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Race 10Stakes

TRESEMM SAPPHIRE STAKES ($206K)

TBA AEDT0m206,00014 runners
AI Best Bet
#11 Gangsta GrannyJ: James McDonald
Gangsta Granny is a standout performer with an impressive 45% win rate and 64% place rate from just 11 starts, indicating significant upside. The booking of James McDonald, arguably the best jockey in the world, is a massive plus, and the Hawkes stable consistently produces top-tier runners. Despite a slightly wide barrier, her class should prevail.
Exceptional career win rate (45%)Top jockey James McDonaldHigh-class M, W & J Hawkes stableProgressive profile
Each-Way Value: In Flight
85%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

The TRESEMM SAPPHIRE STAKES is a competitive Stakes race with a good mix of proven performers and emerging talent. With no distance specified, we'll assume a typical sprint distance for a Stakes race, which will heavily favour horses with strong recent form and high-class jockeys. The wide range of career win percentages suggests some horses are stepping up significantly in class, while others are proven at this level.

AI Selections & Analysis (14 runners)

1
Gangsta Granny
Barrier 11 · 125kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER11:5-2
Jockey:James McDonald
Trainer:M, W & J Hawkes

Gangsta Granny is a standout performer with an impressive 45% win rate and 64% place rate from just 11 starts, indicating significant upside. The booking of James McDonald, arguably the best jockey in the world, is a massive plus, and the Hawkes stable consistently produces top-tier runners. Despite a slightly wide barrier, her class should prevail.

Exceptional career win rate (45%)Top jockey James McDonaldHigh-class M, W & J Hawkes stableProgressive profile
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
6
Track Form
8
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
9
Class Rating
9
Jockey Form
10
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
2
Flying For Fun
Barrier 10 · 123kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER12:4-3
Jockey:Zac Lloyd
Trainer:Bryce Heys

In Flight has the highest career prizemoney in the field and an excellent place rate of 55%, indicating a high level of consistency and ability. Barrier 1 is a significant advantage, and Craig Williams is a top-tier jockey. Joseph Pride is a master trainer, making this horse a strong each-way prospect with a great chance to be in the finish.

Highest career prizemoneyExcellent place rate (55%)Ideal barrier draw (1)Top jockey Craig Williams
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
8
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
2
Spring Lee
Barrier 7 · 121kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER20:5-3
Jockey:Rachel King
Trainer:Bjorn Baker

In Flight has the highest career prizemoney in the field and an excellent place rate of 55%, indicating a high level of consistency and ability. Barrier 1 is a significant advantage, and Craig Williams is a top-tier jockey. Joseph Pride is a master trainer, making this horse a strong each-way prospect with a great chance to be in the finish.

Highest career prizemoneyExcellent place rate (55%)Ideal barrier draw (1)Top jockey Craig Williams
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
8
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
3
Splash Back
Barrier 2 · 126kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER18:7-2
Jockey:Jordan Childs
Trainer:Grahame Begg

Splash Back boasts an excellent career win percentage and place rate, indicating consistent performance. While the specific distance and track form are unknown, the high career stats suggest a horse capable of competing strongly in this class. Jockey Jordan Childs is in good form, adding to the appeal.

High career win rate (39%)Consistent place getter (50%)In-form jockey Jordan Childs
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
4
Catch The Glory
Barrier 5 · 125kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER15:6-2
Jockey:Adam Hyeronimus
Trainer:Jason Coyle

Catch The Glory has a very respectable career win rate of 40% and a good place rate, showing consistent ability. Barrier 5 is ideal for most sprint distances, and trainer Jason Coyle often has his horses ready to fire. This horse looks well-placed to run a strong race and could be a genuine contender.

Solid career win rate (40%)Favourable barrier draw (5)Consistent performer
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
7
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
5
Husk
Barrier 4 · 121kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER15:3-2
Jockey:Tyler Schiller
Trainer:M, W & J Hawkes

Husk comes from the strong M, W & J Hawkes stable, which is a major positive. While her career win rate is moderate, barrier 4 is excellent, and Tyler Schiller is a rising star in the riding ranks. With the stable's backing and a good gate, Husk could be a surprise packet and is one to watch closely.

