Race 6Handicap

EVERGREEN TURF BM78 HANDICAP ($36K)

TBA AEDT1106m36,00015 runners

AI Best Bet

#3 From A DistanceJ: Declan Bates

From A Distance stands out with an impressive 40% win rate and 60% place rate from only 5 career starts, suggesting significant upside. Drawing barrier 3 is highly favourable, and with Declan Bates in the saddle for Symon Wilde, this lightly raced talent is the one to beat.

High win/place strike rateFavourable barrier drawProgressive, lightly racedIn-form jockey/trainer

Each-Way Value: Moby Dick

85%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This BM78 Handicap over 1106m presents a competitive field with several in-form runners and some resuming from a spell. The wide barrier draws for some key contenders will make for an interesting speed map, while the inside draws could prove advantageous on this track and distance.

AI Selections & Analysis (15 runners)

From A Distance

Barrier 3 · 125kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER5:2-1

Jockey:Declan Bates

Trainer:Symon Wilde

High win/place strike rateFavourable barrier drawProgressive, lightly racedIn-form jockey/trainer

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Moby Dick

Barrier 4 · 130kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER17:3-1

Jockey:Billy Egan

Trainer:Gavin Bedggood

Moby Dick draws a favourable inside barrier and comes from a stable with good recent form. Despite a moderate career place record, the combination of a good draw and a top jockey like Billy Egan gives him a strong chance to feature prominently in this race.

Favourable barrier drawIn-form jockeyTrainer in good form

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Nightime Star

Barrier 2 · 119kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER7:2-0

Jockey:Linda Meech

Trainer:Tom Dabernig

Nightime Star is lightly raced with a strong win rate and draws an excellent barrier in gate 2. With Linda Meech riding for Tom Dabernig, this horse has all the ingredients for a strong performance and is a definite threat to the favourites.

Strong win rateFavourable barrier drawIn-form jockeyPromising lightly raced horse

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Dreamzel

Barrier 1 · 125kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER24:6-3

Jockey:Damien Thornton

Trainer:Tom Dabernig

Dreamzel has an excellent career win rate and draws the coveted rail position, which is a massive advantage at this distance. With Damien Thornton aboard and coming from a well-regarded stable, this horse is a strong contender who should get every chance to perform well.

Excellent career win rateIdeal barrier 1Consistent stable form

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Salsa Fellow

Barrier 12 · 131kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER20:5-4

Jockey:John Allen

Trainer:Henry Dwyer

Salsa Fellow has a strong career win and place record, indicating consistent performance. While the wide barrier is a concern, a top jockey like John Allen can often overcome such obstacles, making him a strong each-way prospect if he gets a good run.

Strong career strike rateExperienced jockeyWide barrier draw

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Charmed Run

Barrier 7 · 128kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER28:7-3

Trainer:Luke Oliver

Charmed Run has a strong career win rate and a decent barrier draw, indicating potential for a good run. The lack of a named jockey at this stage is a slight concern, but the horse's ability suggests it can still be competitive in this field.

Strong career win rateMidfield barrierJockey unconfirmed

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Remlaps Angel

Barrier 10 · 120kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER15:4-2

Trainer:Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

Remlaps Angel has a good career win rate and comes from a top stable, suggesting underlying talent. However, the wide barrier draw and unconfirmed jockey are significant drawbacks that temper confidence, placing her as an outside chance for a minor placing.

Good career win rateTop stableWide barrier drawJockey unconfirmed

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Emmadella

Barrier 14 · 128kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER17:4-4

Jockey:Nash Rawiller

Trainer:Tom Dabernig

Emmadella boasts a solid career win and place record, but the widest barrier draw of 14 for this distance is a significant hurdle. While Nash Rawiller is a top jockey, overcoming such a wide gate will require a brilliant ride and a lot of luck, pushing her into the roughie category.

Solid career recordTop jockey engagementVery wide barrier draw

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Luna Cat

Barrier 8 · 122kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER44:6-6

Jockey:Harry Coffey

Trainer:Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

Luna Cat has a high number of career starts and significant prizemoney, but her win and place percentages are relatively low for this class. While Harry Coffey is a solid jockey, the horse's overall consistency may not be enough to secure a top-three finish here.

Experienced runnerModerate strike ratesSolid jockey

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Keane Enuff

Barrier 11 · 125kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER28:4-6

Jockey:Jamie Mott

Trainer:Andrea Leek

Keane Enuff has a moderate career record and draws a wide barrier, which will make it tough to get into a winning position. While Jamie Mott is a capable jockey, the overall profile suggests this horse will need significant improvement or luck to challenge the top contenders.

Moderate career strike rateWide barrier drawNeeds to improve

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Southern Crescent

Barrier 9 · 119kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER17:4-2

Jockey:Teo Nugent

Trainer:Aaron Purcell

Southern Crescent has a moderate career record with a low place percentage, indicating inconsistency. While Teo Nugent is a capable rider, the horse's form suggests it will struggle to compete against stronger contenders in this BM78 handicap.

Moderate career recordLow place percentageNeeds to find form

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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The Kill Club

Barrier 13 · 119kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER12:3-5

Jockey:Tom Madden

Trainer:Adam Chambers

Moderate career recordLow place percentageNeeds to find form

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Miss Tallchief

Barrier 6 · 119kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER28:4-4

Jockey:Christopher Pang

Trainer:Tom Dabernig

Miss Tallchief has a low career win and place percentage from a high number of starts, suggesting she struggles to finish in the money. While drawing a midfield barrier is acceptable, her overall form indicates she is likely outclassed in this competitive BM78 event.

Low career strike ratesMany career startsLikely outclassed

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Flying D'amore

Barrier 10 · 119kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER30:1-0

Jockey:Samantha Noble

Trainer:Steven Noble

Flying D'amore has an extremely low career win and place percentage from 30 starts, indicating a significant lack of competitiveness. Drawing a wide barrier only adds to the challenge, making this horse a clear outsider with very little chance of featuring.

Extremely low strike ratesMany starts, few placingsWide barrier draw

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Bare To Witness

Barrier 5 · 119kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER27:4-1

Jockey:Tayla Childs

Trainer:John Brooks

Bare To Witness has a very low career place percentage and a modest win rate from numerous starts, making it difficult to recommend. Despite a reasonable barrier, the horse's overall performance history suggests it will struggle significantly to be competitive in this race.

Very low place rateInconsistent formOutclassed in this field

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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