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Race 4Class 1 Handicap

TAB AGENTS ASSOCIATION OF NSW CLASS 1 HANDICAP ($29K)

TBA AEDT1006m29,00010 runners
AI Best Bet
#2 GorgeousJ: Jason Collett
Gorgeous was an impressive debut winner, showing good speed and a strong finish. Stepping up to Class 1, the inside draw and top jockey Jason Collett are significant advantages, suggesting he can maintain his perfect record. He looks to have the most upside in this field.
Impressive debut winnerExcellent barrier draw (2)Top jockey Jason CollettSignificant upside
Each-Way Value: Frostisen
88%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Class 1 Handicap over 1006m presents a competitive sprint with several last-start winners and lightly raced prospects. The short distance and likely fast pace will favour horses with early speed and good barrier draws. Look for those with strong recent form and a class edge to feature prominently.

AI Selections & Analysis (10 runners)

1
Gorgeous
Barrier 2 · 129kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER1:1-0
Jockey:Jason Collett
Trainer:David Pfieffer

Gorgeous was an impressive debut winner, showing good speed and a strong finish. Stepping up to Class 1, the inside draw and top jockey Jason Collett are significant advantages, suggesting he can maintain his perfect record. He looks to have the most upside in this field.

Impressive debut winnerExcellent barrier draw (2)Top jockey Jason CollettSignificant upside
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
10
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
2
Poisonous
Barrier 9 · 130kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER2:1-0
Jockey:Tommy Berry
Trainer:Bjorn Baker

Poisonous returns from a spell after a dominant maiden win. While the wide barrier is a concern over 1006m, the Bjorn Baker/Tommy Berry combination is potent, and he showed enough ability to suggest he can overcome it. His class and fresh legs make him a strong contender.

Strong maiden winnerBjorn Baker/Tommy Berry comboResuming with upsideGood career strike rate
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
9
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
3
Frostisen
Barrier 3 · 123kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER3:1-1
Jockey:Jay Ford
Trainer:Kim Waugh

Frostisen has shown good consistency, placing in two of three starts including a maiden win. The inside draw and Jay Ford are positives, and with Kim Waugh's stable in good form, he presents as a genuine each-way chance. He should be competitive at this level.

Consistent formGood barrier draw (3)In-form trainerProven at the distance
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
6
4
Bondasong
Barrier 4 · 129kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER4:1-0
Jockey:Alysha Collett
Trainer:Kim Waugh

Bondasong broke his maiden last start and looks to be improving. The barrier draw is favourable, and Alysha Collett is a capable rider. While facing tougher company, his recent win suggests he's found his form and could surprise at good odds.

Last start maiden winnerFavourable barrier (4)Improving formCapable jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
6
5
Hayek
Barrier 1 · 129kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER5:1-0
Jockey:Regan Bayliss
Trainer:Bjorn Baker

Hayek is another Bjorn Baker runner with a maiden win to his name, though it was a few starts back. The inside barrier is a huge plus, and Regan Bayliss is a strong rider. He needs to lift on recent efforts but has the talent to be in the finish if he brings his best.

Good barrier draw (1)Strong stableCapable jockeyCan improve on recent form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
6
6
All The Way Mae
Barrier 5 · 122kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER4:1-0
Jockey:Andrew Adkins
Trainer:Kerry Parker

All The Way Mae broke her maiden last start and now steps up in class. She has a decent barrier and Andrew Adkins in the saddle. While her overall career record isn't outstanding, the last start win suggests she's found her stride and could be competitive for a minor placing.

Last start maiden winnerDecent barrier (5)Improving formCapable jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
5
7
Charka
Barrier 6 · 122kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER6:1-0
Jockey:Keagan Latham
Trainer:Michael Freedman

Charka has been inconsistent but showed some ability when breaking maiden. The Michael Freedman stable is always respected, and Keagan Latham is a good rider. However, her overall form doesn't inspire huge confidence, making her a roughie with place claims at best.

Inconsistent formRespected stableCapable jockeyNeeds to find best form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
5
8
Charlina
Barrier 8 · 127kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER10:1-3
Jockey:Olivia Chambers
Trainer:Jason Attard

Charlina has had many starts for only one win, which is a concern in this field. While she has placed multiple times, her winning strike rate is low. The wide barrier is also a disadvantage, making her a long shot despite her experience.

Low winning strike rateWide barrier (8)Needs to improve significantlyPlenty of experience
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
9
Tides Turning
Barrier 7 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER7:1-1
Jockey:Mollie Fitzgerald
Trainer:Terry Croft

Tides Turning has a moderate career record and is stepping up in class after a maiden win. The wide barrier and relative inexperience at this level make it a tough ask. She will need to show significant improvement to be a factor here.

Moderate career recordWide barrier (7)Stepping up in classNeeds to improve
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
4
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
10
Missie Lee
Barrier 1 · 122kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER11:1-3
Jockey:Emma Ly
Trainer:Blake Ryan

Missie Lee has a very low winning strike rate from many starts and is yet to place at this distance. While she has a good barrier, her overall form suggests she will struggle against more progressive types. She is an outsider in this field.

Very low winning strike ratePoor distance formNeeds significant improvementOut of form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
4

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