Strong M, W & J Hawkes stableFavourable barrier draw (4)Promising jockey Tyler Schiller
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
6
6
Monte Supreme
Barrier 9 · 121kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER18:5-2
Jockey:Kerrin Mcevoy
Trainer:Bjorn Baker

Monte Supreme has a fair career win rate and a decent place rate, showing capability. With Kerrin McEvoy in the saddle for Bjorn Baker, there's always a chance for improvement. Barrier 9 is not ideal but manageable, and if the stable has him primed, he could run into the placings.

Experienced jockey Kerrin McEvoyReputable trainer Bjorn BakerConsistent career form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
6
6
Monte Kate
Barrier 8 · 121kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER25:6-4
Jockey:Jamie Melham
Trainer:Robert & Luke Price

Monte Supreme has a fair career win rate and a decent place rate, showing capability. With Kerrin McEvoy in the saddle for Bjorn Baker, there's always a chance for improvement. Barrier 9 is not ideal but manageable, and if the stable has him primed, he could run into the placings.

Experienced jockey Kerrin McEvoyReputable trainer Bjorn BakerConsistent career form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
6
10
She's Got Pizzazz
Barrier 11 · 123kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER15:3-3
Jockey:Luke Nolen
Trainer:Peter G Moody & Katherine Coleman

She's Got Pizzazz has a moderate career win rate but a fair place rate, suggesting she can be competitive on her day. However, barrier 11 is a tough draw, and while Luke Nolen is an experienced jockey, the overall profile indicates she might struggle to feature prominently against some of the stronger contenders from that gate.

Moderate career win rate (20%)Wide barrier draw (11)Experienced jockey
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
11
Infancy
Barrier 12 · 126kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER24:4-1
Jockey:Jason Collett
Trainer:Kris Lees

Infancy's career win and place percentages are lower than many rivals, and a wide barrier draw of 12 is a significant disadvantage in most sprint races. While Jason Collett is a top jockey, the horse's overall profile suggests this will be a tough assignment against stronger competition.

Low career win rate (17%)Wide barrier draw (12)Stepping up in class
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
11
In Flight
Barrier 1 · 123kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER22:8-4
Jockey:Craig Williams
Trainer:Joseph Pride

Infancy's career win and place percentages are lower than many rivals, and a wide barrier draw of 12 is a significant disadvantage in most sprint races. While Jason Collett is a top jockey, the horse's overall profile suggests this will be a tough assignment against stronger competition.

Low career win rate (17%)Wide barrier draw (12)Stepping up in class
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
6
12
Tiger Shark
Barrier 11 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER31:8-2
Trainer:Clayton Douglas

Tiger Shark has a reasonable number of career wins but a low place percentage, indicating inconsistency. The absence of a jockey listed is a concern, and barrier 11 makes the task even harder. This horse appears to be facing a very tough challenge in this Stakes race.

Low career place rate (32%)No jockey listed (major concern)Wide barrier draw (11)
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
1
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
13
Coco Jamboo
Barrier 3 · 123kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER30:4-3
Jockey:Ben Thompson
Trainer:Annabel & Rob Archibald

Coco Jamboo has the lowest career win and place percentages in the field, making this a significant step up in class. While barrier 3 is favourable, the overall form and prizemoney suggest this horse will be outclassed by many of the more accomplished runners in this Stakes event. Best watched on this occasion.

Lowest career win rate (13%)Lowest career place rate (23%)Significant class rise
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
3
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
6
14
More Territories
Barrier 6 · 121kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER17:2-1
Jockey:Dylan Gibbons
Trainer:Tom Charlton

More Territories has the lowest career win and place rates among the runners with a jockey, indicating a significant class gap. While barrier 6 is good, the overall form suggests this horse will struggle to keep up with the quality of this Stakes field. An outsider at best.

Lowest career win/place rates (with jockey)Significant class challengeLimited prizemoney
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
3
Distance Form
3
Recent Form
3
Class Rating
2
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
5

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