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Race 7Handicap

SJG PLUMBING & DRAINAGE RATINGS BAND 0 - 55 HANDICAP ($14K)

TBA AEDT1509m14,00020 runners
AI Best Bet
#3 Trusty BanditJ: Chris Taylor
Trusty Bandit holds a strong hand here with an excellent barrier draw (3), which is crucial for this distance. His career record of 2 wins and 2 places from 21 starts is solid for this class, and a good jockey-trainer combination adds to the appeal. He looks to be the horse to beat.
Excellent barrier drawSolid career record for classGood jockey-trainer combinationPotential for fresh run
Each-Way Value: Doitlikemaxwell
85%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Ratings Band 0 - 55 Handicap over 1509m presents a challenging puzzle with a large field and many runners lacking recent form or strong career statistics. The wide barriers for several key contenders will make for an interesting tactical battle, while those drawn well have an opportunity to capitalise. Expect a competitive race with several horses having legitimate claims if they can overcome their respective challenges.

AI Selections & Analysis (20 runners)

1
Trusty Bandit
Barrier 3 · 130kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER21:2-2
Jockey:Chris Taylor
Trainer:William Kropp

Trusty Bandit holds a strong hand here with an excellent barrier draw (3), which is crucial for this distance. His career record of 2 wins and 2 places from 21 starts is solid for this class, and a good jockey-trainer combination adds to the appeal. He looks to be the horse to beat.

Excellent barrier drawSolid career record for classGood jockey-trainer combinationPotential for fresh run
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
2
Doitlikemaxwell
Barrier 7 · 128kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER19:2-2
Jockey:Karl Zechner
Trainer:Pat Webster

Doitlikemaxwell has a good barrier draw (7) and a solid career place percentage for this class. With two wins from 19 starts, he has proven ability, and a fresh run could see him perform well. He's a strong contender and offers excellent each-way value.

Good barrier drawSolid career place rateDual career winnerPotential for fresh run
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
3
Oakfield Eagle
Barrier 4 · 129kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER35:4-2
Jockey:Reece O'connell
Trainer:Wayne O'connell

Oakfield Eagle boasts 4 career wins and a good barrier draw (4), making him a strong contender in this class. The O'Connell combination is often potent, and if he's fit from the break, he should be right in the finish. He's a solid pick for a place and has winning claims.

Good barrier drawFour career winsTrainer-jockey combinationPotential for fresh run
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
4
Decarbonise
Barrier 9 · 125kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER26:3-2
Trainer:John Gilmore

Decarbonise has 3 career wins and a reasonable barrier draw (9), making him a solid contender. If he's fresh and ready to go, he has the ability to be competitive in this field. He's a good each-way bet and could challenge for a top-three finish.

Three career winsReasonable barrier drawPotential for fresh runUntested at distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
5
Chance With Wolves
Barrier 8 · 129kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER74:8-4
Jockey:Georgina Cartwright
Trainer:Jan Aitkenhead

Chance With Wolves is a highly experienced runner with 8 wins, which is impressive for this field. The middle barrier is suitable, and if he can bring his best form, he's a strong contender. The key will be his fitness coming off a break and how he handles the distance fresh.

Proven winner (8 wins)Experienced campaignerMiddle barrier drawFitness query fresh
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
6
Gold Merchant
Barrier 2 · 127kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER23:2-2
Jockey:Micheal Hellyer
Trainer:Damian Rock

Gold Merchant has a fantastic barrier draw (2) and has won twice in his career, which is a good sign for this class. If he can utilise the inside run and is fit from the spell, he could be a strong each-way chance. The gate gives him a significant advantage.

Excellent barrier drawDual career winnerPotential for fresh runUntested at distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
7
Tortilla
Barrier 6 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER19:2-1
Jockey:Jess Emmerson
Trainer:Harry Schwenke

Tortilla has a favourable barrier draw and has won twice in her career, suggesting some capability. While her place percentage is low, the inside gate gives her every chance to find a good position and improve on her past performances. She's a reasonable each-way prospect.

Favourable barrier drawDual career winnerNo recent form to assessUntested at distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
3
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
8
For The Brave
Barrier 1 · 127kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER13:1-0
Jockey:Chloe Lowe
Trainer:Pat Webster

For The Brave has the coveted rail draw, which can be a huge advantage over this distance. While his career record is modest, the inside barrier gives him every opportunity to save ground and finish strongly. He's an interesting each-way proposition given the gate.

Excellent barrier draw (rail)Modest career recordNo recent formUntested at distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
3
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
9
West Cork
Barrier 5 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER45:3-5
Jockey:Michael Murphy
Trainer:Brock Everingham

West Cork has a favourable barrier and a decent number of career placings, suggesting he can run on. However, his win percentage is low, and he hasn't raced recently. If he's forward enough, he could be an each-way contender, but the lack of recent form is a query.

