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Race 3Maiden Handicap

WARWICK SAND & GRAVEL SUPPLIES MAIDEN HANDICAP ($16K)

TBA AEDT1207m16,00021 runners
AI Best Bet
#5 Brave Like LilyJ: Isabel Jessop
Brave Like Lily has shown consistent improvement and has placed twice from five starts, indicating she's knocking on the door. Her good barrier draw and the strong form of trainer Stephen Kirkwood make her a standout in this weak maiden field, positioning her as the clear top pick.
Consistent formGood barrier draw (5)Strong trainer formProven placegetter
Each-Way Value: English Conqueror
88%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This is a typical country maiden handicap, featuring a large field of horses still trying to break their duck. Many have had numerous starts without success, suggesting a lack of genuine talent, while a few are lightly raced and hold more upside. The wide barriers for many of the key contenders will make for an interesting tactical battle over the 1207m.

AI Selections & Analysis (21 runners)

1
Brave Like Lily
Barrier 5 · 123kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER5:0-2
Jockey:Isabel Jessop
Trainer:Stephen Kirkwood

Brave Like Lily has shown consistent improvement and has placed twice from five starts, indicating she's knocking on the door. Her good barrier draw and the strong form of trainer Stephen Kirkwood make her a standout in this weak maiden field, positioning her as the clear top pick.

Consistent formGood barrier draw (5)Strong trainer formProven placegetter
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
2
Switz
Barrier 9 · 132kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER7:0-2
Jockey:Taylor Marshall
Trainer:Jack Bruce

Switz is one of the more experienced runners with two placings from seven starts, showing he has some ability at this level. While the wide barrier is a slight concern, his overall career record and the stable's proficiency suggest he can overcome it and be very competitive here.

Consistent placegetterExperienced in maidensSolid career prizemoneyTrainer Jack Bruce
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
3
English Conqueror
Barrier 4 · 129kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER5:0-1
Jockey:Michael Murphy
Trainer:Jesse Townsend

English Conqueror has shown glimpses of ability, placing once from five starts and having a respectable prizemoney tally for a maiden. His inside barrier is a significant advantage, and with a good jockey aboard, he is well-placed to improve and contend for a placing.

Favorable barrier (4)Proven placegetterExperienced jockeySolid prizemoney
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
4
Dare To Love
Barrier 2 · 119kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER21:0-4
Jockey:Fred Larson
Trainer:Laurie Richardson

Despite a lengthy career of 21 starts without a win, Dare To Love has accumulated four placings and the most prizemoney in the field, indicating she's competitive at this level. The inside barrier draw is a huge bonus for her, giving her every chance to finally break through or at least run into the money.

Inside barrier (2)Proven placegetterHigh career prizemoneyExperienced mare
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
5
Top Level
Barrier 3 · 120kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER13:0-2
Jockey:Karl Zechner
Trainer:Troy Pascoe

Top Level comes into this race with the highest prizemoney and two placings from 13 starts, suggesting he's well-acquainted with maiden company. The excellent barrier draw of 3 will allow him to settle well and be in a striking position, making him a strong each-way prospect.

Excellent barrier (3)Highest career prizemoneyProven placegetterExperienced jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
6
Measure Up
Barrier 7 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER1:0-0
Jockey:Jag Guthmann-Chester
Trainer:Matthew Hoysted

Measure Up is lightly raced with only one start, which provides significant scope for improvement. Coming from a strong stable, with a good barrier and a top jockey, he could make a big leap forward here and surprise many, despite his lack of exposed form.

Strong stableGood barrier (7)Top jockeyLightly raced with upside
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
4
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
7
Royal Drama
Barrier 12 · 131kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Jess Emmerson
Trainer:Michael Nolan

Royal Drama is a first-starter, which always brings an element of uncertainty, but comes from a reputable stable. While the wide barrier is a disadvantage, if he has shown anything at home, he could be a dark horse in a field lacking strong form.

First startReputable trainerWide barrier (12)Unknown potential
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
1
Distance Form
1
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
8
Madam Griselda
Barrier 13 · 121kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER13:0-2
Jockey:Damien Boche
Trainer:Rochelle Pereira

Madam Griselda has had a lot of starts for two placings, showing she can be competitive at times, but lacks a winning punch. Her wide barrier is a challenge, but her experience in these types of races could see her run into a minor placing.

Extensive maiden experienceProven placegetterWide barrier (13)Consistent efforts
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
9
Texas Terrier
Barrier 1 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER2:0-0
Jockey:Paul Hamblin
Trainer:Rod Hilton

Texas Terrier is lightly raced with two starts and has the advantage of the inside barrier. While his form isn't eye-catching yet, the good draw and potential for improvement in his third start make him a roughie to consider for exotics.

