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Race 7Cup

TAMBURLAINE ORGANIC WINES *BIG DANCE ELIGIBILITY* ORANGE GOLD CUP ($52K)

TBA AEDT1609m52,00012 runners
AI Best Bet
#1 SarrismoJ: Andrew Adkins
Sarrismo is the most exciting prospect in this race, with a phenomenal career strike rate of 50% wins from just 8 starts. The inside barrier and strong jockey booking make him the clear top pick, despite stepping up in class for this Cup event.
Exceptional win strike rateInside barrier (1)Progressive profileStrong jockey booking
Each-Way Value: Canadian Ruler
88%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

The Orange Gold Cup is a competitive feature race with several in-form contenders. Sarrismo stands out as the most promising horse, boasting an impressive career strike rate and a favourable barrier. However, the depth of the field means several horses, including Canadian Ruler and Slinky, present strong challenges.

AI Selections & Analysis (12 runners)

1
Sarrismo
Barrier 1 · 134kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER8:4-2
Jockey:Andrew Adkins
Trainer:Tom Charlton

Sarrismo is the most exciting prospect in this race, with a phenomenal career strike rate of 50% wins from just 8 starts. The inside barrier and strong jockey booking make him the clear top pick, despite stepping up in class for this Cup event.

Exceptional win strike rateInside barrier (1)Progressive profileStrong jockey booking
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
10
Track Form
8
Distance Form
9
Recent Form
9
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
8
2
Canadian Ruler
Barrier 6 · 132kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER18:5-4
Jockey:Nick Heywood
Trainer:Matthew Dale

Canadian Ruler has a solid career record and a good win percentage, making him a strong contender here. The middle barrier is ideal, and with a reliable jockey aboard, he should be right in the finish, offering excellent each-way value.

Consistent performerGood middle barrier (6)Solid career win rateExperienced jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
3
Slinky
Barrier 5 · 123kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER25:4-4
Jockey:Winona Costin
Trainer:Bjorn Baker

Slinky comes from the astute Bjorn Baker yard and has a decent career record, often performing well in competitive fields. With a favourable barrier and Winona Costin in the saddle, this mare is well-placed to run a strong race and challenge for a top-three finish.

Bjorn Baker stableFavourable barrier (5)Capable jockeyConsistent form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
4
The Dramatist
Barrier 2 · 123kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER36:7-4
Jockey:Reece Jones
Trainer:Rodney Northam

The Dramatist is a seasoned campaigner with 7 career wins and a good place record, indicating consistency. Barrier 2 is a significant advantage, allowing for a good run in transit, and with Reece Jones, he should be competitive in this field.

Excellent inside barrier (2)Strong career win recordExperienced jockeyProven at this level
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
5
Acheson
Barrier 9 · 120kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER24:6-4
Jockey:Mathew Cahill
Trainer:Keith Dryden & Libby Snowden

Acheson has a solid 25% win rate and has shown ability in tougher races. While barrier 9 is a slight concern, Mathew Cahill is a top jockey who can overcome it. If he gets a clean run, Acheson could surprise at good odds.

Good win strike rateCapable jockeyProven in competitive racesDual trainer stable
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
6
Tenderize
Barrier 4 · 125kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER38:5-3
Jockey:Mikayla Weir
Trainer:Gary Portelli

Tenderize has a wealth of experience and a favourable barrier draw, which can be crucial over this distance. While his win rate is modest, he often performs well for Gary Portelli and could be a factor if the pace is genuine.

Favourable barrier (4)Experienced campaignerRespected trainerCan run on pace
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
7
Glint Of Silver
Barrier 10 · 137kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER30:2-5
Jockey:Kody Nestor
Trainer:David Pfieffer

Glint Of Silver has accumulated significant prizemoney, suggesting past ability, but his win rate is low for a horse with 30 starts. The wide barrier (10) makes his task harder, but Kody Nestor is a good jockey who might be able to find a position.

High prizemoney earnerExperienced jockeyWide barrier draw (10)Modest win rate
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
8
How's It Kev
Barrier 8 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER52:8-6
Jockey:Louise Day
Trainer:Alison Smith

How's It Kev is a very experienced horse with a decent number of wins, but his overall place percentage is a concern in this quality field. Barrier 8 is not ideal, and he will need a strong run to feature against some progressive types.

Extremely experiencedMany career startsWide barrier (8)Could find this class tough
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
9
Green Run
Barrier 3 · 120kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER36:5-6
Jockey:Jacob Stiff
Trainer:Dar Lunn

Green Run has a consistent place record for his career but his win rate is low, suggesting he struggles to finish races off. While barrier 3 is a positive, he might find this Cup class a bit too strong to be a winning chance.

Good inside barrier (3)Consistent placegetterLow win strike rateFacing stronger opposition
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
10
Hell Of A Fox
Barrier 11 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER23:4-2
Trainer:Luke Pepper

Hell Of A Fox has a modest career record and the widest barrier draw (11) will make his task significantly harder. Without a jockey named at the time of analysis, it's hard to be confident in his chances against this field.

Very wide barrier (11)Modest career recordJockey unconfirmedNeeds significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
11
Otium
Barrier 7 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER22:3-4
Trainer:Wayne Wilkes

Otium has struggled to win races throughout his career, with a low win percentage and limited prizemoney. The unconfirmed jockey and average barrier draw further diminish his prospects in a competitive Cup race.

Low win strike rateLimited prizemoneyJockey unconfirmedAverage barrier (7)
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
4
12
Wealthy Investor
Barrier 12 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER51:5-2
Jockey:Jake Pracey-Holmes
Trainer:Damien Lane

Wealthy Investor has the most career starts but the lowest win and place percentages in the field, indicating he struggles to compete effectively. Drawing the widest barrier (12) will make it incredibly difficult for him to get into a winning position.

Lowest win/place rateMost career startsWidest barrier (12)Likely outclassed
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
3

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