Race 2Class 2 Hcp

LADBROKES POPULAR SRM CLASS 2 HCP ($19K)

TBA AEDT1207m19,00012 runners

AI Best Bet

#9 NovalargoJ: Codi Jordan

Novalargo boasts the highest win percentage in the field and has shown good early career promise. While the wide barrier is a slight concern, Codi Jordan is a capable rider, and trainer Glenn Stevenson often has his horses ready to fire. This horse appears to have the most upside.

Highest career win ratePromising early career formTrainer in good formGood distance form

Each-Way Value: Dubai Affair

85%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This Class 2 Handicap over 1207m presents a competitive field with several horses looking to improve their career records. The lack of recent form data makes this a challenging race to assess, but we'll focus on career strike rates, barrier draws, and trainer/jockey combinations to find value.

AI Selections & Analysis (12 runners)

Novalargo

Barrier 9 · 129kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER7:2-1

Jockey:Codi Jordan

Trainer:Glenn Stevenson

Highest career win ratePromising early career formTrainer in good formGood distance form

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Dubai Affair

Barrier 6 · 127kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER11:2-2

Jockey:Erica Byrne Burke

Trainer:Adam Trinder

From the astute Adam Trinder stable, Dubai Affair has a solid career win and place strike rate for this class. The middle barrier draw is favourable, and Erica Byrne Burke is a jockey who can get the best out of her mounts. This horse looks like a strong each-way play.

Consistent career strike rateTrainer in excellent formFavourable barrier drawGood class profile

Rating Breakdown

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Azonto

Barrier 1 · 130kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER17:2-4

Jockey:Liam Riordan

Trainer:Barry Campbell

Azonto has the most prizemoney in the field and a decent career place percentage, indicating consistency. The inside barrier is a significant advantage over this distance, and Liam Riordan is a strong booking. If he's fit after a break, he could be right in the finish.

Inside barrier advantageHigh career prizemoneySolid place recordExperienced jockey

Rating Breakdown

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Roundle Park

Barrier 12 · 126kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER10:2-2

Jockey:Troy Baker

Trainer:Adam Trinder

Another runner from the Trinder stable, Roundle Park has a good win percentage and place strike rate. The wide barrier is a slight negative, but Troy Baker is a top jockey who can overcome it. With the right run, this horse has the talent to compete strongly.

Strong trainer/jockey combinationGood career win rateProven at this class

Rating Breakdown

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Antheia

Barrier 3 · 125kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER13:2-1

Jockey:Lauryn Bingley

Trainer:Sarah Cotton

Antheia has a favourable barrier draw and a respectable career win rate. While the place percentage is lower than some rivals, the inside run could be crucial. With Lauryn Bingley aboard, if she gets clear running, she could surprise.

Good barrier drawDecent career strike ratePotential for an inside run

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Geegees Downpour

Barrier 2 · 128kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER18:2-3

Jockey:Mehmet Ulucinar

Trainer:Stuart Gandy

Geegees Downpour draws well in barrier two and has a consistent place record, suggesting he can be in the mix. Mehmet Ulucinar is a capable jockey, and the Gandy stable can get them ready. He might need a bit of luck but is a definite each-way chance.

Favourable inside barrierSolid career place recordConsistent performer

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Zuni

Barrier 8 · 125kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER13:2-2

Jockey:Chloe Wells

Trainer:Mark Ganderton

Zuni has a moderate career record but has shown glimpses of ability. The middle barrier is acceptable, and Chloe Wells is a rider who can place her mounts well. If she gets a good run in transit, Zuni could be competitive for a minor placing.

Acceptable barrier drawCapable jockeyCan run into the placings

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Oxidize

Barrier 7 · 123kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER6:1-1

Jockey:Hayley McCarthy

Trainer:Dylan Clark

Oxidize has had fewer starts than most, showing a win and a place from six career runs. This suggests some untapped potential, but the lack of extensive form makes him a riskier proposition. With a good run, he could be an improver.

Lightly raced with upsideCould show improvementTrainer capable of surprises

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Platinum Reggae

Barrier 4 · 123kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER15:2-0

Jockey:Dianne Parish

Trainer:Trent Wells

Platinum Reggae has two wins from 15 starts but a concerning 0% place strike rate, indicating inconsistency. While the barrier is good, the horse needs to find another gear to be competitive here. He's a roughie at best.

Good barrier drawPoor place strike rateNeeds significant improvement

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Geegeehailstorm

Barrier 5 · 123kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER30:2-5

Jockey:David Pires

Trainer:Stuart Gandy

Geegeehailstorm has had many starts for only two wins, indicating a long time between drinks. While David Pires is a top jockey, the horse's overall career record and low win/place percentages make him hard to recommend. He's a long shot.

Experienced jockeyLow career win rateMany starts for limited success

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Rare Oro

Barrier 11 · 119kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER25:2-1

Jockey:Lizzie Annells

Trainer:John Luttrell

Rare Oro has a very low career place percentage and a wide barrier to contend with. While all horses get their chance, this one appears to be up against it in this field. It would be a significant upset if he were to feature.

Poor career place recordWide barrier drawNeeds significant improvement

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Miss Pebbles

Barrier 10 · 119kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER52:2-7

Jockey:Christopher Pang

Trainer:Andrew Moore

Miss Pebbles has a very high number of starts for a Class 2 horse and the lowest win and place percentages in the field. The wide barrier further complicates her chances. She looks outclassed here and is a true outsider.

Extremely low career strike ratesMany starts for limited successWide barrier draw

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