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Race 9Stakes

SPORTSBET HAREEBA STAKES ($137K)

TBA AEDT0m137,00017 runners
AI Best Bet
#9 Pop AwardJ: Luke Cartwright
Pop Award boasts the highest career win rate in the field (46%) from fewer starts, indicating significant upside and talent. A good barrier and a strong career record make him the horse to beat, even without recent form data.
Highest career win rate (46%)Excellent career place rate (54%)Good barrier draw (9)Progressive profile
Each-Way Value: La Fracas
78%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This is a highly competitive Stakes race with a mix of seasoned campaigners and emerging talents. The lack of specific track/distance form, recent form, and weight information makes a definitive assessment challenging, relying heavily on career statistics, barrier draws, and trainer/jockey reputations. Expect a strong pace given the number of high-win-rate horses.

AI Selections & Analysis (17 runners)

1
Pop Award
Barrier 9 · 119kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER13:6-1
Jockey:Luke Cartwright
Trainer:Lyn Tolson & Leonie Proctor

Pop Award boasts the highest career win rate in the field (46%) from fewer starts, indicating significant upside and talent. A good barrier and a strong career record make him the horse to beat, even without recent form data.

Highest career win rate (46%)Excellent career place rate (54%)Good barrier draw (9)Progressive profile
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
3
Punch Lane
Barrier 7 · 129kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER22:8-2
Jockey:Thomas Stockdale
Trainer:Anthony & Sam Freedman

Punch Lane boasts an impressive win rate and strong stable backing from the Freedmans. The middle barrier is acceptable, and with a good career record, he's a strong contender despite the unknown recent form.

High career win rate (36%)Strong Freedman stableAcceptable barrier draw (7)Proven prizemoney earner
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
6
3
La Fracas
Barrier 3 · 119kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER14:6-1
Jockey:Beau Mertens
Trainer:Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

Punch Lane boasts an impressive win rate and strong stable backing from the Freedmans. The middle barrier is acceptable, and with a good career record, he's a strong contender despite the unknown recent form.

High career win rate (36%)Strong Freedman stableAcceptable barrier draw (7)Proven prizemoney earner
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
6
4
Recon
Barrier 8 · 119kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER10:5-0
Jockey:Patrick Moloney
Trainer:Pat Carey & Harris Walker

Recon has an impressive career win rate (50%) from only 10 starts, indicating significant talent. A good barrier draw further enhances his chances, making him a strong contender who could continue his winning ways.

Excellent career win rate (50%)Limited but impressive career startsGood barrier draw (8)Progressive profile
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
5
Oak Hill
Barrier 13 · 125kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER21:8-4
Jockey:Daniel Stackhouse
Trainer:Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

Oak Hill has an excellent career win and place rate, indicating strong ability. The wide barrier (13) is a concern, but his overall record and high prizemoney suggest he can overcome it to be competitive.

Excellent career win rate (38%)High career place rate (57%)Wide barrier draw (13)Significant prizemoney earner
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
6
Gentle Steel
Barrier 11 · 119kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER9:5-0
Jockey:Craig Newitt
Trainer:Julius Sandhu

Gentle Steel has the highest career win rate (56%) in the field from only 9 starts, indicating significant untapped potential. The wide barrier (11) is a challenge, but his impressive winning strike rate makes him a genuine threat.

Highest career win rate (56%)Limited but impressive career startsWide barrier draw (11)Progressive profile
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
7
Midwest
Barrier 10 · 121kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER36:9-11
Jockey:Jye Mcneil
Trainer:Anthony & Sam Freedman

Midwest brings significant Stakes experience and the highest career prizemoney to the race, along with a strong place rate. The wide barrier (10) is a slight concern, but his proven ability and top stable make him a strong each-way prospect.

