Race 5Class 1 Handicap

CARLTON DRY COUNTRY BOOSTED CLASS 1 HANDICAP ($21K)

TBA AEDT1408m21,00014 runners

AI Best Bet

#2 SinatraJ: Jake Bayliss

Sinatra has a strong win and place record from limited starts, showing good potential. The inside barrier is a significant advantage over this distance, and with Jake Bayliss aboard for the in-form Matthew Dunn stable, all signs point to a dominant performance in this class.

Strong career strike rateExcellent barrier draw (2)In-form trainer/jockey combinationSuitable class progression

Each-Way Value: Archie Maximus

88%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This Class 1 Handicap over 1408m appears to be a competitive affair with several runners having recent maiden wins and looking to step up. The Matthew Dunn stable has two strong contenders, Sinatra and Archie Maximus, both drawn well. High Voltage from the Snowden yard also looks promising with a strong win rate from limited starts. The wide draw for some key contenders could play a significant role.

AI Selections & Analysis (14 runners)

Sinatra

Barrier 2 · 131kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER4:1-1

Jockey:Jake Bayliss

Trainer:Matthew Dunn

Strong career strike rateExcellent barrier draw (2)In-form trainer/jockey combinationSuitable class progression

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Archie Maximus

Barrier 1 · 130kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER7:1-2

Jockey:Jett Newman

Trainer:Matthew Dunn

Another strong contender from the Matthew Dunn stable, Archie Maximus boasts a good place record and an ideal inside barrier. While his win rate is lower than Sinatra, the stable's form and Jett Newman's riding make him a serious threat, especially with a likely economical run.

Ideal barrier draw (1)Consistent placegetterIn-form stableGood distance credentials

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High Voltage

Barrier 13 · 123kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER2:1-0

Jockey:Andrew Gibbons

Trainer:Paul Snowden

High Voltage has an impressive 50% win rate from just two starts, indicating significant upside. Despite a wide barrier, the Paul Snowden stable and Andrew Gibbons are a formidable combination, suggesting this horse has the talent to overcome the draw and be highly competitive.

High win strike rate (50%)Promising lightly raced horseTop stable and jockeyStepping up in class with confidence

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Beearetee

Barrier 5 · 122kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER14:1-2

Jockey:Noriyuki Masuda

Trainer:Shane Everson

Beearetee has shown glimpses of ability and gets a favourable barrier draw (5) which should allow for a good run. While consistency has been an issue, a solid performance is possible if he can produce his best, making him a potential each-way play in this field.

Favourable barrier drawSolid place recordCapable on best form

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Permission Denied

Barrier 12 · 125kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER4:1-0

Jockey:Poppie Gorton

Trainer:Wayne Lawson

Permission Denied has a maiden win from four starts but faces a challenging wide barrier (12) which will require a smart ride. The horse has shown enough to be competitive in this class, but the draw is a significant hurdle to overcome.

Recent maiden winnerChallenging wide barrierUntapped potential

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Australasia

Barrier 3 · 126kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER17:1-4

Jockey:Kirk Matheson

Trainer:Daniel Bowen

Australasia has a good barrier (3) and a decent place record, but his win rate is low for a horse with 17 starts. He could run into the placings with a clean run, but a win seems less likely against more progressive types.

Good barrier drawConsistent placegetterLow win strike rate

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King Soleil

Barrier 4 · 121kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER18:1-3

Trainer:Craig Ruttley

King Soleil benefits from a good barrier (4) and has a reasonable number of starts to his name. While his win rate is low, the inside draw could see him get a soft run and potentially sneak into the minor placings if others falter.

Favourable barrier drawExperienced campaignerNeeds to improve win rate

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Our Sparky

Barrier 6 · 121kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER20:1-5

Jockey:Bailie Baker

Trainer:Owen Glue

Our Sparky has a decent place record from many starts but a very low win rate. The barrier (6) is acceptable, but he will need to find significant improvement to challenge the top contenders for a win, likely struggling to get into the money.

Consistent placegetterLow win strike rateNeeds career best form

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Steel Rain

Barrier 7 · 122kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER19:1-3

Jockey:Jon Grisedale

Trainer:Donna Grisedale

Steel Rain has a very low win rate from numerous starts and while the barrier (7) is neutral, he appears to be outclassed by several more progressive runners. A place would be a good result for this horse, but a win seems highly improbable.

Very low win strike rateWell-exposed formNeeds significant improvement

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Shine Like It Does

Barrier 10 · 123kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER18:1-3

Jockey:Luke Rolls

Trainer:John Shelton

Shine Like It Does has a poor win rate from 18 starts and a wide barrier (10) which will make it tough. While Luke Rolls is a capable jockey, the horse's overall form suggests he will struggle to be competitive in this field.

Low win strike rateWide barrier drawNeeds to improve significantly

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Graceful Warrior

Barrier 11 · 121kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER8:1-0

Jockey:Jason Taylor

Trainer:Andrew Parramore

Graceful Warrior has a very low place strike rate and a wide barrier (11) to contend with. While she has a maiden win, she will need to show substantial improvement to feature against this opposition, making her a long shot.

Low place strike rateWide barrier drawOutclassed on paper

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Tara Koda

Barrier 14 · 121kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER13:1-2

Jockey:Justin P Stanley

Trainer:John Shelton

Tara Koda has a wide barrier (14) and a modest career record, making her task very difficult in this competitive field. She would need a lot of luck and a significant step up in form to be a factor.

Very wide barrierModest career recordNeeds to improve dramatically

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Cool Az Aletta

Barrier 9 · 121kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER11:1-0

Jockey:Madeline Owen

Trainer:Tony Ball

Cool Az Aletta has a very poor place record and a wide barrier (9), severely limiting her chances. She has shown little to suggest she can compete at this level, making her one of the outsiders in the race.

Poor place strike rateWide barrierStruggling for form

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Rudimentary

Barrier 8 · 121kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER47:1-6

Jockey:Liberty Smyth

Trainer:Vanessa Mclennan

Rudimentary has an extremely low win and place rate from 47 career starts, indicating he is well past his best or simply not up to this class. Despite a neutral barrier, he is highly unlikely to feature.

Very poor career recordOut of formHighly unlikely to contend

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