Race 3Maiden Plate

RAY WHITE PAKENHAM & OFFICER MAIDEN PLATE ($31K)

TBA AEDT0m31,00011 runners

AI Best Bet

#8 There Were RosesJ: Jamie Mott

There Were Roses has placed in one of three starts and comes from a high-strike-rate stable with a top jockey aboard. With natural progression and a fair barrier, she appears to be the most promising runner in this maiden field and is a strong winning chance.

Strong stable and jockey combinationGood placing strike rateScope for improvement

Each-Way Value: Avenue Montaigne

85%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This Maiden Plate at Pakenham, with an unknown distance, presents a challenging puzzle. Many runners are still finding their feet, with several having limited starts and yet to break through. Form lines are generally weak, suggesting a race where improvement or a favorable setup could be key to success.

AI Selections & Analysis (11 runners)

There Were Roses

Barrier 8 · 127kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER3:0-1

Jockey:Jamie Mott

Trainer:Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young

Strong stable and jockey combinationGood placing strike rateScope for improvement

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Brightly Dance

Barrier 2 · 127kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER2:0-1

Jockey:Thomas Stockdale

Trainer:Jerome Hunter

Brightly Dance has placed in one of her two starts, showing immediate ability. The inside barrier is a major plus, and from a solid stable, she looks to be one of the key contenders with scope for further improvement.

Good recent form (placed in 50% starts)Excellent barrier drawProgressive runner

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Avenue Montaigne

Barrier 1 · 127kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER4:0-1

Jockey:Jordan Childs

Trainer:Grahame Begg

Avenue Montaigne has shown some promise with a placing from four starts and comes from a strong stable. The inside barrier is a significant advantage, and with natural improvement, she could be a strong each-way chance in this field.

Good barrier drawPromising stableHas placed previously

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Top Liner

Barrier 9 · 127kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER0:0-0

Jockey:Jake Noonan

Trainer:Alexander Rae

As a first-starter, Top Liner is an unknown quantity. While the trainer can produce winners, without any trial form or race experience, it's difficult to assess her chances against horses with race experience, making her a speculative play.

First-starterNo prior form to assessTrainer capable of debut winners

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Barrier Draw

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Bon Aurelia

Barrier 4 · 128kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER7:0-1

Jockey:Logan Mcneil

Trainer:Lisa Jones

With seven starts and only one placing, Bon Aurelia has had ample opportunities but hasn't delivered. The barrier is fair, but she'll need to show significant improvement to be a winning chance against this field.

Only one placing from seven startsStruggling to break maidenAverage barrier

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Kaddari

Barrier 6 · 128kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER21:0-4

Jockey:Luke Cartwright

Trainer:Belinda Dunn

With 21 starts and no wins, Kaddari is a perennial maiden. While he has placed four times, his inability to break through suggests he's likely to find a few better again, despite a reasonable barrier.

21 starts, no winsStruggling to win a maidenHas placed previously

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Bling Baby

Barrier 3 · 128kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER3:0-0

Jockey:Jackie Beriman

Trainer:Brian Mcgrath

This filly has shown very little in three starts, with no placings. While the barrier is decent, there's nothing in her form to suggest she's ready to win this maiden, making her a roughie at best.

No career placingsLimited career startsForm not inspiring

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Lady San Chez

Barrier 5 · 128kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER20:0-1

Jockey:Valentin Le Boeuf

Trainer:Ernie Francese

Lady San Chez has had 20 starts for only one placing, which is a significant red flag in a maiden. This suggests she lacks the necessary ability to win, and it's hard to see her improving enough to contend here.

20 starts, no winsPoor career strike rateLack of winning desire

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Gottaluvsport

Barrier 10 · 128kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER6:0-0

Trainer:Ricardo Meunier

Six starts for no placings is a major concern, and the wide barrier of 10 further complicates matters. Without a jockey named, it's hard to have any confidence in this runner, making them a definite outsider.

No placings from six startsWide barrier drawJockey not declared

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Jupiter's Girl

Barrier 7 · 128kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER2:0-0

Jockey:Emily Pozman

Trainer:Nick Harnett

Two starts for no placings means Jupiter's Girl is still very green and unproven. While improvement is possible, there's nothing on paper to suggest she'll be competitive here, making her a speculative choice.

Limited career startsNo placings yetUnproven form

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Flying Riches

Barrier 11 · 127kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER2:0-0

Jockey:Ben Kennedy

Trainer:Rachael Cunningham

With two starts for no placings and very limited prizemoney, Flying Riches is a significant outsider. The wide barrier draw further diminishes any chances, suggesting this horse is likely to struggle.

Limited career startsNo placingsWide barrier draw

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