6:0-0

Trainer:Ernie Francese

Dempsey has yet to show any form in six career starts and is stepping up to a very testing distance. With no jockey listed, it's hard to have any confidence in his chances. He's a definite outsider and would need a miracle to figure in the finish.

Poor career formSignificant distance queryNo jockey listed

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Zinovation

Barrier 10 · 131kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER0:0-0

Jockey:Zac Spain

Zinovation is a first-starter in a 2414m maiden, which is an incredibly rare and challenging debut. With no prior form, no trainer listed, and no jockey, it's impossible to assess his chances. He's a complete unknown and the biggest outsider in the race.

First start over 2414mNo career formNo trainer or jockey listed

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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