Race 4Maiden Plate

CENTRAL COAST MG SUPER MAIDEN PLATE ($41K)

TBA AEDT1106m41,0009 runners

AI Best Bet

#3 Revolutionary StarJ: Regan Bayliss

From the powerful Waterhouse/Bott stable, this runner showed good early speed on debut in a stronger race. With natural improvement and a favourable inside draw, it's primed to break its maiden here. The top jockey booking further enhances its prospects.

Top stable formStrong debut runInside barrier advantageLeading jockey aboard

Each-Way Value: Gamp

88%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This Maiden Plate over 1106m presents a fascinating challenge, with several well-bred horses from top stables making their second or third starts, alongside a few debutants. The short distance and maiden status suggest a fast-paced race where early speed and barrier draws will be crucial. Expect a competitive affair with a few strong contenders vying for their first win.

AI Selections & Analysis (9 runners)

Revolutionary Star

Barrier 3 · 129kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER1:0-0

Jockey:Regan Bayliss

Trainer:Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott

Top stable formStrong debut runInside barrier advantageLeading jockey aboard

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Gamp

Barrier 1 · 126kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER8:0-5

Jockey:Tyler Schiller

Trainer:M, W & J Hawkes

This Hawkes-trained gelding has been knocking on the door, placing in 5 of 8 starts, often in stronger company. The inside barrier is a huge plus, and he brings the most race experience and consistent place form to this field. He looks a strong each-way play.

Consistent placegetterStrong career place strike rateInside barrier drawDrops in class slightly

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Dirty Summer

Barrier 4 · 129kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER1:0-1

Jockey:Deon Le Roux

Trainer:Jim & Greg Lee

Placed on debut, this runner showed good potential and has drawn favourably in barrier 4. With natural improvement from its first start and a trainer who can get them ready, it's a strong contender here. The jockey is capable, and it should get a good run.

Placed on debutFavourable barrier drawScope for improvementProven at distance

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Fernweh

Barrier 5 · 129kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER4:0-1

Jockey:Adam Hyeronimus

Trainer:Joseph Pride

From the Joseph Pride stable, this mare has had a few starts and shown glimpses of ability, including a placing. The consistent jockey booking is a positive, and if she finds her best form, she could be competitive here. Needs to improve slightly but has the stable backing.

Consistent jockeyExperienced in maidensStable in good formMid-field barrier

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Stellaa Lass

Barrier 6 · 125kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER1:0-1

Jockey:Jay Ford

Trainer:Kim Waugh

Debuted with a promising second place, suggesting she has ability. The Kim Waugh stable is reliable, and Jay Ford is an experienced rider. With only one start under her belt, she has significant scope for improvement and could surprise at good odds.

Placed on debutScope for improvementExperienced jockeyGood barrier draw

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Tigletta

Barrier 8 · 125kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER8:0-2

Jockey:Rachel King

Trainer:Bjorn Baker

While from a top stable and with a good jockey, Tigletta has had 8 starts without a win, often finding one or two better. Her place strike rate is modest, and the wide barrier makes her task harder. She'll need to produce her career best to figure prominently.

Top stable/jockey comboExtensive maiden experienceWide barrier drawStruggles to win

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Oakfield Kansas

Barrier 2 · 125kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER0:0-0

Jockey:Reece Jones

Trainer:Damien Lane

This is a debutant from the Damien Lane stable, which can produce winners. With no form to go on, it's a speculative pick, but the inside barrier and Reece Jones booking are positives. Watch market support closely, but it's a tough ask first-up in a competitive maiden.

First startInside barrierJockey in formNo exposed form

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Obsidian Dream

Barrier 9 · 125kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER1:0-0

Jockey:Andrew Adkins

Trainer:Joseph Pride

Had a tough debut run and finished well back, suggesting it needs significant improvement. The wide barrier draw makes it even harder to find a good position. While from a good stable, it's hard to recommend based on its first outing.

Poor debut runWide barrierNeeds significant improvementTougher task here

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Acquaro

Barrier 7 · 130kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER1:0-0

Trainer:Fabio Martino

Showed nothing on debut and finished last, indicating it's likely outclassed here. The wide barrier doesn't help, and there's little to suggest a significant turnaround in form. Hard to make a case for this runner in a competitive maiden.

Poor debut performanceWide barrierNo form to recommendOutclassed

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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