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Race 10Class 3 Handicap

SPRITELY SENIORS SPRINT COUNTRY BOOSTED CLASS 3 HANDICAP ($21K)

TBA AEDT1006m21,00019 runners
AI Best Bet
#8 Dance Gavin Dance
Dance Gavin Dance boasts an exceptional 50% win rate from only four starts, indicating significant talent. Despite the step up in class, his dominant performances suggest he's capable. A middle barrier and a fresh start make him the one to beat.
High career win percentage (50%)Untapped potentialMiddle barrier (8)Resuming from a spell, fresh
Each-Way Value: Inlanda
85%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Country Boosted Class 3 Handicap over 1006m presents a wide-open affair with several horses resuming from spells and others looking to find form. The large field and short distance suggest a fast-paced race where barrier draw and early speed will be crucial. Many runners are stepping up in class or have inconsistent form, making it a challenging race to predict.

AI Selections & Analysis (19 runners)

1
Dance Gavin Dance
Barrier 8 · 127kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER4:2-0
Trainer:Owen Glue

Dance Gavin Dance boasts an exceptional 50% win rate from only four starts, indicating significant talent. Despite the step up in class, his dominant performances suggest he's capable. A middle barrier and a fresh start make him the one to beat.

High career win percentage (50%)Untapped potentialMiddle barrier (8)Resuming from a spell, fresh
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
8
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
2
Inlanda
Barrier 4 · 126kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER13:3-2
Jockey:Jett Newman
Trainer:Sally Taylor

Inlanda has a solid win rate and has shown good form in previous campaigns. Drawing barrier 4 is a huge advantage over this short course, allowing for a good run. If fit, she represents excellent each-way value and could be right in the finish.

Good career win rateFavourable barrier (4)Proven over sprint distancesPotential for sharp return
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
3
Gaylord
Barrier 10 · 133kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER11:2-4
Jockey:Jake Bayliss
Trainer:Matthew Dunn

Gaylord comes from a strong stable and has a decent win and place record, suggesting he has ability. Jockey Jake Bayliss is a positive, and a middle barrier draw gives him options. If he's fit after a break, he's a strong contender in this field.

Strong stable (Matthew Dunn)Good career strike rateExperienced jockey (Jake Bayliss)Middle barrier draw
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
6
4
West Germany
Barrier 3 · 121kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER16:3-0
Jockey:Poppie Gorton
Trainer:Lisa Sheppard

West Germany has a solid win rate, but notably, zero career placings, meaning he either wins or runs out of the money. Barrier 3 is excellent for a sprint, and if he can find the front, he could be hard to catch. A definite contender if he brings his A-game.

Good win rate (19%)Excellent inside barrier (3)All-or-nothing runner (no placings)Potential to lead all the way
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
5
Prestige Pak
Barrier 6 · 126kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER8:2-1
Jockey:Luke Rolls
Trainer:Jordan Lee

Prestige Pak has a respectable win rate and is still relatively lightly raced, suggesting there's more to come. Barrier 6 is ideal, and Luke Rolls is a capable jockey. If he's improved during his break, he could be a strong challenger here.

Good win percentage (25%)Ideal barrier (6)Capable jockey (Luke Rolls)Potential for improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
6
Bondi Prophet
Barrier 2 · 121kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER24:3-5
Trainer:Robert Agnew

Bondi Prophet has a decent win rate and draws barrier 2, which is another excellent gate for a sprint. If he can jump well and settle close to the speed, he could be a factor in the finish. His form suggests he's capable on his day.

Good inside barrier (2)Decent career strike rateCapable of running a strong raceNeeds to be sharp first-up
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
7
Rentessis
Barrier 5 · 128kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER3:1-1
Jockey:Raymond Spokes
Trainer:Brett Bellamy

Rentessis has a short but impressive career record with a high win and place percentage. While still lightly raced, the inside draw and stable form are positives. The step up in class is the main query, but he could surprise if he handles it.

High win/place percentageInside barrier (5)Lightly raced with upsideTrainer Brett Bellamy
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
9
Back On De Quo
Barrier 16 · 125kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER13:3-1
Jockey:Archie Mccolm
Trainer:Stephen Lee

Back On De Quo has a fair win rate but a low place percentage, indicating inconsistency. The wide barrier 16 is a concern over 1006m, making it tough to get across and find a position. He will need a lot of luck to feature.

