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Race 2Maiden Plate

THE LOOSE MOOSE QTIS THREE-YEAR-OLD FILLIES MAIDEN PLATE ($21K)

TBA AEDT0m21,00012 runners
AI Best Bet
#6 Hurkle DurkleJ: Bella Youngberry
Making her debut for the powerful Tony Gollan stable with Bella Youngberry aboard, who has a strong association with the stable. Gollan has an excellent record with first-starters in maidens, and the barrier draw is favourable for a clean run. This filly is expected to be well-prepared and has the best chance to break her maiden at the first attempt.
Tony Gollan debutanteFavourable barrier 6Strong stable formUntapped potential
Each-Way Value: Queen Jeddah
88%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This is a 3YO Fillies Maiden Plate with several runners yet to show significant form. The race features a mix of newcomers and fillies with multiple starts, many still seeking their first placing. Trainer and jockey combinations from prominent stables will be key indicators, especially for those making their debut or having few starts.

AI Selections & Analysis (12 runners)

1
Hurkle Durkle
Barrier 6 · 128kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Bella Youngberry
Trainer:Tony Gollan

Making her debut for the powerful Tony Gollan stable with Bella Youngberry aboard, who has a strong association with the stable. Gollan has an excellent record with first-starters in maidens, and the barrier draw is favourable for a clean run. This filly is expected to be well-prepared and has the best chance to break her maiden at the first attempt.

Tony Gollan debutanteFavourable barrier 6Strong stable formUntapped potential
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
1
Distance Form
1
Recent Form
10
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
10
Weight Handicap
7
2
Flaxlands
Barrier 2 · 128kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER5:0-0
Jockey:Jaden Lloyd
Trainer:Chris Waller

From the formidable Chris Waller yard, she has had five starts without placing but has shown glimpses of ability. The inside barrier and Jaden Lloyd's booking are significant positives, suggesting she's ready to put it all together. Waller's runners often improve sharply with race experience.

Chris Waller trainedInside barrier 2Experienced jockeyDue for improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
3
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
3
Lady Milan
Barrier 3 · 128kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER4:0-1
Jockey:Leah Martyn
Trainer:Tony Gollan

Another Tony Gollan runner, she has a placing from four starts, indicating some ability. With barrier 3, she should get a good run, and being from the same stable as the top pick suggests she'll be well-schooled. Her prior race experience gives her an edge over some of the debutantes.

Tony Gollan trainedGood barrier 3Previous placingExpected fitness
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
4
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
4
Queen Jeddah
Barrier 5 · 128kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER4:0-2
Jockey:Mckenzie Apel
Trainer:Peter & Will Hulbert

She boasts the best place strike rate in the field with two placings from four starts, making her a strong each-way prospect. Barrier 5 is ideal, and the Hulbert stable often presents their runners in good order. With Mckenzie Apel, she could be competitive again.

High place strike rateFavourable barrier 5Consistent formEach-way value
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
5
Paciera
Barrier 4 · 128kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER7:0-1
Jockey:Rob Thorburn
Trainer:Billy Healey

With seven starts and one placing, she has experience on her side and a reasonable barrier. While not a consistent threat for the win, her experience suggests she could be in the mix for a minor placing. Rob Thorburn is a capable jockey who can guide her to a competitive run.

Race experienceInside barrier 4Capable jockeyMinor placing potential
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
6
Egyptian Goddess
Barrier 11 · 128kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER19:0-3
Jockey:Ashley Butler
Trainer:Ryan Tyrell

She has the most starts in the field (19) and three placings, showing she can be competitive at this level. However, the wide barrier 11 is a significant disadvantage, and her consistent inability to win after so many attempts is a concern. Ashley Butler is a good jockey, but it's a tough ask from out there.

Extensive experienceWide barrier 11Solid jockeyStruggles to win
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
7
7
Zoubuca Shots
Barrier 7 · 128kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER1:0-0
Jockey:Boris Thornton
Trainer:Matthew Hoysted

Only one career start for Matthew Hoysted, which suggests there's potential for improvement. With Boris Thornton aboard and a decent barrier, she could show more this time. The stable is capable, and a big jump is possible with natural progression.

Second career startCapable stableExperienced jockeyPotential for improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
8
Babushka Doll
Barrier 1 · 128kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER7:0-0
Jockey:Cody Collis
Trainer:Darryl Hansen

Seven starts without a placing for Darryl Hansen, which is a red flag. While barrier 1 is advantageous, her form suggests she's not quite up to winning a maiden of this calibre. Cody Collis will need to produce a career-best ride to get her into contention.

Inside barrier 1Poor career recordNeeds significant improvementUnproven at this level
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
7
9
Thrash A Bully
Barrier 10 · 128kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER3:0-0
Jockey:Georgina Cartwright
Trainer:Kurt Goldman

Three starts for no placings, and drawing barrier 10 makes her task even harder. While Kurt Goldman is a good trainer, this filly hasn't shown enough to suggest she's ready to break through here. Georgina Cartwright faces a challenge to get her into a winning position.

Wide barrier 10Limited career formNeeds to improve sharplyTough draw
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
10
Our Combination
Barrier 11 · 128kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER2:0-0
Jockey:Luke Dempsey
Trainer:Barry Lockwood & Emma-Jane Vincent

Two starts for no placings and a wide barrier 11 make her a difficult prospect. The Lockwood & Vincent stable is capable, but she needs to show significant improvement to be competitive here. Luke Dempsey will need to overcome the wide draw.

Wide barrier 11Limited career formNeeds to improve dramaticallyTough draw
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
7
11
Regal Rina
Barrier 9 · 128kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER3:0-0
Jockey:Fred Larson
Trainer:Stephen Mclean

Three starts without placing, and barrier 9 adds to the challenge. Stephen Mclean is a lesser-known trainer in this field, and the filly hasn't shown enough to warrant strong consideration. Fred Larson will have his work cut out for him.

Wide barrier 9Poor career formNeeds substantial improvementUnproven stable/jockey combo
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
7
12
Mishani Undercover
Barrier 8 · 128kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER2:0-0
Jockey:Olivia Kendal
Trainer:Donna Stanbridge

Two starts for no placings and a wide barrier 8. Donna Stanbridge is not a high-profile trainer, and Olivia Kendal is an apprentice. This filly would need to show a massive turnaround in form to be a factor. The wide draw makes it even tougher.

Wide barrier 8Limited career formApprentice jockeyNeeds significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
7

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