Race 8Handicap

LADBROKES BM70 HANDICAP ($29K)

TBA AEDT1408m29,00016 runners

AI Best Bet

#1 Street LarkJ: Luke Nolen

Street Lark is the clear best bet here, coming off a strong win and well-drawn in barrier 1. With Luke Nolen aboard and a top stable, she ticks all the boxes for a dominant performance in this grade.

Excellent recent formIdeal barrier 1Strong jockey/trainer combinationProven at distance

Each-Way Value: Mr Butt's Boats

88%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This BM70 Handicap over 1408m presents a competitive field with several in-form runners and some intriguing class drops. The wide barriers for some key contenders could make for an interesting tactical battle, while those drawn well will look to capitalize on their advantage.

AI Selections & Analysis (16 runners)

Street Lark

Barrier 1 · 121kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER8:2-1

Jockey:Luke Nolen

Trainer:Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

Street Lark is the clear best bet here, coming off a strong win and well-drawn in barrier 1. With Luke Nolen aboard and a top stable, she ticks all the boxes for a dominant performance in this grade.

Excellent recent formIdeal barrier 1Strong jockey/trainer combinationProven at distance

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Dramaticus

Barrier 5 · 131kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER18:4-2

Jockey:John Allen

Trainer:Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

Dramaticus has been racing consistently and gets John Allen in the saddle from a good draw. This horse is well-suited to the distance and class, making him a major threat to the favourite.

Consistent recent formJohn Allen aboardFavourable barrier 5Good distance record

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Epimeles

Barrier 13 · 132kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER6:2-0

Jockey:Craig Williams

Trainer:Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

Epimeles has a high win strike rate from limited starts and brings Craig Williams to the saddle. Despite a wide draw, the potential for improvement and class makes him a strong contender if he handles the traffic.

High win strike rateCraig Williams bookingProgressive profileStrong stable

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Yam

Barrier 2 · 136kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER31:7-8

Jockey:Cassidy Hill

Trainer:Craig Weeding

Yam boasts an excellent place strike rate and is drawn perfectly in barrier 2, suggesting a good run in transit. If the pace is right, this horse could be flashing home late and offers good value.

Excellent place strike rateIdeal barrier 2Consistent performerSuited to distance

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Mr Butt's Boats

Barrier 4 · 126kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER7:2-1

Jockey:Harry Coffey

Trainer:Nigel Blackiston

Mr Butt's Boats is lightly raced with a good win and place record, and draws a favourable barrier 4. With Harry Coffey aboard, this horse looks like a promising each-way prospect with scope for further improvement.

Good career strike rateFavourable barrier 4Harry Coffey bookingLightly raced with upside

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Nearing Liberty

Barrier 6 · 133kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER17:3-3

Jockey:Jett Stanley

Trainer:Matthew Brown

Nearing Liberty has a respectable career record and is drawn well in barrier 6, which should allow for a clean run. While not a standout, the horse's consistency and barrier make it a solid each-way chance in this field.

Consistent career formGood barrier 6Suited to handicap conditionsSolid stable

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Dark Simba

Barrier 15 · 131kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER13:3-3

Jockey:Luke Currie

Trainer:Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

Dark Simba has a decent place strike rate and Luke Currie is a positive booking, but the wide barrier 15 is a significant concern. If Currie can navigate a path without expending too much energy, this horse could surprise.

Good place strike rateLuke Currie aboardStrong stableWide barrier a concern

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Place Of Gold

Barrier 10 · 137kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER30:6-5

Trainer:Cliff Brown

Place Of Gold has a good win rate and significant prizemoney, indicating quality, but the wide barrier 10 is a challenge. If the horse can overcome the draw, its class could see it in the mix.

Good career win rateHigh prizemoney earnerExperienced campaignerWide barrier

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Barrier Draw

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Preferential

Barrier 9 · 133kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER23:5-4

Jockey:Daniel Stackhouse

Trainer:Amber Hendry

Preferential has a solid win and place record, and Daniel Stackhouse is a capable rider, but barrier 9 isn't ideal. The horse needs to find its best form to compete with the top chances here.

Solid career formDaniel Stackhouse bookingSuited to distanceAverage barrier

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Nation State

Barrier 14 · 136kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER25:6-1

Jockey:Beau Mertens

Trainer:John Moloney

Nation State has a good win rate but faces a tough task from barrier 14, which will require a brilliant ride from Beau Mertens. While capable on its day, the wide draw significantly reduces its chances.

Good career win rateBeau Mertens aboardVery wide barrier 14Needs luck in running

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Lethal Thoughts

Barrier 8 · 134kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER41:5-5

Jockey:Zac Moore

Trainer:Ciaron Maher

Lethal Thoughts comes from a top stable but has a modest win rate and is drawn in barrier 8. While the stable can improve horses, the overall form and draw suggest this horse is more of a roughie.

Top stable (Ciaron Maher)Modest win rateAverage barrier 8Needs to lift

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Barrier Draw

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Chartres

Barrier 7 · 136kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER52:7-1

Jockey:Emily Pozman

Trainer:Matt Laurie

Chartres has a lot of starts and a low place strike rate, indicating a preference for winning rather than placing, but overall form is a concern. While capable on its day, the horse needs to find significant improvement to feature here.

Extensive career startsLow place strike rateNeeds to improve formAverage barrier 7

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Blakmax

Barrier 11 · 126kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER45:6-7

Jockey:Craig Newitt

Trainer:Shawn Mathrick

Blakmax is an experienced campaigner but has a low win and place strike rate, and barrier 11 is not ideal. This horse would need a lot of luck and a significant step up in form to be competitive.

Experienced runnerLow career strike ratesWide barrier 11Needs significant improvement

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Swift Circle

Barrier 12 · 125kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER13:2-3

Jockey:Mitchell Aitken

Trainer:Anthony Chibnall

Swift Circle has a modest win rate and a very wide barrier 12, making its task extremely difficult. While the place rate is okay, it's hard to see this horse challenging for a win from such a draw.

Modest win rateVery wide barrier 12Needs luck in runningTough assignment

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Manifest The Milli

Barrier 3 · 121kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER11:1-3

Jockey:Ryan Houston

Trainer:Danny O'brien

Manifest The Milli has a very low win rate and while drawn well in barrier 3, the overall form suggests this horse is outclassed here. It would be a major upset if this runner featured.

Very low win rateGood barrier 3Outclassed in this fieldNeeds a career best

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Owl Witness

Barrier 16 · 119kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER55:6-2

Jockey:Alana Kelly

Trainer:Con Kelly

Owl Witness is a veteran with a very low win and place strike rate, and the widest barrier 16 makes its chances negligible. This horse is likely to struggle against this calibre of opposition.

Very low career strike ratesWidest barrier 16Veteran runnerSignificantly outclassed

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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