Inconsistent place recordVery wide barrier (16)Needs to improve on past formResuming from a break
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
10
The Lupercal
Barrier 9 · 125kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER26:3-4
Jockey:Justin P Stanley
Trainer:David Campbell

The Lupercal has a modest win rate and a low place percentage, suggesting he's a battler who rarely finds the frame. While barrier 9 is acceptable, he'll need to show significant improvement on his career statistics to be a factor here.

Modest career recordLow place percentageNeeds to lift considerablyMiddle barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
4
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
11
Prince Rupert
Barrier 15 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER21:2-2
Trainer:Robert Agnew

Prince Rupert has a low win and place percentage and struggles for consistency. Drawing barrier 15 is a major hurdle over this short distance, making it difficult to get into a winning position. He'll need a career-best run to feature.

Low career strike rateVery wide barrier (15)Inconsistent formNeeds significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
4
12
Powder Man
Barrier 18 · 137kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER19:3-8
Trainer:Donna Grisedale

Powder Man has a high place percentage but is resuming from a spell and draws the widest gate, which is a significant disadvantage over 1006m. While capable on his day, the wide barrier and lack of recent form make him a risky prospect here.

Wide barrier draw (18)Resuming from a spellGood career place recordNeeds luck from wide gate
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
1
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
13
Secret Statement
Barrier 11 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER15:2-0
Jockey:Damien Boche
Trainer:Amy Usher

Secret Statement has a low win and place percentage, indicating a lack of consistent performance. While she has two wins, her overall record is not inspiring. Barrier 11 is not ideal, and she'll need a big jump in form to be competitive.

Low career strike rateInconsistent formNeeds to find best formMiddle-wide barrier (11)
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
4
14
Critical Time
Barrier 7 · 125kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER39:3-8
Jockey:Grady Spokes
Trainer:Scott Henley

Critical Time is a seasoned campaigner but has a very low win and place percentage, suggesting he's past his best. While he draws a decent gate, his overall form indicates he'll struggle to compete against younger, more progressive types in this field.

Low career strike rateVeteran runnerStruggles for consistencyFacing younger talent
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
14
Time And Rhythm
Barrier 1 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER23:1-3
Trainer:Brett Bellamy

Critical Time is a seasoned campaigner but has a very low win and place percentage, suggesting he's past his best. While he draws a decent gate, his overall form indicates he'll struggle to compete against younger, more progressive types in this field.

Low career strike rateVeteran runnerStruggles for consistencyFacing younger talent
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
15
Kemal
Barrier 12 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER11:1-1
Jockey:Stephen Cummins
Trainer:Daniel Wheeler

Kemal has a poor career record with only one win and one placing from 11 starts. His overall form suggests he's not up to this class, and a middle-to-wide barrier doesn't help. He's likely to be outclassed here.

Poor career strike rateLow place percentageNeeds to improve significantlyMiddle-wide barrier (12)
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
4
16
Boambee Beach
Barrier 14 · 127kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER42:3-12
Jockey:Karl Zechner
Trainer:Brett Bellamy

Boambee Beach is a veteran with a low win percentage and struggles to place consistently. While he has experience, his overall record suggests he'll find this too tough. The wide barrier further diminishes his chances.

Low career win percentageWide barrier draw (14)Inconsistent formVeteran runner
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
17
Picupstixx
Barrier 13 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER18:1-3
Trainer:Wayne Lawson

Picupstixx has a very poor career record with only one win from 18 starts. Her form suggests she is well out of her depth in this class. The wide barrier 13 further compounds her difficulties, making her an unlikely contender.

Very low career strike rateInconsistent formWide barrier (13)Needs significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
4
18
Personal Space
Barrier 17 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER28:3-1
Jockey:Andrew Gibbons
Trainer:Cathleen Rode

Personal Space has a very low win and place percentage from a large number of starts, indicating limited ability. Drawing barrier 17 is a severe disadvantage over this distance, making it almost impossible for her to contend. An outsider at best.

Very low career strike rateExtremely wide barrier (17)Struggles to placeNeeds significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
1
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
4
19
Barron
Barrier 19 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER44:1-7
Trainer:Sharon Pepper

Barron has an abysmal career record with only one win from 44 starts and a very low place percentage. Drawing barrier 19 makes his task virtually impossible. He is a rank outsider with no realistic chance.

Extremely low career strike rateWidest barrier (19)Long-term maiden formNo realistic chance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
1
Track Form
2
Distance Form
2
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
2
Jockey Form
2
Trainer Form
2
Weight Handicap
3

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