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Race 5

GRAND EVENTS NEVILLE WILSON SERIES FINAL ($36K)

TBA AEDT1710m36,00020 runners
AI Best Bet
#12 Eleanor DumontJ: Billy Egan
Eleanor Dumont is the standout based on her exceptional career record, boasting a 50% win rate and 67% place rate from only 6 starts. While barrier 12 is a slight concern, Patrick Payne is a master trainer and Billy Egan is a strong jockey. This horse is clearly progressive and looks to be the one to beat in this field.
Outstanding career strike rateProgressive horse with upsideElite trainer and capable jockey
Each-Way Value: Papal Army
85%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This is the Grand Events Neville Wilson Series Final over 1710m, attracting a large field with a mix of seasoned campaigners and emerging talent. The race conditions are N/A, suggesting a handicap or set weights event where individual form and class will be paramount. With several runners showing strong recent performances and high win percentages, it promises to be a competitive contest.

AI Selections & Analysis (20 runners)

1
Eleanor Dumont
Barrier 12 · 128kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER6:3-1
Jockey:Billy Egan
Trainer:Patrick Payne

Eleanor Dumont is the standout based on her exceptional career record, boasting a 50% win rate and 67% place rate from only 6 starts. While barrier 12 is a slight concern, Patrick Payne is a master trainer and Billy Egan is a strong jockey. This horse is clearly progressive and looks to be the one to beat in this field.

Outstanding career strike rateProgressive horse with upsideElite trainer and capable jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
8
Distance Form
9
Recent Form
9
Class Rating
9
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
3
Regal Surge
Barrier 9 · 127kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER7:2-0
Jockey:Cian Macredmond
Trainer:Ciaron Maher

Regal Surge comes from the powerful Ciaron Maher yard and has a strong win percentage from limited starts. While he hasn't placed yet, his two wins indicate talent. Barrier 9 is workable, and with the Maher polish, he's a serious contender with significant upside.

Powerful stableGood win percentageUntapped potential
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
4
Both Sides Now
Barrier 7 · 128kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER14:4-1
Jockey:Declan Bates
Trainer:Shane Jackson

Both Sides Now has an excellent win percentage of 29% from limited starts, indicating a horse with upside. Barrier 7 is a good draw, and Declan Bates is a strong rider. This horse has the form and potential to be very competitive here, and the stable is in good form.

High win percentageFavourable barrier drawProgressive profile
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
5
Papal Army
Barrier 4 · 125kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER15:2-3
Jockey:Linda Meech
Trainer:Emma-Lee & David Browne

Papal Army has a solid place percentage and a good barrier draw in 4, which is a big advantage. Linda Meech is a strong rider who knows how to get the best out of her mounts. This horse could be an excellent each-way play, especially with the favourable run he should get.

Favourable barrier drawSolid place recordExperienced jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
6
Beach Pad
Barrier 13 · 133kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER16:4-2
Jockey:John Allen
Trainer:Shane Jackson

Beach Pad boasts a strong win and place percentage and is still relatively lightly raced for a horse with four wins. John Allen is a top jockey, which is a big plus, but barrier 13 presents a significant hurdle for this runner. If he can overcome the draw, he's a definite threat.

Strong career strike rateTop jockey engagementChallenging wide barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
7
Buzzaroon
Barrier 3 · 128kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER15:4-2
Jockey:Tom Madden
Trainer:Aaron Purcell

Buzzaroon has a very good place percentage and a solid win rate, showing consistency. Barrier 3 is ideal, allowing for a good run in transit. Tom Madden is a capable jockey, and the Purcell stable can get them ready. This horse is a strong each-way chance with the draw.

Excellent place strike rateIdeal barrier positionConsistent performer
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
8
Imminent Storm
Barrier 9 · 119kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER20:3-4
Jockey:Teo Nugent
Trainer:Patrick Mckenna

Imminent Storm has a good place percentage and a reasonable win rate, suggesting he's often around the mark. Barrier 9 is acceptable, and Teo Nugent is a capable jockey. This horse could be a sneaky chance to run into the placings if he gets a good run and the pace is strong.

Good place recordWorkable barrierCapable jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
9
Overactive
Barrier 15 · 133kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER27:3-4
Jockey:Jamie Mott
Trainer:Anthony & Sam Freedman

Overactive comes from a top stable in Freedman and has shown glimpses of ability, but barrier 15 is a major negative for this distance. His career strike rate is modest, and he'll need a perfect ride and plenty of luck to feature from out there. Jamie Mott is a capable rider to assist.

Leading stableVery wide barrierModest career strike rate
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
5
10
Early Warning
Barrier 8 · 120kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER37:4-7
Jockey:Shayleigh Ingelse
Trainer:Paul Preusker

Early Warning has a decent place percentage and comes from a respected stable. Barrier 8 is acceptable, providing options. While his win rate is not outstanding, he often runs on for a minor placing, making him a potential each-way longshot if the pace is strong.