Favourable barrier drawGood career placingsLow win percentageNo recent form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
4
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
10
Odin's Mount
Barrier 12 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER9:1-1
Jockey:Jake Bayliss
Trainer:Renita Beaton

Odin's Mount has shown some glimpses of ability with a win and a place from 9 starts, but the wide barrier and lack of recent race fitness are concerns. If he can overcome the gate and is fit enough, he could surprise, but it's a big ask. He's an each-way chance at best.

Wide barrier drawLimited career startsNo recent formUntested at distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
2
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
11
Hell Follows
Barrier 17 · 128kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER34:3-4
Jockey:Chris Meehan
Trainer:Chris Zintilis

Hell Follows has a wide barrier (17) which will make it very difficult to get into a winning position over this distance. While he has 3 wins, his overall place percentage is moderate, and the gate is a major disadvantage. He's a rough chance at best.

Very wide barrier drawModerate career strike rateNo recent formUntested at distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
3
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
12
Albanian Beauty
Barrier 14 · 132kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER12:2-0
Jockey:Corey Sutherland
Trainer:Stephen Sutherland

Albanian Beauty has a poor career place strike rate and draws a very wide gate which will make it tough to contend. While she has won twice, the lack of recent form and the tough barrier make her a roughie here despite the potential for a fresh run.

Wide barrier drawPoor place strike rateNo recent formUntested at distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
1
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
13
Jediah
Barrier 11 · 122kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER35:1-0
Trainer:Leigh Derecourt

Jediah has a very poor career win and place percentage from 35 starts, with only one win. The middle barrier is fine, but his overall record suggests he will struggle to be competitive in this race. He's a roughie at best.

Poor career strike rateNo recent formLimited winning abilityUntested at distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
2
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
5
14
Bump'n'run
Barrier 10 · 130kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER45:4-4
Jockey:Danny Peisley
Trainer:Joe Gleeson

Bump'n'run is a seasoned campaigner but his career win and place percentages are low, indicating a struggle to convert starts into wins. The middle barrier is acceptable, but without recent form, it's hard to be confident in his chances against this field. He's a long shot.

Extensive career startsLow win/place percentageNo recent formUntested at distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
2
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
15
Flying Phoenix
Barrier 13 · 127kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER6:1-0
Trainer:Brock Everingham

Flying Phoenix has had only 6 starts for one win, but the wide barrier and lack of a jockey assigned are significant red flags. With no recent form to assess, it's difficult to recommend him. He's a definite roughie, if he even starts.

Wide barrier drawNo jockey assignedLimited career startsNo recent form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
1
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
1
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
5
16
You And I
Barrier 18 · 132kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER34:3-2
Jockey:Bailey Wheeler
Trainer:Jackson Morris

Drawing the widest gate (18) is a significant hurdle for You And I, severely impacting her chances over 1509m. Her career statistics show a low win and place percentage, suggesting she struggles to finish in the money. This combination makes her a definite outsider.

Extremely wide barrierLow career win/place %No recent formUntested at distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
1
Track Form
1
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
17
Lift'n'mehigher
Barrier 16 · 126kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER11:1-1
Jockey:Gary Geran
Trainer:Corey & Kylie Geran

Lift'n'mehigher faces a tough task from barrier 16 and has a low win percentage from 11 starts. The wide gate significantly diminishes his chances, especially without any recent form to suggest an upset. He's an outsider in this field.

Very wide barrier drawLow career win percentageNo recent formUntested at distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
1
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
18
Beautiful Jo
Barrier 15 · 127kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER8:1-0
Jockey:Damien Boche
Trainer:Paul Wallace

Beautiful Jo has only had 8 starts, with one win, but her place percentage is very low, and she's drawn a wide barrier. This combination suggests she will struggle to be competitive in this field. She's firmly in outsider territory.

Wide barrier drawLimited career startsPoor place strike rateNo recent form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
1
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
5
19
Katerini
Barrier 19 · 120kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER23:2-0
Trainer:Sharon Croxford

Katerini draws the widest gate (19) and has a very poor place strike rate from 23 starts, making her an extreme outsider. The lack of a jockey assigned further compounds the issues. It's difficult to see her featuring in this race.

Extremely wide barrierNo jockey assignedPoor place strike rateNo recent form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
1
Track Form
1
Distance Form
2
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
1
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
5
20
Subdue
Barrier 13 · 128kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER10:1-0
Trainer:Alyssa & Troy Sweeney

Subdue has a wide barrier and no jockey assigned, making him a highly unlikely prospect. With only one win from 10 starts and no recent form, he's the longest shot in the field. It's hard to find any positives here.

Wide barrier drawNo jockey assignedLimited career startsNo recent form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
1
Distance Form
2
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
1
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
5

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