Race 3Class 2 Handicap

IPSWICH PARTY HIRE CLASS 2 HANDICAP ($27K)

TBA AEDT1207m27,00017 runners

AI Best Bet

#6 AllezeJ: Jake Bayliss

Undefeated in two starts, Alleze steps into Class 2 with significant upside. The Matt Dunn stable is flying, and a good barrier draw enhances her chances to maintain her perfect record against this field.

Undefeated recordProgressive typeStrong stable formFavourable barrier

Each-Way Value: Iced Chocolate

88%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This Class 2 Handicap over 1207m at Ipswich presents a fascinating challenge with several progressive types and some well-placed runners. The wide barriers for some key contenders could make for an interesting tactical race, while those drawn well with good early speed will be advantaged. Trainer Chris Waller and Matthew Dunn have strong chances, as does the Kris Lees-trained Fasvara.

AI Selections & Analysis (17 runners)

Alleze

Barrier 6 · 128kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER2:2-0

Jockey:Jake Bayliss

Trainer:Matthew Dunn

Undefeated recordProgressive typeStrong stable formFavourable barrier

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Fasvara

Barrier 2 · 129kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER4:2-0

Jockey:Benjamin Osmond

Trainer:Kris Lees

Kris Lees brings this talented mare south, who boasts two wins from four starts. The inside barrier is a huge plus, and with a strong win percentage, she's a major threat if she handles the new track.

Excellent win rateInside barrier advantageStrong interstate trainerLightly raced with upside

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Canpikapony

Barrier 3 · 127kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER10:2-0

Jockey:Ryan Maloney

Trainer:Chris Waller

From the formidable Chris Waller yard, Canpikapony has a solid win record and a good gate. If Maloney can get her into a rhythm, she has the class to be highly competitive in this event.

Chris Waller trainedGood barrier drawExperienced jockeySolid career record

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Rewrite

Barrier 4 · 129kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER5:1-2

Jockey:Jace Mcmurray

Trainer:Michael Freedman

Rewrite has a strong place percentage and is trained by Michael Freedman, suggesting improvement is likely. A favourable barrier draw means she won't be doing too much work early and can finish strongly.

High place percentageGood barrierPromising trainerLightly raced

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Bold Bidder

Barrier 5 · 129kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER12:2-1

Jockey:Daniel Moor

Trainer:Desleigh Forster

Desleigh Forster's runners are always to be respected, and Bold Bidder has a decent win strike rate. With Daniel Moor in the saddle and a middle barrier, he should get a comfortable run and be a factor late.

Respected trainerExperienced jockeyMid-range barrierSolid win rate

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Iced Chocolate

Barrier 8 · 123kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER13:1-6

Jockey:Michael Rodd

Trainer:David Vandyke

While only a one-time winner, Iced Chocolate has an excellent place record, suggesting consistency. With Michael Rodd aboard and a good barrier for David Vandyke, she presents as a strong each-way chance.

High place percentageExperienced jockeyGood barrier drawConsistent performer

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Ellibaby

Barrier 12 · 130kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER8:2-2

Trainer:David Vandyke

Ellibaby has a good win and place strike rate but faces a wide barrier. If she can overcome the draw, her form suggests she has the ability to be in the finish, especially for the Vandyke stable.

Good win/place recordDavid Vandyke trainedWide barrier concern

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Esprit Du Jour

Barrier 17 · 126kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER13:2-6

Jockey:Ben Thompson

Trainer:Tony Gollan

Tony Gollan-trained runners always warrant respect, and Esprit Du Jour has a high place percentage. However, the very wide barrier is a significant hurdle to overcome in this competitive field.

Tony Gollan trainedHigh place percentageVery wide barrierExperienced jockey

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Wiliamtheconqueror

Barrier 9 · 129kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER6:1-2

Jockey:Boris Thornton

Trainer:Brian Smith

Wiliamtheconqueror has a 50% place rate from limited starts, showing some promise. The middle barrier is acceptable, and with Boris Thornton, he could be a surprise package if he's improved.

Decent place recordAcceptable barrierDeveloping horse

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Cherrabah

Barrier 7 · 121kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER5:1-0

Jockey:Damien Boche

Trainer:Barry Lockwood & Emma-Jane Vincent

Cherrabah has only had five starts, with one win, indicating some ability. The barrier is good, but she will need to show significant improvement to challenge the more seasoned and higher-rated runners here.

Good barrierLightly racedNeeds to step up

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Bellove

Barrier 13 · 125kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER9:2-0

Jockey:Mark Du Plessis

Trainer:Taylah Mackinnon

Bellove has two wins but a low place percentage, suggesting inconsistency. The wide barrier makes her task even harder, and she'll need a career-best performance to figure in the placings.

Inconsistent formWide barrier drawNeeds improvement

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Midori Mover

Barrier 11 · 125kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER16:2-3

Trainer:David Vandyke

Midori Mover is another from the Vandyke stable but has a lower win and place strike rate than stablemates. The wide barrier and lack of recent form make this a tough assignment.

Wide barrierInconsistent recordNeeds to find form

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Summit

Barrier 10 · 123kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER10:1-1

Jockey:Kyle Wilson-Taylor

Trainer:Chris Waller

From the Waller stable, Summit has a low win and place rate, suggesting she's still finding her feet. The wide barrier is a disadvantage, and she'd need to show significant improvement to be competitive.

Low win/place rateWide barrierNeeds to improve significantly

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Galpin

Barrier 15 · 127kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER11:2-1

Jockey:Fred Larson

Trainer:Phil Bobic

Galpin has a modest record and is drawn in a very wide gate, making her task exceedingly difficult. She will need a lot of luck and a fast pace to get into contention from out there.

Very wide barrierModest career recordTough assignment

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Breezin'

Barrier 16 · 129kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER16:2-4

Jockey:Jaden Lloyd

Trainer:Darren Bell

Breezin' has a low win percentage and is saddled with the widest barrier of all. This will make it extremely challenging for her to get a favourable run and impact the finish.

Widest barrierLow win percentageNeeds significant improvement

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Boom Court

Barrier 14 · 120kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER27:1-6

Trainer:Kim Loy

Boom Court has a very low win rate from many starts and a wide barrier. It's hard to make a case for him against this field, and he's likely to struggle.

Low win rateWide barrierLong career without much success

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Coincide

Barrier 1 · 121kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER32:2-3

Trainer:Brian Gentle

With a very low win percentage from 32 starts, Coincide is struggling to find form. While the inside barrier is a plus, it's unlikely to be enough to overcome his overall career record against this caliber of opposition.

Very low win ratePoor career recordNeeds significant turnaround

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