Highest career prizemoneyStrong career place rate (56%)Top Freedman stableExperienced Jye Mcneil
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
5
8
Title Fighter
Barrier 4 · 122kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER19:6-1
Jockey:Jamie Mott
Trainer:Clayton Douglas

Title Fighter benefits from a favourable inside barrier and a respectable career win rate. While his place rate is lower than some, the barrier advantage and Jamie Mott's riding could see him perform above expectations.

Favourable barrier draw (4)Respectable career win rate (32%)Experienced jockey Jamie Mott
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
5
9
She's Got Pizzazz
Barrier 6 · 119kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER15:3-3
Jockey:Linda Meech
Trainer:Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

She's Got Pizzazz has a moderate win rate but a good place rate, suggesting consistency. The middle barrier is fine, and with the Moody/Coleman stable, she could surprise if she gets the right run.

Good barrier draw (6)Moderate career win rate (20%)Strong Moody/Coleman stable
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
5
10
Marble Nine
Barrier 12 · 122kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER22:7-3
Jockey:Ben Allen
Trainer:L & T Corstens & W Larkin

Marble Nine has a solid career win rate and good prizemoney, but the wide barrier (12) will make his task harder. He's capable on his day, but will need some luck in running to figure in the placings.

Solid career win rate (32%)Wide barrier draw (12)Decent career prizemoney
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
5
11
Corniche
Barrier 7 · 125kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER17:3-3
Jockey:Zac Spain
Trainer:Shawn Mathrick

Corniche has a moderate career win rate and a decent barrier, but lacks the standout stats of some rivals. Without recent form, he's an each-way chance at best, needing to improve to challenge the top contenders.

Moderate career win rate (18%)Decent barrier draw (7)Significant career prizemoney
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
12
Immortal Star
Barrier 5 · 119kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER22:5-3
Jockey:Lachlan Neindorf
Trainer:Ciaron Maher

Immortal Star has a moderate career win rate and a decent barrier, but doesn't stand out against some of the stronger contenders. While from a top stable, he'll need to find his best form to be a factor.

Decent barrier draw (5)Moderate career win rate (23%)Top Ciaron Maher stable
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
5
13
Rue De Royale
Barrier 16 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER26:3-8
Jockey:Harry Coffey
Trainer:Tony & Calvin Mcevoy

Rue De Royale has a low career win rate but a respectable place rate, suggesting he can be competitive without winning. The very wide barrier (16) significantly dampens his prospects in this quality field, making him a roughie.

Very wide barrier draw (16)Low career win rate (12%)Decent career place rate (42%)
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
5
14
Desert Lightning
Barrier 13 · 132kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER30:7-5
Jockey:Luke Nolen
Trainer:Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

Despite a decent career win rate, the wide barrier is a significant disadvantage in this competitive field. Without recent form or specific track/distance data, it's hard to make a strong case for him, placing him as a roughie.

Wide barrier draw (13)Solid career win rate (23%)Lack of recent form data
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
5
15
Coleman
Barrier 3 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER18:2-2
Trainer:Clinton McDonald

Coleman has a very low career win and place rate despite significant prizemoney, suggesting he's been competitive in higher classes but struggles to win. While the barrier is good, his overall winning profile is concerning.

Very low career win rate (11%)Good barrier draw (3)High career prizemoney (class exposure)
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
5
16
Johnny Rocker
Barrier 2 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER19:3-3
Jockey:Jett Stanley
Trainer:Gavin Bedggood

Johnny Rocker has a low career win rate and moderate place rate, indicating he's likely outclassed here. While the inside barrier is a plus, he would need a significant improvement to challenge in this Stakes race.

Low career win rate (16%)Inside barrier draw (2)Needs to step up in class
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
17
Contemporary
Barrier 1 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER32:6-4
Jockey:Fred Kersley
Trainer:Lindsey Smith

Contemporary's career stats are modest for a Stakes race, with a low win and place rate. The inside barrier is helpful, but he appears to be facing tougher competition than his form suggests he can handle.

Low career win rate (19%)Inside barrier draw (1)Modest career place rate
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
5

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