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Race 7Handicap

TIM AUMANN PLUMBING BM52 HANDICAP ($16K)

TBA AEDT1308m16,00018 runners
AI Best Bet
#4 LoveofmylifeJ: Ryan Hurdle
Loveofmylife boasts the highest career win percentage in the field, indicating a strong ability to find the line. With a favorable barrier and a solid trainer, this horse stands out as the best bet, despite the lack of recent form data.
Highest career win percentageFavorable barrier drawProven ability to winSolid trainer
Each-Way Value: Rushford
85%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This BM52 Handicap over 1308m presents a challenging puzzle with a large field and many horses lacking recent form data. The race is likely to be competitive, with several runners having strong career win percentages for this class, but recent performance will be key. Look for horses with good barrier draws and jockeys who can navigate the traffic.

AI Selections & Analysis (18 runners)

1
Loveofmylife
Barrier 4 · 125kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER17:3-0
Jockey:Ryan Hurdle
Trainer:Andrew Dale

Loveofmylife boasts the highest career win percentage in the field, indicating a strong ability to find the line. With a favorable barrier and a solid trainer, this horse stands out as the best bet, despite the lack of recent form data.

Highest career win percentageFavorable barrier drawProven ability to winSolid trainer
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
8
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
2
Hard Lane
Barrier 14 · 133kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER4:1-0
Jockey:Neil Farley
Trainer:Vincent Nolen

Hard Lane has an impressive win percentage from limited starts, suggesting untapped potential. While the wide barrier is a challenge, the horse's proven ability to win and the experienced jockey make it a strong contender, assuming fitness after a break.

High career win percentageUntapped potentialExperienced jockeyWide barrier draw
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
3
Soul Taker
Barrier 11 · 129kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER20:3-0
Jockey:Liam Riordan
Trainer:John & Chris Ledger

Soul Taker has a respectable career win percentage and could be a factor if fit. The barrier is a slight concern, but the overall profile suggests this horse has the ability to compete strongly in a BM52, making it a definite consideration.

Respectable career win rateProven abilityAcceptable barrierNo recent form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
4
Rushford
Barrier 2 · 131kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER80:10-9
Jockey:Samantha Noble
Trainer:Steven Noble

Rushford is a seasoned campaigner with a solid career record and an excellent inside barrier. While an 80-start veteran, the consistent place rate and the favorable draw make him a strong each-way prospect, especially with a stable jockey aboard.

Excellent inside barrierExperienced campaignerSolid career place rateNo recent form data
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
5
5
Don'tcallmechamp
Barrier 6 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER14:2-0
Jockey:Blaike Mcdougall
Trainer:Toby Lake

With a strong win percentage for this class and a good barrier, Don'tcallmechamp looks to be a contender. The booking of Blaike McDougall is a significant positive, suggesting the stable means business, though the lack of recent form is a concern.

Strong career win rateGood barrier drawTop jockey bookingNo recent form to assess
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
6
Frostration
Barrier 17 · 119kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER11:2-1
Jockey:Olivia East
Trainer:David Dean

Frostration has a good career win and place percentage for this class, showing some ability. However, the very wide barrier is a significant hurdle, and the lack of recent form makes it a speculative play, despite the potential.

Good career win/place rateVery wide barrier drawNo recent formPotential if overcomes barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
7
Altrove
Barrier 8 · 129kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER46:6-5
Jockey:Faith Collins
Trainer:Robert Wellington

Altrove is a very experienced runner with a solid career record, including a good number of wins. While the win rate is moderate, the horse's consistency in placing and an average barrier make it a potential each-way chance if it can overcome the lack of recent form.

Highly experiencedSolid career wins and placesAverage barrierNo recent form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
8
Ziggy Starcraft
Barrier 1 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER14:1-2
Jockey:Eoin Walsh
Trainer:Brent Stanley

An inside barrier is a plus for Ziggy Starcraft, but the overall career record is modest. The trainer has a good reputation, which offers some hope, but the horse will need to show significant improvement on past performances to feature.