Good place recordRespected trainerMid-range barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
5
11
Hay Joe
Barrier 1 · 122kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER24:4-1
Trainer:Patrick Mckenna

Hay Joe has a reasonable win rate but a very low place percentage, suggesting he's either winning or not featuring. Barrier 1 is excellent, which could help him get a soft run. However, the lack of a declared jockey is a concern, and he'll need to lift his game to compete with the top chances.

Excellent inside barrierLow place strike rateNo jockey declared yet
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
12
Sunsets
Barrier 10 · 136kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER31:2-4
Jockey:Jackson Radley
Trainer:Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

Sunsets has a high prizemoney total but a low win percentage, indicating consistency without often breaking through for a win. The wide barrier 10 is a concern, but the Hayes stable is always respected. Could be an improver if things go his way.

Good stable backingLow win percentageTricky barrier draw
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
5
13
Habitein
Barrier 5 · 126kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER8:2-0
Trainer:Adam Chambers

Habitein has a 25% win rate but no placings from 8 starts, suggesting an all-or-nothing type of runner. The lack of a declared jockey is a concern, and while barrier 5 is good, the overall profile indicates a horse that might struggle for consistency against this field. Needs to improve significantly.

No placings in careerNo jockey declared yetInconsistent performer
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
4
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
14
Jet Jitsu
Barrier 15 · 130kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER40:7-4
Jockey:Harry Coffey
Trainer:Andrew Bobbin

Jet Jitsu has a decent number of wins but his place percentage is only 28%, suggesting he's either winning or not featuring. Barrier 15 is a huge disadvantage, and while Harry Coffey is a good jockey, it will be tough to overcome the draw and the competitive nature of this final.

Poor barrier drawInconsistent place recordHigh number of career starts
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
4
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
15
Friday At Five
Barrier 11 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER49:7-7
Jockey:Ryan Houston
Trainer:Henry Dwyer

Friday At Five is a veteran with a lot of starts but a low win percentage and a moderate place rate. Barrier 11 is not ideal, and while Ryan Houston is a decent jockey, it's hard to see this horse improving enough to win this final. Likely needs to drop in class to be competitive.

High number of starts, low strike rateWide barrier drawFaces stronger opposition
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
4
16
Gripping
Barrier 5 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER44:5-4
Jockey:Harry Grace
Trainer:Peter Lafferty

Gripping has a low win and place percentage from many starts, indicating he's a consistent battler rather than a winning prospect at this level. While barrier 5 is good, it's unlikely to be enough to overcome his overall form profile. Looks outclassed here.

Low career strike ratesMany starts, limited successFaces strong competition
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
4
17
Astradeel
Barrier 14 · 136kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER50:5-6
Jockey:Will Gordon
Trainer:Adam Chambers

Astradeel faces a significant challenge from barrier 14 in a large field, which will make it difficult to find a good position. While having plenty of career starts, his overall win and place percentages are low, suggesting he struggles to convert efforts into wins at this level.

Poor barrier drawLow career strike rateFaces tougher competition
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
4
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
17
A Diva
Barrier 2 · 132kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER8:3-3
Trainer:Richard Laming

Astradeel faces a significant challenge from barrier 14 in a large field, which will make it difficult to find a good position. While having plenty of career starts, his overall win and place percentages are low, suggesting he struggles to convert efforts into wins at this level.

Poor barrier drawLow career strike rateFaces tougher competition
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
4
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
18
Sir Rockford
Barrier 17 · 126kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER34:4-4
Jockey:Jack Hill
Trainer:Aaron Laing

Sir Rockford has a low win and place percentage from many starts, indicating he's likely found his level. Barrier 17 is a significant disadvantage, making it very hard to get into a winning position. This horse is likely outclassed in this final.

Very wide barrierLow career strike ratesMany career starts without significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
1
Track Form
3
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
4
19
Pee Bee Noir
Barrier 6 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER19:2-0
Jockey:Christopher Pang
Trainer:Joanne Mugavin

Pee Bee Noir has a very low win and place percentage from 19 starts, indicating he struggles to compete at this level. While barrier 6 is good, it's unlikely to compensate for the overall lack of form and class against this field. An outsider at best.

Very low career strike ratesFaces strong competitionNeeds significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
4
20
Spanish Snitzel
Barrier 16 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER72:6-6
Jockey:Kate Walters
Trainer:Mark Greig

Spanish Snitzel has a very poor win and place percentage from a large number of starts, indicating he is well past his best or simply not up to this class. Barrier 16 is another major negative, making his task almost impossible. Highly unlikely to feature.

Extremely wide barrierPoor career strike rateMany starts, limited success
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
1
Track Form
2
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
2
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
3

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