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Race 1Maiden

THANK YOU TONY CROOK & JIM ADDISON MAIDEN ($14K)

TBA AEDT1408m14,0006 runners
AI Best Bet
#2 Buon AmiciJ: Keshaw Dhurun
Buon Amici stands out as the only runner with a career placing, albeit one. This horse has shown glimpses of ability and the step up to 1408m after a few runs this preparation looks ideal. With a good barrier and a jockey who knows the horse, this could be the day it breaks through.
Career placingGood barrier 2Ready for 1400mConsistent trainer
Each-Way Value: Royal Guardian
78%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Maiden race over 1408m presents a challenging puzzle, with all runners yet to break their maiden status and many showing limited form. The key will be finding a horse that has shown some improvement or has the pedigree to handle the distance, as many are still finding their feet. Jockey and trainer form will be crucial in guiding these unproven types.

AI Selections & Analysis (6 runners)

1
Buon Amici
Barrier 2 · 127kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER7:0-1
Jockey:Keshaw Dhurun
Trainer:Brett Drury

Buon Amici stands out as the only runner with a career placing, albeit one. This horse has shown glimpses of ability and the step up to 1408m after a few runs this preparation looks ideal. With a good barrier and a jockey who knows the horse, this could be the day it breaks through.

Career placingGood barrier 2Ready for 1400mConsistent trainer
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
4
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
2
Royal Guardian
Barrier 3 · 122kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER3:0-0
Jockey:Lucy Fiore
Trainer:Peter Fernie

Royal Guardian has shown some minor improvement in its three starts, and the Peter Fernie stable often gets the best out of its runners. The step up to 1408m could be exactly what this horse needs to hit its stride. With a top jockey aboard, it's a strong each-way chance in a weak maiden field.

Promising trainer/jockey comboGood barrier 3Ready for 1400mPotential for improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
3
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
6
3
Cannotstop
Barrier 6 · 127kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER1:0-0
Jockey:Lisa Staples
Trainer:Josh Brown

Cannotstop is a one-start maiden who didn't show much on debut, but often horses improve significantly with race experience. The trainer is capable, and with natural progression, this runner could surprise. It's a speculative runner with potential upside if it has matured.

Second career startImprovement expectedTrainer has a good strike rate
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
2
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
5
4
Lanta
Barrier 5 · 128kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER2:0-0
Jockey:Tash Faithfull
Trainer:David Smith

Lanta has had two starts without showing much, but the step up to 1408m might be beneficial given its breeding. The stable is capable, but the horse needs to show significant improvement to be a winning chance here. It's a speculative pick based on potential rather than current form.

Untried at distanceLimited career formTrainer capable of improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
1
Distance Form
2
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
5
Mad Spitfire
Barrier 1 · 128kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER4:0-0
Jockey:Rocky Cheung
Trainer:Brock Lewthwaite

Mad Spitfire has had four starts for no placings and very little prizemoney, indicating a lack of early speed or stamina. While barrier 1 is good, the horse's overall form suggests it will struggle to contend. This runner appears to be a long-term project for the stable.

Poor career recordNo prizemoney earnedNeeds significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
1
Distance Form
1
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5
6
So Many Stories
Barrier 4 · 123kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER7:0-0
Jockey:Elisha Whittington
Trainer:Phillip Naylor

So Many Stories has had seven starts without a placing and very little prizemoney, which is a significant concern. While the distance might suit, the consistent lack of competitive form makes it very hard to recommend. This horse needs to find multiple lengths to be in contention.

Extensive poor formNever placedNeeds to improve drastically
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
1
Distance Form
2
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
5

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