Good inside barrierModest career strike rateRespected trainerNo recent form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
5
9
Nineveh
Barrier 3 · 121kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER31:2-2
Jockey:Nathan Punch
Trainer:Grant White

Nineveh has a low career win percentage but an acceptable inside barrier. The horse has had many starts without much success, suggesting it's hard to win with, but the trainer can sometimes pull off a surprise.

Inside barrierMany starts, few winsLow career strike rateNo recent form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
10
True Prophet
Barrier 9 · 132kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER24:2-3
Jockey:Jamie Gibbons
Trainer:Jamie Gibbons

This horse has a decent career record but lacks recent form data, making it hard to assess current fitness. The wide barrier draw is a disadvantage, and the jockey/trainer combination is self-trained, which can be a mixed bag at this level.

Wide barrier drawNo recent formModerate career strike rateSelf-trained jockey/trainer
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
11
Cavascot
Barrier 10 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER18:1-2
Jockey:Cassidy Hill
Trainer:John Heath

Cavascot has a low career win percentage and a moderate place rate. The barrier is acceptable, but without recent form, it's hard to see this horse challenging the stronger contenders in the field.

Low career win rateAverage barrierNo recent formNeeds to improve
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
12
Ima Guru
Barrier 7 · 128kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER26:2-1
Jockey:Mikaela Lawrence
Trainer:Peter Maher

Ima Guru's career record shows a low place percentage, which is a concern even in a BM52. While the barrier is acceptable, the horse needs to find significant improvement to be competitive here, and the lack of recent form makes it a risky proposition.

Low career place rateNo recent formAverage barrierNeeds to improve
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
13
Sleeper
Barrier 13 · 125kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER18:1-0
Jockey:Thomas Spillane
Trainer:Peter Donnelly

Sleeper's career record is very poor, with a low win and place percentage. The wide barrier and absence of recent form further diminish its prospects, making it a definite longshot in this field.

Very poor career recordWide barrierNo recent formLongshot chance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
14
French Savoy
Barrier 5 · 126kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER11:1-1
Jockey:Brittany Button
Trainer:Rebekah Dudley

French Savoy has a modest career record and lacks recent form to suggest improvement. While the barrier is good, the overall profile indicates this horse will need to lift significantly to be a threat in this company.

Modest career recordGood barrierNo recent formNeeds significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
15
Snow On Her
Barrier 15 · 120kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER26:2-1
Jockey:Holly Durnan
Trainer:Christopher Davis

Snow On Her has a low career place percentage and draws a very wide barrier. This combination makes it highly unlikely to figure in the placings, especially without any recent form to suggest a turnaround.

Very wide barrierLow career place rateNo recent formDifficult task
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
16
Kilmister
Barrier 12 · 127kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER27:2-0
Jockey:Logan Mcneil
Trainer:Aftab Shaikh

Kilmister has a very low career place percentage, indicating a struggle to finish in the money. Coupled with a wide barrier and no recent form, it's hard to make a case for this runner in what appears to be a competitive field.

Very low career place rateWide barrierNo recent formStruggles to place
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
17
Overtoux
Barrier 18 · 126kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER11:1-0
Jockey:Cory Parish
Trainer:Marcus O'connor

Overtoux has a very poor career place percentage and draws the widest barrier, making its task incredibly difficult. With no recent form available, this horse is a definite outsider and hard to fancy.

Widest barrier drawVery low career place rateNo recent formOutsider chance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
1
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
18
Apple Cider
Barrier 16 · 127kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Milos Bunjevac

As a debutant with no career starts and an unknown trainer, Apple Cider is a complete unknown quantity in a competitive handicap. The wide barrier draw further complicates its task, making it very difficult to recommend.

First career startUnknown trainerWide barrier drawNo form to assess
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
1
Distance Form
1
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
1
Weight Handicap
5

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