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Race 5Handicap

MRS MAC'S HANDICAP ($55K)

TBA AEDT1207m55,00011 runners
AI Best Bet
#2 Ladies ProJ: William Pike
Ladies Pro returns with an impressive career record and the services of William Pike, indicating strong stable confidence. Her excellent place strike rate and favorable barrier make her the top pick, despite the unknown of her current fitness. She is expected to be highly competitive and hard to beat.
William Pike aboardStrong career strike rateFavorable inside barrierTop stable form
Each-Way Value: Xentaro
88%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This MRS MAC'S HANDICAP over 1207m presents a competitive field with several progressive types and some resuming from spells. The presence of top jockeys like William Pike and Chris Parnham on promising horses suggests a strong contest, with barrier draws playing a crucial role on this track. Expect a solid tempo with a few horses looking to lead or sit handy, making it an intriguing race for punters.

AI Selections & Analysis (11 runners)

1
Ladies Pro
Barrier 2 · 128kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER3:1-1
Jockey:William Pike
Trainer:Grant & Alana Williams

Ladies Pro returns with an impressive career record and the services of William Pike, indicating strong stable confidence. Her excellent place strike rate and favorable barrier make her the top pick, despite the unknown of her current fitness. She is expected to be highly competitive and hard to beat.

William Pike aboardStrong career strike rateFavorable inside barrierTop stable form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
8
Distance Form
9
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
10
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
8
2
Xentaro
Barrier 4 · 129kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER6:2-0
Jockey:Chris Parnham
Trainer:Neville Parnham

Xentaro has shown good early career form with two wins from six starts and draws well with Chris Parnham in the saddle. The Parnham combination is always dangerous, and this horse looks to be stepping up nicely. He should get a comfortable run from barrier 4 and be right in the finish.

Chris Parnham jockeyGood career strike rateIdeal barrier drawConsistent form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
3
Roaming America
Barrier 8 · 129kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER4:2-0
Jockey:Jarrad Noske
Trainer:Mack Hall

Roaming America boasts the highest win percentage in the field from limited starts, suggesting significant talent. While the wider barrier is a slight concern, Jarrad Noske is a capable rider. If he can overcome the draw, his natural ability could see him challenging for the lead.

High win percentageProgressive typeCapable jockeyLightly raced with upside
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
4
Split The Gee
Barrier 1 · 129kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER9:2-0
Jockey:Lucy Fiore
Trainer:Luke Fernie

Split The Gee has a solid win record and draws the coveted rail, which is a significant advantage over this distance. With Lucy Fiore aboard, the horse should get every chance to dictate terms or sit close to the pace. If fit, he will be a strong contender.

Inside barrier advantageConsistent win recordCapable jockeyGood tactical speed
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
10
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
6
5
She's Capitana
Barrier 5 · 121kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER5:1-2
Jockey:Holly Nottle
Trainer:Adam Durrant

She's Capitana has a strong place strike rate and draws well in barrier 5, which should allow for a good run in transit. Trainer Adam Durrant's horses are always to be respected, and with any improvement, she could be a factor. Her consistency makes her an each-way chance.

High place strike rateAdam Durrant trainedFavorable barrierConsistent performer
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
6
6
Vandoula Jet
Barrier 11 · 123kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER3:1-1
Jockey:Steven Parnham
Trainer:Stefan Vahala

Vandoula Jet has a good win and place record from limited starts, suggesting potential. Steven Parnham is a solid jockey, but the wide barrier 11 will make her task harder over this distance. If she can overcome the draw, she has the talent to surprise.

Good career strike rateSteven Parnham jockeyLightly racedPotential for improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
7
Fiery Spark
Barrier 6 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER7:1-1
Jockey:Shaun Mcgruddy
Trainer:Steve Wolfe

Fiery Spark has a reasonable career record and draws a middle barrier, which can be advantageous. Shaun Mcgruddy is a capable rider, and trainer Steve Wolfe often has his horses ready. While not a standout, he could be competitive if he finds his best form.

Capable jockeyMiddle barrier drawExperienced trainerSolid career form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
5
8
Melody Fair
Barrier 3 · 121kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER3:1-0
Jockey:Natika Riordan
Trainer:Trevor Andrews

Melody Fair has a win from three starts and draws well in barrier 3, which could give her a good run. However, Natika Riordan is less experienced than some of the other jockeys, and the horse's overall form is still developing. She's a roughie with some upside if she can improve.

Inside barrierLightly racedWin from limited startsPotential for improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
5
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
5
9
God's Rapture
Barrier 10 · 126kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER9:1-0
Jockey:Holly Watson
Trainer:Ted Martinovich

God's Rapture has only one win from nine starts and faces a tough task from barrier 10. While Holly Watson is a promising apprentice, the overall form and wide draw make this horse a longshot. He would need significant improvement to feature here.

Poor career strike rateWide barrier drawNeeds to improve significantlyApprentice jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
4
10
Beau's A Lad
Barrier 7 · 126kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER15:1-1
Jockey:Shaun O'donnell
Trainer:Greg Cave

Beau's A Lad has a very low win percentage from many starts and faces a strong field here. The wide barrier and lack of recent competitive form make him a definite outsider. He would need a complete turnaround in form to be a factor.

Poor career strike rateWide barrier drawLack of recent formStepping up in class
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
3
Weight Handicap
3
11
Moon Jewel
Barrier 9 · 119kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER5:0-0
Jockey:Brandon Louis
Trainer:Petra Kobzova

Moon Jewel has shown no win or place form from five career starts and draws poorly in barrier 9. With minimal prizemoney and an unproven record, it's hard to make a case for her in this competitive handicap. She is a definite outsider.

No career placingsWide barrier drawLowest prizemoneyUnproven at this level
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
2
Track Form
1
Distance Form
1
Recent Form
1
Class Rating
2
Jockey Form
3
Trainer Form
2
Weight Handicap
2

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