Race 7Handicap

ARPS 10YR ANNIVERSARY RATINGS BAND 0 - 62 HANDICAP ($19K)

TBA AEDT1006m19,00017 runners

AI Best Bet

#6 ConformityJ: Leah Martyn

Conformity, from the formidable Gollan stable, looks to be a standout here. With a good barrier and a strong career record, including a win over this distance, this horse has all the hallmarks of a top contender, especially with a top jockey engaged.

Tony Gollan stable formProven at 1000m-1100mGood barrier drawStrong recent form

Each-Way Value: Don't Tellyafather

88%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This 1006m Handicap for Ratings Band 0-62 presents a fascinating challenge with several lightly raced horses showing promise, alongside seasoned campaigners. The short distance and large field suggest a fast-paced race where barrier draws and early speed will be crucial. Matthew Dunn and Adam Campton both have multiple runners with strong chances, indicating a competitive contest.

AI Selections & Analysis (17 runners)

Conformity

Barrier 6 · 126kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER5:1-2

Jockey:Leah Martyn

Trainer:Tony Gollan

Tony Gollan stable formProven at 1000m-1100mGood barrier drawStrong recent form

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Don't Tellyafather

Barrier 8 · 128kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER2:1-0

Jockey:Dylan Turner

Trainer:Matthew Dunn

This Matthew Dunn runner has shown exceptional promise in limited starts, including a debut win. While stepping up slightly in class, the trainer's expertise and the horse's natural ability make it a serious threat, offering good each-way value.

Matthew Dunn stableImpressive debut winLightly raced with upsideFavourable barrier

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Miss Mclaren

Barrier 4 · 128kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER1:1-0

Jockey:Bella Youngberry

Trainer:Adam Campton

Another one-start, one-win horse, Miss Mclaren brings strong form to this race. The wide barrier is a slight concern, but the high winning percentage and trainer's form suggest it can overcome that challenge.

100% win recordAdam Campton trainerLightly racedStrong debut performance

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Storm Merchant

Barrier 7 · 130kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER2:1-0

Jockey:Jett Newman

Trainer:Matthew Dunn

Storm Merchant has a good strike rate from limited starts and comes from a top stable. The inside barrier is a definite advantage over this short course, positioning it well to be a strong contender.

Matthew Dunn stableGood strike rateInside barrier drawPotential for improvement

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Galavino

Barrier 14 · 130kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER1:1-0

Trainer:Adam Campton

Galavino won impressively on debut but faces a tougher task here from a wide barrier. The 100% win record is compelling, but the barrier and step up in class temper confidence slightly, making it a strong place chance.

100% win recordAdam Campton trainerWide barrier concernLightly raced with upside

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Blinked

Barrier 1 · 123kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER7:1-0

Jockey:Fred Larson

Trainer:Stephen Mclean

Blinked draws the coveted rail barrier, which is a significant advantage over 1006m. While its overall career record is modest, this barrier and the potential for a soft run could see it exceed expectations and be competitive for a minor placing.

Excellent barrier draw (1)Proven at the distanceCan lead or sit handyJockey's track knowledge

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Wayburn

Barrier 5 · 130kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER3:1-0

Jockey:Jett Newman

Trainer:Matthew Dunn

From the astute Matthew Dunn yard, Wayburn showed ability winning one of its three starts. The inside barrier is a plus, and with further improvement expected, it could be a factor in the finish at good odds.

Matthew Dunn stableInside barrier drawLightly racedPotential for improvement

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Lucky Lass

Barrier 10 · 126kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER8:1-2

Jockey:Georgina Cartwright

Trainer:Tony Gollan

Lucky Lass comes from the potent Tony Gollan stable and has shown glimpses of ability. While consistency is a question, the trainer's expertise and a top jockey give it a chance to run into the placings if everything goes its way.

Tony Gollan stableGood jockey bookingCapable on her dayMid-field barrier

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Ciphertext

Barrier 9 · 129kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER12:1-7

Jockey:Sean Cormack

Trainer:Helen Page

Ciphertext has a high place percentage, indicating it often runs well without winning. With Sean Cormack aboard and a reasonable barrier, it's a definite place hope, but winning might be a stretch in this competitive field.

High place percentageExperienced jockeyConsistent performerMid-field barrier

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Marathia

Barrier 9 · 130kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER18:3-5

Trainer:Adam Campton

Marathia has a solid career record but faces a tough task from a wide barrier. While capable on her day, the competitive nature of this race and the barrier draw make a win unlikely, though a minor placing isn't out of the question.

Experienced campaignerAdam Campton trainerWide barrier drawGood place strike rate

Rating Breakdown

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Cat Call

Barrier 2 · 126kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER12:1-2

Jockey:Danny Peisley

Trainer:Gary Doughty

Cat Call has drawn well in barrier 2 and has some distance form. However, its overall win percentage is low, suggesting it might struggle to beat some of the more promising runners, but the barrier gives it an outside chance for a placing.

Excellent barrier drawDistance formExperienced jockeyLow win strike rate

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Xuanfeng

Barrier 3 · 119kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER19:2-1

Jockey:Kenji Yoshida

Trainer:Caitlin Johnstone

Xuanfeng has a good barrier and some experience, but its overall record suggests it's a battling type. While it might appreciate the light weight, it looks to be up against stronger opposition here.

Inside barrier drawExperienced jockeyLow win strike rateBattling form

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Rare Beauty

Barrier 3 · 127kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER34:4-2

Jockey:Benjamin Osmond

Trainer:Greg Howells

Rare Beauty has a decent number of wins but a low place percentage overall, indicating it's either on or off. The inside barrier is a plus, but it will need to find its best form to be competitive here.

Inside barrier drawExperienced campaignerInconsistent formLow place strike rate

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Chayse'n'scotty

Barrier 9 · 128kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER8:1-0

Trainer:Ryan Tyrell

Chayse'n'scotty has a modest career record and faces a tough draw. While it has won once, it hasn't shown the consistency required to be a major player in this field.

Modest career recordWide barrier drawNeeds to improveInconsistent form

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Russian Pins

Barrier 7 · 130kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER44:5-4

Jockey:Mckenzie Apel

Trainer:Scott Morrisey

Russian Pins is a seasoned campaigner but has a low win and place strike rate, especially in recent times. While the barrier is fair, it looks to be outclassed by several younger, more progressive runners.

Veteran runnerLow strike rateNeeds to find old formStepping up in class

Rating Breakdown

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Zoomed

Barrier 10 · 126kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER18:2-3

Jockey:Colleen Krahnen

Trainer:John Wallace

Zoomed has a low win percentage and struggles to place consistently. The wide barrier adds to the challenge, making it hard to recommend against stronger opposition.

Low win percentageWide barrier drawNeeds significant improvementInconsistent form

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Hit

Barrier 1 · 120kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER20:2-1

Trainer:Dominique Lahiff

Hit has a very low win and place strike rate from a large number of starts. While drawing barrier 1 is a positive, it's unlikely to be enough to overcome its historical performance against this field.

Very low strike rateVeteran runnerNeeds career-best formOutclassed here

Rating Breakdown

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