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Race 7Class 1 Plate

SOMMER'S FUEL SUPPLIES CLASS 1 PLATE ($19K)

TBA AEDT1408m19,00012 runners
AI Best Bet
#7 Mr BubbaluskiJ: Cejay Graham
Mr Bubbaluski stands out with significantly higher prizemoney earned, indicating superior class and ability despite only one win. With a solid barrier and a strong jockey aboard, this horse is a prime candidate to break through for another win here.
Significantly higher prizemoney ($115k)Solid career place rate (36%)Good barrier (7)Cejay Graham aboard
Each-Way Value: Kozak Prince
78%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This Class 1 Plate over 1408m presents a challenging field with many horses looking to improve their career records. Form is generally moderate across the board, suggesting a competitive race where barrier draw and jockey skill could be pivotal. The race lacks a standout, making it ripe for an each-way play.

AI Selections & Analysis (12 runners)

1
Mr Bubbaluski
Barrier 7 · 132kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER11:1-3
Jockey:Cejay Graham
Trainer:Jack Bruce

Mr Bubbaluski stands out with significantly higher prizemoney earned, indicating superior class and ability despite only one win. With a solid barrier and a strong jockey aboard, this horse is a prime candidate to break through for another win here.

Significantly higher prizemoney ($115k)Solid career place rate (36%)Good barrier (7)Cejay Graham aboard
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
8
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
9
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
2
Advance To Jaffa
Barrier 1 · 132kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER6:1-1
Jockey:Ashley Butler
Trainer:Billy Healey

Advance To Jaffa has a solid career strike rate for this class and draws the coveted rail. With a top jockey aboard and a trainer in form, this horse looks well-placed to contend for the win in a race lacking dominant figures.

Inside barrier (1)Solid career win rate (17%)Ashley Butler aboardTrainer Billy Healey in form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
3
Vandevelde
Barrier 6 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER4:1-0
Trainer:Paul Jenkins

Vandevelde has the highest career win percentage in the field, indicating untapped potential. Despite a lack of recent form data, if this horse is fit and ready, its proven ability makes it a strong contender, especially from a middle barrier.

Highest career win rate (25%)Low number of career starts (4R)Middle barrier (6)Potential for improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
4
Kozak Prince
Barrier 3 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER7:1-0
Jockey:Jake Bayliss
Trainer:Jamie Bayliss

Kozak Prince has an ideal barrier and a jockey who knows the horse well, which are significant advantages. With a respectable win rate for a Class 1 and potential for improvement, this horse represents good each-way value in a competitive field.

Ideal barrier (3)Jake Bayliss aboardRespectable win rate (14%)Potential for improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
5
Private Showtime
Barrier 9 · 128kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER11:1-1
Jockey:Dylan Turner
Trainer:G Heinrich & B Rodgers

Private Showtime has a moderate career record and a wide barrier draw to overcome. While the horse has shown glimpses of ability, the overall profile suggests a tough assignment, but could be a minor place chance if things go its way.

Wide barrier (9)Moderate career formLimited career placings
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
6
The Boss Man
Barrier 4 · 132kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER11:1-0
Jockey:Georgina Cartwright
Trainer:Dale Groves

The Boss Man has a favourable barrier and a capable jockey, which are positives. However, a low career place rate and overall moderate form suggest this horse will need to find a few lengths to be a serious threat for the top spots.

Good barrier (4)Low career place rate (9%)Moderate career form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
7
Midnight Miracle
Barrier 5 · 128kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER15:1-2
Jockey:Bella Youngberry
Trainer:Billy Healey

Midnight Miracle has a low career win rate but comes from a trainer who has another strong chance in the race. The middle barrier is acceptable, but the horse will need to show significant improvement on past performances to be a factor.

Low career win rate (7%)Trainer Billy HealeyMiddle barrier (5)
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
8
Albanian Beauty
Barrier 10 · 132kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER10:1-0
Jockey:Corey Sutherland
Trainer:Stephen Sutherland

Albanian Beauty faces a tough task from a wide barrier (10) and has a low career place percentage. While a Class 1 winner, the overall form suggests this horse will need significant improvement to feature against more competitive rivals here.

Wide barrier (10)Low career place rate (10%)Moderate jockey/trainer form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
6
9
Gas Brigade
Barrier 11 · 132kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER15:1-2
Jockey:Daniel Moor
Trainer:Jarred Coetzee

With a wide draw and a low career win rate, Gas Brigade is up against it here. Despite having a top jockey, the horse's overall form and limited success suggest it will struggle to make an impact in this field.

Wide barrier (11)Low career win rate (7%)Limited career placings
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
6
10
Kettlebell
Barrier 8 · 128kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER18:1-4
Jockey:Dale Smith
Trainer:Belinda Mair

Kettlebell has a very low career win rate and has had many starts for limited success. While the place rate is moderate, the horse's overall form suggests it will struggle to be competitive for a win in this Class 1 event.

Very low career win rate (6%)Many career starts (18R)Moderate place rate (28%)
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
6
11
State A Fact
Barrier 12 · 132kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER26:1-3
Trainer:Tim Hurley

State A Fact has an extremely low career win and place percentage over a large number of starts. From the widest barrier, this horse faces an almost insurmountable challenge and is unlikely to be competitive.

Widest barrier (12)Very low career win rate (4%)Many career starts (26R)
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
1
Track Form
2
Distance Form
2
Recent Form
2
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
5
12
Cafe Mocha
Barrier 2 · 128kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER27:1-1
Trainer:Lyn Paton

Cafe Mocha has the lowest career win and place percentages in the field, despite a high number of starts. While drawing an inside barrier, the horse's form is simply not good enough to be considered a threat in this race.

Lowest career win rate (4%)Lowest career place rate (7%)Many career starts (27R)
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
1
Distance Form
1
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
2
Jockey Form
2
Trainer Form
2
Weight Handicap
5

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