Inside barrier (1)Lightly racedScope for improvementExperienced jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
4
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
7
10
Markham Miss
Barrier 3 · 128kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER1:0-0
Jockey:Reece O'connell
Trainer:Corey & Kylie Geran

Markham Miss has only had one start and showed little, but she gets a much better barrier draw here. With improvement expected and a good draw, she could be a long shot to surprise, though it would require a significant leap.

Good barrier (3)Lightly racedScope for improvementTrainer form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
3
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
7
11
Colinton
Barrier 19 · 123kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER10:0-1
Jockey:Justin P Stanley
Trainer:Darren Bell

Colinton has had a decent number of starts for one placing, but the extremely wide barrier makes his task very difficult. He would need a lot of luck and a massive improvement to feature prominently from out there.

Very wide barrier (19)Limited career formExperienced jockeyOne career placing
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
1
Track Form
4
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
12
Bear Oil
Barrier 15 · 130kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER1:0-0
Jockey:Kyle Wilson-Taylor
Trainer:Renita Beaton

Bear Oil has only had one start and showed little, compounded by a very wide barrier here. While improvement is possible, the combination of inexperience and a poor draw makes him a significant outsider.

Very wide barrier (15)Lightly racedNeeds significant improvementTop jockey (but tough task)
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
3
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
7
13
Mishani Undercover
Barrier 10 · 122kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER3:0-0
Jockey:Olivia Kendal
Trainer:Donna Stanbridge

Mishani Undercover has had three starts without showing much, and the wide barrier adds to the challenge. She needs to improve significantly to be competitive in this field, making her a long shot.

Wide barrier (10)Limited career formNeeds significant improvementLightly raced
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
3
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
6
14
Duszio
Barrier 11 · 125kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER2:0-0
Jockey:Archie Mccolm
Trainer:Neil Owen

Duszio has had two starts with no prizemoney and faces a wide barrier. While lightly raced, his form so far doesn't inspire confidence, and he would need to show a drastic turnaround to be a factor.

Wide barrier (11)Limited career formNo prizemoneyNeeds significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
3
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
6
15
Waiting For Graham
Barrier 8 · 123kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER8:0-0
Jockey:Brooke Ainsworth
Trainer:Brooke Ainsworth

Waiting For Graham has had eight starts with no placings or prizemoney, indicating a lack of ability at this level. While the barrier is average, his overall form suggests he's unlikely to feature.

Poor career recordNo placingsAverage barrier (8)Needs massive improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
2
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
5
16
Jardin De Lys
Barrier 17 · 122kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER3:0-0
Trainer:Brian Wakefield

Jardin De Lys has had three starts without showing much and has drawn an extremely wide barrier. With no jockey named, it adds to the uncertainty, making him a very difficult proposition.

Very wide barrier (17)Limited career formNo jockey namedNeeds significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
1
Track Form
3
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
1
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
6
17
Valour Victorious
Barrier 16 · 122kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER4:0-0
Jockey:Dale Smith
Trainer:Diane G Murphy

Valour Victorious has had four starts without showing any discernible form and is saddled with a very wide barrier. He would need to improve dramatically to be considered, making him a rank outsider.

Very wide barrier (16)Poor career formNo placingsNeeds massive improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
2
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
5
18
Monaroma
Barrier 18 · 120kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER5:0-0
Jockey:Montanna Savva
Trainer:Simon Grimson

Monaroma has had five starts with no placings and draws the widest barrier of all. Her form is poor, and the draw makes her task almost impossible, relegating her to an outsider.

Widest barrier (18)Poor career formNo placingsNeeds massive improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
1
Track Form
2
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
5
19
Sound The Bugle
Barrier 14 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER12:0-0
Trainer:Olivia Cairns

Sound The Bugle has had 12 starts without a placing, indicating a significant lack of ability at this level. The wide barrier and absence of a named jockey further diminish his chances.

Poor career recordNo placingsWide barrier (14)No jockey named
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
2
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
1
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
5
20
Rotate
Barrier 20 · 122kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER7:0-0
Trainer:Diane G Murphy

Rotate has had seven starts with no placings and draws the second widest barrier. With no jockey named and poor form, he is one of the least likely contenders in this race.

Very wide barrier (20)Poor career recordNo placingsNo jockey named
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
1
Track Form
2
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
1
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
5
21
Valley Of Fame
Barrier 6 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER8:0-0
Trainer:Jack Brown

Valley Of Fame has had eight starts with no placings and is another runner with no jockey named. His career record suggests he is well out of his depth here, making him the absolute outsider.

Poor career recordNo placingsNo jockey namedNeeds massive improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
2
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
1
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
5

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