Race 3Benchmark 58 Handicap

TAB VENUE MODE BENCHMARK 58 HANDICAP ($19K)

TBA AEDT2012m19,00015 runners

AI Best Bet

#2 Hurricane RosieJ: Luke Rolls

Hurricane Rosie draws a fantastic barrier and has shown glimpses of good form. With a strong trainer and jockey combination, she looks well-placed to run a big race over this distance. If she can get a soft run early, she'll be very hard to beat in the closing stages.

Excellent barrier drawCapable trainer/jockeySuited to distanceStrong chance

Each-Way Value: Redadel

78%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This Benchmark 58 Handicap over 2012m presents a challenging field with several horses looking to find form. The extended distance will test stamina, and the wide-open nature of the race suggests value can be found, particularly with those who handle the trip and have some recent competitive runs. Barrier draws will play a role, but overall, it's a race where consistency and staying power will be key.

AI Selections & Analysis (15 runners)

Hurricane Rosie

Barrier 2 · 129kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER24:2-4

Jockey:Luke Rolls

Trainer:Bevan Laming

Excellent barrier drawCapable trainer/jockeySuited to distanceStrong chance

Rating Breakdown

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Let's Do It Again

Barrier 5 · 138kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER14:3-0

Trainer:Toby Edmonds

Despite the 'N/A' form, this horse boasts the highest career win percentage in the field, suggesting underlying talent. If ready first-up over this distance, he could be a significant threat, especially from a good barrier. The unknown recent form is the primary concern.

Highest career win rateGood barrier drawTalented trainerDistance query first-up

Rating Breakdown

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Giddy Gan's Joy

Barrier 9 · 123kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER48:5-4

Jockey:Jason Taylor

Trainer:Simon Foster

Giddy Gan's Joy has a solid career record and has shown ability over staying trips. While the barrier is a bit wide, her experience and consistent form make her a strong contender in this Benchmark 58. With a good ride, she could be finishing strongly.

Solid career recordProven stayerExperienced campaignerCould finish strongly

Rating Breakdown

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Redadel

Barrier 8 · 131kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER20:2-4

Jockey:Grady Spokes

Trainer:Brett Bellamy

Redadel has a solid place percentage and is trained by Brett Bellamy, who often gets horses ready. While the barrier is a little wide, the horse has shown glimpses of ability that could see him competitive in this grade. If he can settle well, he could be an each-way chance at good odds.

Solid place percentageCapable trainerEach-way potentialNeeds luck from barrier

Rating Breakdown

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Bright The Sun

Barrier 5 · 128kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER15:2-2

Jockey:Nozi Tomizawa

Trainer:Stephen Lee

Bright The Sun has a decent place percentage and a good barrier draw, which are positives. While his win rate is moderate, he could be competitive in this grade if he gets a good run. The trainer is capable, and with a bit of luck, he could be in the mix for a minor placing.

Good barrier drawDecent place percentageCapable trainerCould sneak a placing

Rating Breakdown

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Got An Inspiration

Barrier 6 · 121kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER52:5-0

Jockey:Raymond Spokes

Trainer:Joanna Methven

Got An Inspiration is a seasoned runner with a good number of wins, though his place percentage is low. The barrier is acceptable, and if he can find his best form, he could be a surprise packet at odds. His experience over staying trips is a definite asset.

Experienced campaignerGood number of winsAcceptable barrierCould be a value play

Rating Breakdown

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Will To Excel

Barrier 10 · 134kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER73:8-7

Trainer:James Ponsonby

This veteran has a wealth of experience and has placed well at this distance in the past, indicating his suitability for the trip. The wide barrier is a slight negative, but his overall career record suggests he can be competitive in this grade if he gets a good run. Fitness after a break is the main question mark.

Extensive career experienceProven at distanceWide barrier to overcomeVeteran campaigner

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Alabama Girl

Barrier 12 · 129kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER23:3-2

Jockey:Jett Newman

Trainer:Shane Everson

Alabama Girl faces a challenge from the widest barrier and has a modest career record. While she has won at this distance, her overall consistency is a concern. She would need a perfect ride and a strong pace to be in contention against some of the more established stayers.

Widest barrier drawInconsistent formRequires perfect rideNeeds to improve

Rating Breakdown

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Kiss'n Dance

Barrier 3 · 126kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER13:1-2

Jockey:Noriyuki Masuda

Trainer:Fleur Henley

Kiss'n Dance has a low career win percentage and is stepping up to a distance where she hasn't shown much. While the inside barrier is a plus, her overall form suggests she's likely to struggle against the stronger horses in this field. She'd need a significant improvement to be competitive.

Low win percentageDistance queryInside barrierNeeds big improvement

Rating Breakdown

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Rock The Machine

Barrier 7 · 132kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER25:3-3

Jockey:Noriyuki Masuda

Trainer:Cathy Chapman

Rock The Machine has a moderate career record and is stepping up in distance, which could be a challenge. While the barrier is acceptable, the overall form and class suggest he might struggle against some of the more seasoned stayers in this field. Masuda is a capable jockey, but the horse needs to improve significantly.

Moderate career strike rateStepping up in distanceAverage barrier drawNeeds to find form

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Bonfidelity

Barrier 10 · 129kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER19:2-1

Jockey:Danny Peisley

Trainer:Paddy Cunningham

Bonfidelity has a low place percentage and a wide barrier, making this a tough race. While the trainer is capable, the horse's overall form suggests he's likely to be outclassed here. He would need a significant form reversal to feature in the finish.

Low place percentageWide barrier drawNeeds a major turnaroundLikely outclassed

Rating Breakdown

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Castel Trosino

Barrier 11 · 131kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER36:3-5

Jockey:Damien Boche

Trainer:Terry Commerford

With a wide barrier and a low career win percentage, Castel Trosino faces a tough assignment here. While he has some placings, his overall form suggests he's likely to find this too strong, especially over the extended trip. He would need a significant turnaround in form to be a contender.

Wide barrier drawLow career win rateAverage distance formNeeds to improve significantly

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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My Pepperjack

Barrier 4 · 122kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER23:2-1

Jockey:Olivia Dalton

Trainer:Sally Taylor

My Pepperjack has a very low place percentage and has struggled to find form. While the barrier is good, his overall career record suggests he will find this race too strong. He's likely to be outclassed and needs a drastic improvement to feature.

Very low place percentagePoor recent formGood barrier drawOutclassed in this field

Rating Breakdown

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Sir Zino

Barrier 1 · 121kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER60:1-0

Jockey:Jon Grisedale

Trainer:Vanessa Mclennan

Sir Zino has a very poor career record with only one win from 60 starts and a low place percentage. While he has the inside barrier, his overall form and class suggest he will be well out of his depth here. He is a definite outsider.

Very poor career recordExtremely low win/place rateInside barrierNo chance against this field

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Nature Boy

Barrier 4 · 129kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER0:0-0

Jockey:Bailie Baker

Trainer:Lea Selby

As a debutant, Nature Boy is a complete unknown quantity against seasoned campaigners. While the barrier is good, the lack of race experience over this distance makes him a very risky proposition. He's likely to need this run for experience.

First career startNo form to assessGood barrier drawHuge unknown

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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