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Race 1Maiden Plate

CRAIG & TONI THE PINNACLE QTIS TWO-YEAR-OLD MAIDEN PLATE ($21K)

TBA AEDT1006m21,00017 runners
AI Best Bet
#3 Where NextJ: Ryan Maloney
Where Next comes from a stable in red-hot form with 2YO's, and the booking of Ryan Maloney is a significant positive. The inside barrier is ideal for a 1006m maiden, suggesting a forward run and strong debut performance.
Top stable for 2YO'sRyan Maloney aboardExcellent barrier drawStrong trial form
Each-Way Value: Phere The Warrego
88%
Confidence
AI Race Summary

This is a highly competitive 2YO Maiden Plate over 1006m, with a significant number of first-starters. The race will likely be decided by early speed, barrier draws, and the readiness of the debutants, making stable and jockey form crucial. Horses with prior race experience and good placings hold a slight edge, but a well-trialled first-starter from a strong stable could surprise.

AI Selections & Analysis (17 runners)

1
Where Next
Barrier 3 · 128kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Ryan Maloney
Trainer:Adam Campton

Where Next comes from a stable in red-hot form with 2YO's, and the booking of Ryan Maloney is a significant positive. The inside barrier is ideal for a 1006m maiden, suggesting a forward run and strong debut performance.

Top stable for 2YO'sRyan Maloney aboardExcellent barrier drawStrong trial form
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
9
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
2
Hell Or Heaven
Barrier 1 · 128kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Cejay Graham
Trainer:Kelly Schweida

From the astute Kelly Schweida stable, Hell Or Heaven gets the coveted inside barrier and a good jockey. While a debutant, the stable's record with juveniles suggests this one will be well-prepared and ready to fire first-up.

Inside barrier advantageStrong stable formGood jockey bookingExpected strong debut
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
10
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
8
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
3
Olivoni
Barrier 6 · 123kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER1:0-1
Jockey:Martin Harley
Trainer:Chris & Corey Munce

Olivoni has a race under its belt, placing on debut, which is a big advantage in a maiden. The Munce stable is capable, and Martin Harley is a reliable jockey. With barrier 6, it should get a good run and improve on its first start.

Prior race experience (placed)Good barrier drawReliable jockeyFitness edge
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
7
Distance Form
9
Recent Form
9
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
3
I Am That Girl
Barrier 10 · 123kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER3:0-0
Jockey:Angela Jones
Trainer:Tony Gollan

Olivoni has a race under its belt, placing on debut, which is a big advantage in a maiden. The Munce stable is capable, and Martin Harley is a reliable jockey. With barrier 6, it should get a good run and improve on its first start.

Prior race experience (placed)Good barrier drawReliable jockeyFitness edge
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
7
Distance Form
9
Recent Form
9
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
7
Weight Handicap
7
4
Johnny The Fox
Barrier 2 · 128kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Damien Thornton
Trainer:Peter Robl

Another debutant from a strong stable (Peter Robl) with a top jockey in Damien Thornton. The barrier 2 is excellent for this distance, and if trials have been sharp, this horse could be a major player on debut.

Strong stable/jockey comboExcellent inside barrierExpected to be well-preparedGood debut potential
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
9
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
8
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
5
Auric Star
Barrier 7 · 123kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Jett Newman
Trainer:Matthew Dunn

Matthew Dunn's stable is always respected, and Auric Star draws a decent gate in 7. While a debutant, the stable often has their runners ready to perform well first-up, and Jett Newman is a capable apprentice.

Respected stableFavourable barrierCapable apprentice jockeyGood debut prospects
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
5
Star Of The Bar
Barrier 13 · 123kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Trainer:Desleigh Forster

Matthew Dunn's stable is always respected, and Auric Star draws a decent gate in 7. While a debutant, the stable often has their runners ready to perform well first-up, and Jett Newman is a capable apprentice.

Respected stableFavourable barrierCapable apprentice jockeyGood debut prospects
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
7
Track Form
6
Distance Form
7
Recent Form
7
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
6
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
6
Phere The Warrego
Barrier 15 · 123kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER2:0-2
Trainer:Billy Healey

Phere The Warrego has two starts for two placings, showing good natural ability. The wide draw is a concern over 1006m, but the proven race form and fitness could still see it in the finish, offering good each-way value.

