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Race 2Maiden Plate

NAR NAR GOON HOTEL MAIDEN PLATE ($23K)

TBA AEDT1207m23,00013 runners
AI Best Bet
#3 Dun GracefullyJ: Caitlin Hollowood
Dun Gracefully stands out with the best place record in the field, hitting the board in two of three starts. Drawing favourably in barrier 3 and having a trainer with a good strike rate in maidens, this filly looks primed to break her duck here.
Strong place record (67%)Favourable barrier drawGood trainer formProven at the distance
Each-Way Value: Unapproachable
85%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Maiden Plate over 1207m features a mix of newcomers and horses yet to break through. With several runners showing some promise and others making their debut, it's a race where experience and a strong jockey-trainer combination could prove decisive. The wide-open nature suggests value can be found, particularly for those with solid recent form or strong connections.

AI Selections & Analysis (13 runners)

1
Dun Gracefully
Barrier 3 · 127kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER3:0-2
Jockey:Caitlin Hollowood
Trainer:Catherine Martindale

Dun Gracefully stands out with the best place record in the field, hitting the board in two of three starts. Drawing favourably in barrier 3 and having a trainer with a good strike rate in maidens, this filly looks primed to break her duck here.

Strong place record (67%)Favourable barrier drawGood trainer formProven at the distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
2
Anglesea
Barrier 8 · 131kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER2:0-0
Jockey:Damien Thornton
Trainer:Anthony & Sam Freedman

From the astute Freedman stable, Anglesea showed improvement in her second start and is expected to take another step forward. With Damien Thornton aboard and a decent barrier, she has the upside to be highly competitive in this maiden.

Top stable connectionsExperienced jockeyExpected improvementDecent barrier draw
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
3
Blue Rhapsody
Barrier 7 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER2:0-0
Jockey:Jye Mcneil
Trainer:Lindsey Smith

Lindsey Smith and Jye McNeil are a formidable combination, and while Blue Rhapsody's form doesn't jump off the page, the stable often improves horses significantly. With a top jockey and an inside-mid barrier, expect a much-improved performance.

Elite jockey engagementStrong trainer influenceScope for improvementInside-mid barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
4
Unapproachable
Barrier 10 · 127kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER3:0-1
Jockey:Patrick Moloney
Trainer:Enver Jusufovic

Unapproachable has shown glimpses of ability, placing once from three starts, and comes from a stable that can get them ready. With Patrick Moloney in the saddle, who is in good form, this horse could surprise at value odds if they get a good run from the wider gate.

Solid place performanceIn-form jockeyTrainer capable of improvementCompetitive class
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
5
Analytical
Barrier 2 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER8:0-1
Jockey:Jake Noonan
Trainer:Reece Goodwin

Analytical has had plenty of chances but does have a place to her name and has shown some consistency without winning. Barrier 2 is a huge plus for her, potentially allowing her to settle closer and conserve energy for a strong finish.

Favourable inside barrierExperienced in maidensSome prior placing formConsistent performer
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
6
Watch The Fort
Barrier 4 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER3:0-0
Jockey:Billy Egan
Trainer:Vincent Hall

Watch The Fort has had three starts without placing but has shown some improvement in each outing. With Billy Egan taking the ride from a good barrier, there's potential for a forward showing if he can put it all together here.

Good barrier drawExperienced jockeyPotential for improvementSuitable distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
7
7
More Brazen
Barrier 1 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER1:0-0
Jockey:Koby Jennings
Trainer:Peter Haythorpe

More Brazen had a quiet debut but draws the coveted rail barrier, which could be a significant advantage over 1207m. With Koby Jennings aboard, he could show sharp improvement second-up, especially if able to dictate terms from the front.

Prime barrier 1 drawSecond-up improvementCapable jockeyUntapped potential
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
10
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
7
8
You Said What
Barrier 12 · 127kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER6:0-1
Jockey:Lachlan King
Trainer:Claire Patterson

You Said What has had several starts with one minor placing, indicating some ability but lacking a winning punch. Drawing a wide barrier makes it tough, but a strong ride from Lachlan King could see her run into a minor placing if things fall her way.

Some prior placing formExperienced in maidensCapable jockeyWide barrier challenge
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
7
9
Gold Nugget
Barrier 5 · 127kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER6:0-0
Jockey:Adam Mccabe
Trainer:Sharyn Trolove

Gold Nugget has had six starts without placing, suggesting he's still a work in progress. While the barrier is good and Adam McCabe is a solid jockey, he needs to show significant improvement to be a factor in this field.

Good barrier positionExperienced jockeyNeeds significant improvementYet to place
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
7
10
Karumba Girl
Barrier 9 · 127kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER3:0-0
Jockey:Jackie Beriman
Trainer:Dale Short

Karumba Girl has been unplaced in three starts and faces a competitive maiden field here. While Jackie Beriman is a strong rider, a wide barrier and lack of recent form make this a tough assignment for her.

Experienced jockeyWide barrier drawNeeds to improve sharplyUnplaced career record
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
7
11
Zouzenna
Barrier 6 · 127kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER5:0-0
Jockey:Sheridan Clarke
Trainer:Aleks Komarovs

Zouzenna has had five starts without placing and appears to be struggling to find form. While the barrier is reasonable, she needs to show a drastic improvement to be competitive against some of the more promising runners in this race.

Reasonable barrierNeeds significant improvementUnplaced career recordLower jockey experience
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
7
12
Final Command
Barrier 11 · 131kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Ben Kennedy
Trainer:Alexander Rae

Final Command is a first-starter facing a wide barrier and has no form to go on. While some debutants can surprise, the wide gate and lack of experience make this a very challenging task against horses with race fitness and some form.

Debut runWide barrier drawNo prior formUnknown potential
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
1
Distance Form
1
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
7
13
Maharani Miss
Barrier 13 · 127kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER1:0-0
Jockey:Jason Maskiell
Trainer:Susie Wells

Maharani Miss had a poor debut and draws the widest barrier, making her task incredibly difficult. She would need to show massive improvement and overcome the gate to be a factor in this race.

Poor debut performanceExtremely wide barrierNeeds significant improvementLimited experience
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
7

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