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Race 4Plate

IDS SECURITY PLATE ($22K)

TBA AEDT1006m22,00013 runners
AI Best Bet
#2 Giddy GirlJ: Ryan Houston
This filly has the most race experience among those with a place record, showing ability with a 33% place rate from three starts. Drawing barrier 2 with a jockey who has ridden her before provides a solid foundation for a maiden win.
78%
Confidence

AI Selections & Analysis (13 runners)

1
Giddy Girl
Barrier 2 · 126kg · Form:
LOW RISK
CAREER3:0-1
Jockey:Ryan Houston
Trainer:Annabel & Rob Archibald

This filly has the most race experience among those with a place record, showing ability with a 33% place rate from three starts. Drawing barrier 2 with a jockey who has ridden her before provides a solid foundation for a maiden win.

2
Weasel Sea
Barrier 5 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER2:0-1
Jockey:Jason Maskiell
Trainer:Jason Warren

With two starts for one placing, Weasel Sea has shown some promise and has a 50% place rate. The Jason Warren stable is capable, and a good barrier draw of 5 enhances her chances in this field of mostly first-starters.

3
Bee Admired
Barrier 4 · 126kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER2:0-1
Jockey:Beau Mertens
Trainer:Charlotte Littlefield

Also boasting a 50% place rate from two starts, Bee Admired is another with proven race experience that puts her ahead of the debutants. The booking of Beau Mertens is a positive, and barrier 4 is ideal for a 1006m sprint.

4
Kung Fu Kid
Barrier 4 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Daniel Stackhouse
Trainer:Anthony & Sam Freedman

As a first-starter from the potent Anthony & Sam Freedman yard, Kung Fu Kid commands respect, especially with Daniel Stackhouse aboard. Despite no public form, the stable's reputation for producing ready two-year-olds makes him a strong contender from barrier 4.

5
Alcaraz
Barrier 1 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Lachlan Neindorf
Trainer:Mark Walker

This debutant hails from the Mark Walker stable, which often has its runners well-prepared, and has a good jockey in Lachlan Neindorf. Barrier 1 is a significant advantage for a first-starter over 1006m, suggesting he can get a soft run.

6
Longreach Drover
Barrier 4 · 130kg · Form:
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER7:0-2
Jockey:Valentin Le Boeuf
Trainer:Frankie Stockdale

While having more starts than most (7), his 29% place rate and lack of wins suggest he's a consistent place-getter rather than a winner. The wide barrier 12 is a concern, but he does have race fitness on his side.

7
Torokawa
Barrier 9 · 126kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER1:0-0
Jockey:Patrick Moloney
Trainer:Shane Nichols & Hayden Black

Torokawa has had one start for an unplaced effort, so there's some race experience but no demonstrated ability yet. Patrick Moloney is a good jockey, but the wide barrier 9 makes it a tougher assignment.

8
Risky Whisky
Barrier 3 · 130kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Trainer:Michael & Luke Cerchi

A first-starter with no publicly declared jockey at the time of analysis, which adds an element of uncertainty. While barrier 3 is good, the lack of information makes him a speculative roughie.

9
Terrax
Barrier 6 · 130kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Logan Bates
Trainer:Cindy Alderson

This debutant from the Cindy Alderson stable has a decent barrier in 6, but without any public trial or jumpout form, it's hard to assess his chances. He's a complete unknown and therefore a roughie.

10
Steam Rolled
Barrier 7 · 130kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Dylan Dunn
Trainer:Mark Stephenson

A first-starter with a wide barrier of 7 and no public form to assess. Dylan Dunn is a capable jockey, but the overall profile points to a tough debut in a competitive maiden.

11
Donebravo
Barrier 13 · 130kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER7:0-0
Jockey:Celine Gaudray
Trainer:Doug Harrison

With seven starts for no placings, Donebravo's form is concerning, and the wide barrier 13 makes it even harder to improve. This horse appears to be struggling to find form.

12
Venatrix
Barrier 5 · 126kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER0:0-0
Jockey:Teo Nugent

A first-starter with no trainer listed, which is a significant red flag for a debutant. While Teo Nugent is a good jockey and barrier 5 is favourable, the lack of trainer information makes her a rank outsider.

13
Planet Mars
Barrier 8 · 131kg · Form:
HIGH RISK
CAREER16:0-1
Jockey:Ben Kennedy
Trainer:J R Dore

With 16 starts for only one placing and a 0% win rate, Planet Mars has shown very little ability to win. The wide barrier 8 further diminishes any slim chances in this field.

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