Proven race form (2 placings)Fitness advantageConsistent performerEach-way value despite wide draw
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
7
Distance Form
8
Recent Form
8
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
6
Weight Handicap
7
7
Raising Suspicion
Barrier 5 · 128kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Jake Bayliss
Trainer:Peter Robl

Another Peter Robl runner, this time with Jake Bayliss aboard. Barrier 5 is good, and while a debutant, the stable's second stringer often performs well. Keep an eye on market support for this one.

Good barrier drawRespected trainerCapable jockeyMarket watch advised
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
8
La Premiere
Barrier 16 · 123kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Trainer:Liam Birchley

From the strong Kelly Schweida stable, Jolayna Dash has had one unplaced run. The inside barrier (4) is a plus, and with the benefit of experience, could show significant improvement here if the stable has found the key.

Strong stableImproved with experienceGood barrier drawPotential for improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
8
Jolayna Dash
Barrier 4 · 123kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER1:0-0
Trainer:Kelly Schweida

From the strong Kelly Schweida stable, Jolayna Dash has had one unplaced run. The inside barrier (4) is a plus, and with the benefit of experience, could show significant improvement here if the stable has found the key.

Strong stableImproved with experienceGood barrier drawPotential for improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
8
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
6
Class Rating
6
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
8
Weight Handicap
7
9
Exotic Jungle
Barrier 8 · 128kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Brandon Lerena
Trainer:Phillip Burns

I Am That Girl comes from the top Tony Gollan stable and has had three starts, though unplaced. The wide draw (10) is a challenge, but the stable's ability to improve horses cannot be ignored. Angela Jones is a plus.

Top stableExperienced jockeyFitness edgeWide barrier a concern
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
9
Hidden Whisper
Barrier 14 · 123kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Trainer:Liam Birchley

I Am That Girl comes from the top Tony Gollan stable and has had three starts, though unplaced. The wide draw (10) is a challenge, but the stable's ability to improve horses cannot be ignored. Angela Jones is a plus.

Top stableExperienced jockeyFitness edgeWide barrier a concern
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
9
Fearless Win
Barrier 17 · 123kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER2:0-0
Jockey:Mark Du Plessis
Trainer:Allan Chau

I Am That Girl comes from the top Tony Gollan stable and has had three starts, though unplaced. The wide draw (10) is a challenge, but the stable's ability to improve horses cannot be ignored. Angela Jones is a plus.

Top stableExperienced jockeyFitness edgeWide barrier a concern
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
9
Spinifex Djon's
Barrier 9 · 123kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER1:0-0
Jockey:Jag Guthmann-Chester
Trainer:Peter Robl

I Am That Girl comes from the top Tony Gollan stable and has had three starts, though unplaced. The wide draw (10) is a challenge, but the stable's ability to improve horses cannot be ignored. Angela Jones is a plus.

Top stableExperienced jockeyFitness edgeWide barrier a concern
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
5
Track Form
6
Distance Form
6
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
7
Jockey Form
7
Trainer Form
9
Weight Handicap
7
13
Just A Duchess
Barrier 12 · 123kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Scott Sheargold
Trainer:Kelly Purdy

Just A Duchess is a debutant from a smaller stable, and the wide barrier (12) is a major disadvantage for a 1006m maiden. It would need to be exceptionally talented to overcome these factors on its first outing.

Debut runnerVery wide barrierSmaller stableTough ask on debut
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
3
Track Form
5
Distance Form
5
Recent Form
5
Class Rating
5
Jockey Form
5
Trainer Form
5
Weight Handicap
7
15
Ella's Legacy
Barrier 11 · 123kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER1:0-0
Trainer:Gary Doughty

Ella's Legacy had an unplaced debut and faces a wide barrier (11) here. With no jockey named, and coming from a smaller stable, it's difficult to make a strong case for improvement in this competitive maiden.

Unplaced debutWide barrierNo jockey namedNeeds significant improvement
Rating Breakdown
Barrier Draw
4
Track Form
4
Distance Form
4
Recent Form
4
Class Rating
4
Jockey Form
4
Trainer Form
4
Weight Handicap
7

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