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Race 7Handicap

MANAGEMENT COMMITTEE HANDICAP ($12K)

TBA AEDT1911m12,00011 runners
AI Best Bet
#2 PecosJ: Chanel Cooper
Pecos draws an ideal barrier in 2, which will allow for a soft run and conserve energy for the long trip. With a solid career win and place strike rate, and a jockey who knows the horse, this runner looks well-placed to contend strongly in this moderate field.
Ideal barrier draw (2)Solid career strike rateJockey-trainer combination
Each-Way Value: Tosen Impact
75%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Management Committee Handicap is a challenging staying event over 1911m, featuring a field of largely battlers and form-finding horses. The race lacks a standout performer, making it an open affair where recent form and a favourable barrier could prove decisive. Expect a competitive contest with several horses having legitimate claims if they can find their best.

AI Selections & Analysis (11 runners)

1
Pecos
Barrier 2 · 130kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER28:3-3
Jockey:Chanel Cooper
Trainer:Paul Roberts

Pecos draws an ideal barrier in 2, which will allow for a soft run and conserve energy for the long trip. With a solid career win and place strike rate, and a jockey who knows the horse, this runner looks well-placed to contend strongly in this moderate field.

Ideal barrier draw (2)Solid career strike rateJockey-trainer combination
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
2
Magic Mikey
Barrier 6 · 132kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER57:6-6
Jockey:Jason Whiting
Trainer:Ashleigh Woollett

Magic Mikey brings the most experience and highest career prizemoney to this field, indicating a level of consistency. While his win rate isn't high, his ability to place suggests he can be competitive in this grade, and a good jockey booking adds to his appeal.

Most experienced runnerConsistent career place recordVeteran jockey booking
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
3
Tosen Impact
Barrier 5 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER16:2-3
Jockey:Holly Nottle
Trainer:Takahide Ikenushi

Tosen Impact has a decent career place strike rate for this level of racing, indicating some ability to finish in the money. If he can overcome a slightly wide barrier and find his best form, he could be a strong each-way chance in a race lacking depth.

Good career place percentageTrainer known for improvementPotential for value
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
4
Bella Violetta
Barrier 11 · 121kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER15:1-4
Jockey:Lisa Staples
Trainer:Michael Lane

Bella Violetta boasts the best career place strike rate in the field, suggesting she can run on for a minor placing. While the wide barrier is a concern, her ability to hit the frame makes her a strong each-way consideration if she gets a good run.

Highest career place percentageProven ability to placeWide barrier concern
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
5
Queen Nardi
Barrier 8 · 129kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER28:3-4
Jockey:Jessica Gray
Trainer:Darryn Pateman

Queen Nardi has shown flashes of ability with a reasonable place strike rate but faces a wide barrier. Her performance will heavily depend on the early speed and whether she can find cover to conserve energy for the long run home.

Moderate career place recordWide barrier draw (8)Needs luck in running
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
5
6
King Of Cordoba
Barrier 3 · 120kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER12:1-0
Jockey:Brandon Louis
Trainer:Darren Taylor

King Of Cordoba is still relatively unexposed with fewer career starts than most, and a good barrier draw offers some hope. While his win rate is low, there's potential for improvement, and he could surprise if the pace suits and he handles the distance.

Low career starts (potential upside)Good barrier draw (3)Unproven at distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
7
Lien Hyphen
Barrier 9 · 129kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER37:3-4
Jockey:Jefferson Tsang
Trainer:Sue Olive

Lien Hyphen has a modest career record and draws a wide barrier, which will make the 1911m trip even tougher. While capable on his day, he would need significant improvement and a perfect run to be a serious threat against this field.

Wide barrier draw (9)Modest career strike rateRequires significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
8
Grandad's Adiction
Barrier 7 · 125kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER15:1-2
Jockey:Brayden Gaerth
Trainer:Sharon Miller

Grandad's Adiction is still lightly raced but has a low win percentage and is yet to prove himself over a staying trip. With a wide barrier and facing more experienced rivals, this looks like a tough assignment.

Low career win rateUntested at distanceWide barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
4
9
Tobian
Barrier 10 · 122kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER18:1-2
Jockey:Elisha Whittington
Trainer:Brett Pope

Tobian has a modest career record and draws the widest barrier, making his task significantly harder over 1911m. He will need a massive turnaround in form and a perfect ride to feature in the placings here.

Widest barrier (10)Modest career formRequires significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
4
10
Lakeview Lightning
Barrier 1 · 123kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER33:2-1
Jockey:Jade Mcnaught
Trainer:Tania Burns

Lakeview Lightning has a very low career win and place strike rate, suggesting a lack of competitive edge. While drawing the inside barrier is a positive, it's unlikely to compensate for his overall form deficiencies in this field.

Very low career strike rateLack of competitive formInside barrier unlikely to be enough
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
2
Distance Form
2
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
3
11
Asarka
Barrier 4 · 120kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER39:1-1
Jockey:Ava Catarino
Trainer:Brad Graham

Asarka has a very poor career win and place record, indicating a significant lack of competitiveness. Despite a favourable barrier, it's difficult to see this horse making an impact in this race based on past performances.

Extremely low career strike rateLack of competitive formNeeds a miracle
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
1
Distance Form
1
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
2
Jockey Form
2
Trainer Form
2
Weight Handicap
2

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