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Race 6Handicap

WESTMEATH BM78 HANDICAP ($27K)

TBA AEDT1207m27,00010 runners
AI Best Bet
#4 AleroJ: John Allen
Returning from a spell, Alero boasts an impressive win strike rate and has a strong fresh record. The inside barrier and top jockey John Allen for the Maher stable make her a formidable contender in this grade, despite the unknown of her current fitness.
Excellent fresh recordStrong win strike rateFavourable barrier drawTop jockey/trainer combination
Each-Way Value: Bedourie
85%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This BM78 Handicap over 1207m looks to be a competitive affair with several horses resuming from spells. The wide barriers for some key contenders could play a role, while those drawn inside might get a tactical advantage. Class and recent form will be crucial in deciphering the winner in this mid-grade sprint.

AI Selections & Analysis (10 runners)

1
Alero
Barrier 4 · 126kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER15:4-2
Jockey:John Allen
Trainer:Ciaron Maher

Returning from a spell, Alero boasts an impressive win strike rate and has a strong fresh record. The inside barrier and top jockey John Allen for the Maher stable make her a formidable contender in this grade, despite the unknown of her current fitness.

Excellent fresh recordStrong win strike rateFavourable barrier drawTop jockey/trainer combination
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
9
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
2
Bedourie
Barrier 7 · 119kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER9:2-1
Jockey:Linda Meech
Trainer:Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

Bedourie is lightly raced with a good win percentage and is from the astute Moody/Coleman stable. While the barrier is slightly awkward, Linda Meech is a strong rider and the horse has shown good ability, suggesting further improvement this preparation.

Promising lightly raced horseGood win strike rateLeading stableCapable jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
3
Salsa Fellow
Barrier 9 · 127kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER19:4-4
Jockey:Mitchell Aitken
Trainer:Henry Dwyer

Salsa Fellow has a solid career record and performs well fresh, making him a strong consideration here. The wide barrier is a slight concern, but Mitchell Aitken is a capable rider and the horse has shown he can overcome obstacles with his class.

Good fresh performerSolid career strike rateProven at this levelCapable jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
4
Raikoke
Barrier 10 · 132kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER17:3-1
Jockey:Olivia East
Trainer:Mick Price & Michael Kent Jnr

From a top stable, Raikoke has a decent win percentage and has earned good prizemoney. The wide barrier is a challenge, but if Olivia East can find cover, this horse has the class to be competitive first-up in this grade.

High prizemoney earnerTop stableDecent fresh recordProven at this level
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
6
5
Luna Cat
Barrier 3 · 122kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER43:6-6
Jockey:Dean Yendall
Trainer:Ben, Will & Jd Hayes

Luna Cat is a consistent performer with a good place record and comes from a strong stable. The inside barrier and Dean Yendall are positives, suggesting she can get a soft run and be thereabouts at the finish, especially if the pace is hot.

Consistent performerFavourable barrier drawStrong stableExperienced jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
5
6
Silver Cliff
Barrier 6 · 119kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER21:4-2
Jockey:Fred Kersley
Trainer:Patrick F Ryan Jnr

Silver Cliff has a fair win strike rate and a reasonable barrier draw, which could see him get into a good position. While not a standout, his consistency in similar races suggests he could be a place chance if he runs up to his best.

Fair win strike rateMid-range barrierConsistent at this levelCapable jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
5
7
Always Hapi
Barrier 8 · 121kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER41:6-6
Jockey:Harry Grace
Trainer:Vincent Malady

Always Hapi has a lot of experience and a decent win record, but the wide barrier makes his task harder. He will need a good ride from Harry Grace to overcome the draw and find a suitable position to make an impact in the straight.

Experienced campaignerDecent win recordWide barrier drawNeeds luck from the gate
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
4
8
Frose
Barrier 2 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER58:10-8
Jockey:Alana Kelly
Trainer:Jamie Barry

Frose is a very experienced horse with many starts and wins, but is stepping up in class here. While the inside barrier is a plus, her overall form and the class rise suggest she will find this a tough assignment against younger, more progressive types.

Highly experiencedGood barrier drawSignificant class riseVeteran campaigner
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
3
9
Thunderanlightning
Barrier 1 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER36:4-4
Jockey:Teo Nugent
Trainer:K M Elford

Thunderanlightning has a low win percentage but benefits from the inside barrier and a capable jockey in Teo Nugent. However, his career record suggests he might struggle to match the class of some of his rivals in this BM78 event.

Favourable barrier drawLow win percentageCapable jockeyStruggles at this level
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
3
10
Sunburnt
Barrier 5 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER61:6-8
Jockey:Brendon Newport
Trainer:Bill Cerchi

Sunburnt is a very honest horse with many starts but possesses the lowest win and place strike rates in the field. While he has a mid-range barrier, he appears to be outclassed in this event and is likely to find the competition too strong.

Very experiencedLowest win percentageOutclassed in this fieldNeeds significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
2
Distance Form
2
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
2
Jockey Form
2
Trainer Form
2
Weight Handicap
2

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