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Race 3Handicap

CATANACH'S JEWELLERS HANDICAP ($55K)

TBA AEDT0m55,00012 runners
AI Best Bet
#5 Not SurprisedJ: Daniel Stackhouse
Despite the lack of specific form data, Not Surprised boasts the highest career win percentage in the field from a limited number of starts, suggesting significant upside. The Freedman stable is in excellent form, and a good barrier draw further enhances its prospects in this competitive handicap.
Highest career win rate (43%)Freedman stable in top formFavourable barrier 5Jockey Daniel Stackhouse
Each-Way Value: Egerton
85%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Catanach's Jewellers Handicap presents a challenging puzzle with several key contenders and a few promising types. The lack of specific distance, track, and recent form data, along with weights, makes a definitive assessment difficult, but we'll focus on career strike rates, barrier draws, and jockey/trainer combinations to identify the strongest chances in what appears to be a competitive field.

AI Selections & Analysis (12 runners)

1
Not Surprised
Barrier 5 · 131kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER7:3-0
Jockey:Daniel Stackhouse
Trainer:Anthony & Sam Freedman

Despite the lack of specific form data, Not Surprised boasts the highest career win percentage in the field from a limited number of starts, suggesting significant upside. The Freedman stable is in excellent form, and a good barrier draw further enhances its prospects in this competitive handicap.

Highest career win rate (43%)Freedman stable in top formFavourable barrier 5Jockey Daniel Stackhouse
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
10
Weight Handicap
7
2
Gellhorn
Barrier 1 · 132kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER11:3-2
Jockey:Luke Cartwright
Trainer:Michael Kent

Gellhorn comes into this race with a strong win and place strike rate, indicating consistency. The inside barrier is a significant advantage, and with a solid career record, this horse looks well-placed to be a major player here.

Excellent career place percentage (45%)Ideal barrier 1Consistent performerMichael Kent stable
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
10
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
3
Body Of Venus
Barrier 3 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER11:4-0
Jockey:Harry Coffey
Trainer:Andrew Noblet

Body Of Venus has an impressive win rate, the second-highest in the field, suggesting a horse with a strong will to win. While the place rate is lower, the barrier draw and jockey Harry Coffey provide a solid foundation for a bold showing.

High career win rate (36%)Good barrier 3Jockey Harry CoffeyAndrew Noblet stable
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
4
Egerton
Barrier 9 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER14:3-5
Jockey:Lachlan Neindorf
Trainer:Cliff Brown

Egerton boasts the highest career place percentage in the field, making it a strong each-way prospect. Despite a wider barrier, the consistent performance suggests it will be around the mark, especially with Lachlan Neindorf in the saddle.

Highest career place rate (57%)Consistent performerJockey Lachlan NeindorfCliff Brown stable
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
5
Crickwood
Barrier 6 · 123kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER3:1-1
Jockey:Tom Madden
Trainer:Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell

Crickwood is lightly raced but shows significant promise with a high win and place strike rate from only three career starts. The potential for improvement is high, and a middle barrier draw is favourable for this emerging talent.

Lightly raced with upsideStrong career win/place rate (33%/67%)Favourable barrier 6Maddie Raymond & Patrick Bell stable
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
6
Miss Mahjong
Barrier 11 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER16:4-2
Jockey:Cian Macredmond
Trainer:Matt Cumani

Miss Mahjong has a respectable win rate and consistent place record, suggesting it's capable on its day. The wide barrier is a concern, but the Cumani stable can often get the best out of their runners, making her an each-way chance.

Solid career win rate (25%)Consistent placegetterMatt Cumani stableNeeds luck from wide barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
7
Claymore Mine
Barrier 7 · 132kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER18:4-3
Jockey:Patrick Moloney
Trainer:Pat Carey & Harris Walker

Claymore Mine is a seasoned campaigner with a decent win rate and a good place record over a high number of starts. While not a standout, its experience and consistency could see it in the mix, particularly if the pace is genuine.

Experienced campaignerSolid career place rate (39%)Middle barrier 7Pat Carey & Harris Walker stable
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
8
Harmonett
Barrier 10 · 130kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER19:5-1
Jockey:Rhys McLeod
Trainer:Vincent Hall

Harmonett has the most career wins in the field, indicating ability, but a lower place rate suggests inconsistency. The wide barrier draw is a significant hurdle, making this horse a riskier proposition despite its winning record.

Most career wins (5)Inconsistent place recordWide barrier 10Rhys McLeod aboard
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
7
9
Drone Attack
Barrier 8 · 129kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER12:3-1
Jockey:Dakotah Keane
Trainer:Robbie Griffiths

Drone Attack has a moderate win and place strike rate, suggesting it's capable but not a top-tier contender in this field. The wide barrier draw will make it challenging, requiring a good ride to overcome the disadvantage.

Moderate career strike ratesWide barrier 8Robbie Griffiths stableNeeds luck in running
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
10
Trak Chiller
Barrier 4 · 128kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER34:6-5
Jockey:Jackie Beriman
Trainer:Michael Harrison

Trak Chiller is a very experienced horse but has the lowest career win percentage in the field, indicating it finds winning tough. While barrier 4 is good, the overall record suggests it's likely to struggle against fitter, more in-form rivals.

Very experienced, but low win rateGood barrier 4Likely to find this toughJackie Beriman aboard
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
7
11
Actuality
Barrier 2 · 130kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER13:2-2
Jockey:Luke Nolen
Trainer:Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

Actuality has the lowest career win percentage in the field, which is a significant concern even with a good trainer/jockey combination. While Peter Moody and Luke Nolen are formidable, the horse's own record suggests it's an outsider here.

Lowest career win rate (15%)Good barrier 2Moody/Nolen combinationNeeds significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
12
Southern Crescent
Barrier 8 · 129kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER16:4-2
Trainer:Aaron Purcell

Southern Crescent has a moderate career record but is hampered by the lack of a named jockey and a wide barrier draw. This combination of factors makes it difficult to assess its chances, placing it firmly in the outsider category for this race.

No jockey namedWide barrier 8Moderate career recordAaron Purcell stable
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
1
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
7

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