Race 3Handicap

BLAKES MARINE HANDICAP ($69K)

TBA AEDT1609m69,00011 runners

AI Best Bet

#7 AlmaazJ: James McDonald

Almaaz, under the guidance of Chris Waller and James McDonald, stands out as the best pick despite being a maiden. Her consistent placings and strong trial form suggest she's ready to break through, and the step up to 1600m should suit. The top jockey and trainer combination adds significant confidence.

Waller/McDonald combinationConsistent placingsSuited by 1600mGood barrier draw

Each-Way Value: Jade Sunset

78%

Confidence

AI Race Summary

This BLAKES MARINE HANDICAP is a maiden race over 1609m, featuring a field of unraced or lightly raced horses with no wins to their name. The race is wide open, with several runners showing some promise in their limited starts or trials, making it a challenging but potentially rewarding betting proposition for those who can identify the improvers. Look for horses with strong jockey/trainer combinations and those who have shown ability to run on over a mile.

AI Selections & Analysis (11 runners)

Almaaz

Barrier 7 · 128kg · Form: —

LOW RISK

CAREER4:0-1

Jockey:James McDonald

Trainer:Chris Waller

Waller/McDonald combinationConsistent placingsSuited by 1600mGood barrier draw

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Barrier Draw

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Jade Sunset

Barrier 3 · 120kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER6:0-2

Jockey:Alysha Collett

Trainer:Tracey Bartley

Jade Sunset has shown glimpses of ability with two placings from six starts, often running on well. The inside barrier and Alysha Collett's riding could see her get a soft run and finish strongly. She represents good each-way value in a race lacking dominant winners.

Inside barrierGood finishing effortsExperienced jockeySuited by 1600m

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Canjustify

Barrier 5 · 120kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER3:0-0

Jockey:Tyler Schiller

Trainer:Richard Litt

Canjustify is lightly raced and showed improvement in his last start. The step up to 1600m looks ideal, and with Tyler Schiller in the saddle, he could surprise. His trainer Richard Litt often gets the best out of his stayers, making him a strong contender.

Progressive formSuited by 1600mIn-form jockeyTrainer excels with stayers

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Barrier Draw

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Demmo Dermy

Barrier 1 · 130kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER2:0-1

Jockey:Jay Ford

Trainer:Edward Cummings

Demmo Dermy has placed in one of his two starts and comes from a stable that can produce winners. The inside barrier is a plus, and with Jay Ford aboard, he could be an improver at a good price. He's still learning but has shown enough to be considered.

Inside barrierPromising debutSolid jockey bookingScope for improvement

Rating Breakdown

Barrier Draw

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Lontrice

Barrier 2 · 130kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER2:0-0

Jockey:Zac Lloyd

Trainer:M, W & J Hawkes

Lontrice hails from the powerful Hawkes stable and has Zac Lloyd in the saddle, suggesting some ability. While unplaced in two starts, the stable's reputation and the jockey's form cannot be ignored. Improvement is expected as she steps up in distance.

Hawkes stableZac Lloyd aboardScope for improvementGood barrier

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Barrier Draw

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Wormington

Barrier 9 · 123kg · Form: —

MEDIUM RISK

CAREER5:0-2

Jockey:Siena Grima

Trainer:Ross Mcconville

Wormington has placed twice from five starts, showing some consistency in a maiden grade. While her form isn't sparkling, she has been competitive and could sneak into the placings with a clean run. The wide barrier is a concern, but she's not without a chance.

Consistent minor placingsExperienced in maidensCould run onLightly weighted

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Barrier Draw

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Tormanzor

Barrier 6 · 126kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER3:0-0

Jockey:Mollie Fitzgerald

Trainer:Annabel & Rob Archibald

Tormanzor is still learning his craft but comes from a respected stable. His form has been moderate so far, but the step up to 1600m could unlock improvement. He's a roughie who needs to show significant progress to be a factor.

Respected stableScope for improvementSteps up in distance

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Barrier Draw

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Iron Legend

Barrier 11 · 122kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER5:0-0

Jockey:Tommy Berry

Trainer:Chris Waller

Another Waller runner, Iron Legend has had five starts without placing. While the stable is strong and Tommy Berry is a top jockey, his form hasn't been inspiring. He needs to find significant improvement to be competitive here, but the stable switch could spark something.

Waller stableTommy Berry aboardNeeds to improve significantly

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Barrier Draw

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Propane

Barrier 10 · 125kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER3:0-0

Jockey:Ashley Morgan

Trainer:Kim Waugh

Propane has been unplaced in three starts and has a wide barrier to contend with. While Kim Waugh is a capable trainer, this horse needs to show a lot more than he has so far to be in the finish. He's a definite outsider.

Wide barrierUninspiring formNeeds significant improvement

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Barrier Draw

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Miss Peony

Barrier 4 · 120kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER6:0-0

Jockey:Andrew Calder

Trainer:Paul & Martha Cave

Miss Peony has had six starts without placing and her form suggests she's a long way off a win. While she has a reasonable barrier, her overall performance history makes her a rank outsider in this field. She would need a miraculous turnaround.

Poor career formNeeds vast improvementUnlikely to feature

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Barrier Draw

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All Star

Barrier 8 · 121kg · Form: —

HIGH RISK

CAREER8:0-0

Jockey:Jean Van Overmeire

Trainer:Fabio Martino

All Star has had the most starts in the field (8) without placing, which is a significant red flag. His form is consistently poor, and despite a reasonable barrier, it's hard to see him being competitive against this field. He's the rank outsider.

Extensive poor formNo placings in 8 startsHighly unlikely to win

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Barrier Draw

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