Race 4Handicap

COMBINED FARRIER SUPPLIES HANDICAP ($12K)

TBA AEDT1106m12,0009 runners

AI Best Bet

#2 Torqued UpJ: Rocky Cheung

Torqued Up looks to be the strongest contender here, boasting a good career strike rate for a low-grade race and an ideal inside barrier. The stable is known for getting horses ready, and with a strong jockey, all signs point to a forward showing.

Ideal inside barrier (2)Solid career win rate (13%)Strong jockey/trainer combinationLikely to get a soft run

Each-Way Value: Lady Negroni

85%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This is a competitive low-grade handicap over 1106m, with several runners showing inconsistent form. The small field and short distance suggest early speed will be crucial, and barrier draws will play a significant role. With limited recent form data, career statistics and connections become more influential.

AI Selections & Analysis (9 runners)

Torqued Up

Barrier 2 · 126kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER15:2-1

Jockey:Rocky Cheung

Trainer:Ryan Hill

Ideal inside barrier (2)Solid career win rate (13%)Strong jockey/trainer combinationLikely to get a soft run

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Lady Negroni

Barrier 5 · 127kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER19:4-0

Jockey:Lisa Staples

Trainer:Troy Greenwood

Lady Negroni has a very good win strike rate for this class and distance, indicating she knows how to find the line. While recent form is unknown, her career stats suggest she's a strong each-way chance from a favourable barrier.

High career win rate (21%)Favourable barrier (5)Proven ability to winGood value proposition

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Lady Tornado

Barrier 7 · 119kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER34:3-3

Jockey:Elisha Whittington

Trainer:G R Keay

High career win rate (21%)Favourable barrier (5)Proven ability to winGood value proposition

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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First Law

Barrier 4 · 142kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER68:7-9

Jockey:Bailey Webster

Trainer:Johnathon Jachmann

First Law is the most experienced runner in the field with significant prizemoney, suggesting a class edge if fit. The inside barrier is a plus, and while his win rate is moderate, his place rate indicates consistency at this level.

Most experienced runnerGood prizemoney earningsFavourable barrier (4)Solid place strike rate

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Adrett

Barrier 9 · 128kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER28:4-5

Jockey:Chris Parnham

Trainer:Glenn Webster

Adrett has a decent win and place record, but the wide barrier draw (9) is a significant concern over 1106m. If the jockey can overcome the draw, Adrett has the ability to be competitive, but it will require a good ride.

Solid career win/place rateTop jockey engagementWide barrier a challengeNeeds luck from the draw

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Good Vibes

Barrier 8 · 132kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER28:3-5

Jockey:Natika Riordan

Trainer:Neville Parnham

Good Vibes comes from a top stable, which is always a positive indicator, and has a reasonable place strike rate. The wide barrier (8) is a slight disadvantage, but the trainer's reputation could see this horse perform above its career stats.

From a leading stableReasonable place strike rateWide barrier drawCould improve with stable change

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Diamond Light

Barrier 6 · 121kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER11:2-0

Jockey:Brayden Gaerth

Trainer:Mack Hall

Diamond Light has shown flashes of ability with two wins from 11 starts, but the lack of placegetters suggests inconsistency. If on a good day, this horse could surprise, but the risk is high given the all-or-nothing career record.

Capable of winningInconsistent form profileNo career placegettersNeeds to be at its best

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Longtimebeliever

Barrier 3 · 123kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER15:1-4

Jockey:Chanel Cooper

Trainer:Paul Roberts

Longtimebeliever has a good place strike rate for its limited wins, indicating it can run on for a minor prize. The inside barrier is a plus, but the overall win percentage suggests it might find a few too strong at the finish.

Good inside barrier (3)Solid place strike rateLow career win rateMinor placing contender

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Scenic Wings

Barrier 1 · 119kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER11:1-0

Jockey:Jefferson Tsang

Trainer:Kayla Farrell

Scenic Wings has the lowest career win and place percentage in the field, indicating a significant step up in competitiveness is required. While the inside barrier (1) is good, the overall form suggests this horse will struggle to contend.

Lowest career win/place rateGood inside barrier (1)Significant class challengeNeeds to improve drastically

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Distance Form

Recent Form

Class Rating

Jockey Form

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Weight Handicap