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Race 1Maiden Plate

SUPER CLEAN LINEN MAIDEN PLATE ($22K)

TBA AEDT2112m22,00014 runners
AI Best Bet
#4 SnobberyJ: Jett Stanley
Snobbery stands out with two recent placings, indicating good form and a readiness for this distance. The Busuttin & Young stable is adept with stayers, and a favourable barrier combined with Jett Stanley's ride makes this horse a strong contender to break its maiden.
Consistent recent placingsTop stable for stayersFavourable barrier drawReady for 2112m
Each-Way Value: Kazungula
85%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This 2112m Maiden Plate presents a challenging puzzle with many unproven stayers and horses yet to break through. The longer distance will be key, and those with some staying pedigree or a hint of improvement at middle distances will be favoured. Expect a competitive race where fitness and a good ride will be paramount.

AI Selections & Analysis (14 runners)

1
Snobbery
Barrier 4 · 130kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER4:0-2
Jockey:Jett Stanley
Trainer:Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

Snobbery stands out with two recent placings, indicating good form and a readiness for this distance. The Busuttin & Young stable is adept with stayers, and a favourable barrier combined with Jett Stanley's ride makes this horse a strong contender to break its maiden.

Consistent recent placingsTop stable for stayersFavourable barrier drawReady for 2112m
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
5
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
9
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
2
Kazungula
Barrier 6 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER8:0-3
Jockey:Fred Kersley
Trainer:Jarrod Robinson

Kazungula has shown the most consistent place form among the field, with three placings from eight starts. This suggests a horse that tries hard and is knocking on the door. The 2112m should suit, and with Fred Kersley aboard, this horse is a genuine threat to win.

Consistent placegetterBuilding fitness for distanceExperienced jockeyGood middle barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
3
Sasterion
Barrier 1 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER9:0-1
Jockey:Lachlan King
Trainer:Tim Fitzsimmons

From the astute Matt Cumani stable, Te Taniwha is lightly raced and likely to appreciate the step up in distance. While unplaced so far, Cumani often improves his stayers with racing, and a good barrier provides options for E Walsh. This horse could be a sharp improver.

Promising stableLikely to relish distanceLightly raced with upsideInside barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
3
Te Taniwha
Barrier 3 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER3:0-0
Jockey:E Walsh
Trainer:Matt Cumani

From the astute Matt Cumani stable, Te Taniwha is lightly raced and likely to appreciate the step up in distance. While unplaced so far, Cumani often improves his stayers with racing, and a good barrier provides options for E Walsh. This horse could be a sharp improver.

Promising stableLikely to relish distanceLightly raced with upsideInside barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
4
Shaw Can Fly
Barrier 2 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER4:0-0
Jockey:Harry Coffey
Trainer:Danny O'brien

Danny O'Brien's Shaw Can Fly is another who should benefit from the longer trip, coming from a stable known for its staying prowess. While form figures don't jump off the page, Harry Coffey is a top jockey, and improvement is expected as the distance increases. Keep an eye on market support.

Top stable for stayersExperienced jockeySuited by distance riseInside barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
5
Carosoul
Barrier 10 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER1:0-0
Jockey:Luke Nolen
Trainer:Ken & Kasey Keys

Carosoul makes its second career start for the Ken & Kasey Keys stable with Luke Nolen in the saddle, which is a significant positive. While its debut was modest, the step up to 2112m could unlock potential, and the stable-jockey combination commands respect. Look for sharp improvement.

Top jockey booking (Nolen)Stable known for improving horsesSecond career start, upsideBreeding suggests staying
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
6
Mega Needs
Barrier 7 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER4:0-1
Jockey:Brad Rawiller
Trainer:Bob Challis

Mega Needs has a placing to its name and Brad Rawiller is a strong booking, especially in a maiden. The horse has shown some ability and the 2112m could be what it needs to break through. With a decent barrier, it could be in the finish.

Experienced jockey (Rawiller)Has shown some abilityDecent barrierCould appreciate distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
7
7
Without Fail
Barrier 9 · 131kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER4:0-1
Jockey:Mitchell Aitken
Trainer:Daniel McCarthy

Without Fail has a placing from four starts and Mitchell Aitken is a capable rider. The horse has been around the mark in previous runs and the step up to 2112m might suit its style. It's an each-way chance if it handles the trip.

Has a placingCapable jockeyCould handle distanceMid-range barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
9
Exceed And Believe
Barrier 8 · 131kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER2:0-0
Jockey:Logan Mcneil
Trainer:Carly Thomas

Only two starts to date, so there's potential for improvement, especially over a longer trip. Logan Mcneil is a decent jockey, but the form so far is uninspiring. This horse would need to show a big leap forward to be competitive.

Lightly racedPotential for improvementNeeds to lift significantlyOutside barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
7
10
Fintona's Soul
Barrier 11 · 130kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER1:0-0
Jockey:Craig Newitt
Trainer:Ken & Kasey Keys

First start for the Ken & Kasey Keys stable with Craig Newitt, which is a positive. However, it's only had one career start and is jumping straight to 2112m, which is a big ask. It's a speculative runner that would need a huge improvement.

Top jockey (Newitt)Strong stableBig step up in distanceUnproven at trip
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
5
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
11
Pitman
Barrier 5 · 130kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER7:0-0
Jockey:Liam Riordan
Trainer:Patrick Kearney

Pitman has had seven starts without a placing, which is a concern. While Liam Riordan is a capable jockey, the horse's form suggests it's struggling to find its best. It needs a significant turnaround to be a factor here.

Poor career formNeeds huge improvementCapable jockeyUnproven at distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
5
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
7
12
Tulchan
Barrier 13 · 131kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER12:0-0
Jockey:Cian Macredmond
Trainer:Annie Alexander

With twelve starts and no placings, Tulchan is a hard horse to recommend. While Cian Macredmond is on board, the horse's consistent failure to place makes it a significant outsider in this field. Needs a miracle to break through.

Extensive poor formNo career placingsWide barrierNeeds significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
7
13
Rockin' Dee Fox
Barrier 12 · 131kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Sheridan Clarke

This is a debutant stepping out over 2112m, which is an incredibly rare and challenging ask. With no form to go on and a wide barrier, it's very difficult to assess its chances. This horse is a complete unknown and a long shot.

First career startExtreme distance for debutNo form to assessWide barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
1
Distance Form
1
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
1
Weight Handicap
7
14
Wizardess
Barrier 9 · 127kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER3:0-0
Trainer:Jamie Edwards

Wizardess has had three starts with no placings and is stepping up to 2112m without a jockey listed, which is a major red flag. This horse appears to be making up the numbers and is highly unlikely to feature in the finish.

No jockey listedPoor career formUnproven at distanceOutside barrier
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
4
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
1
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
7

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