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Race 9No class restriction. Set Weights. Three-Years-Old. No sex restriction. Set Weights & Penalties.

ATC AUSTRALIAN DERBY

TBA AEDT2400m1,950,00011 runners
AI Best Bet
#1 ObserverJ: James McDonald
This horse is the clear standout with exceptional form, high Win/Place percentages, and significant prizemoney. The combination of James McDonald, Ciaron Maher, and a good barrier makes it the top pick.
88%
Confidence

AI Selections & Analysis (11 runners)

1
Observer
Barrier 1 · 56.5kg · Form: 5x2311x113
LOW RISK
CAREER10:5-2
Jockey:James McDonald
Trainer:Ciaron Maher

This horse is the clear standout with exceptional form, high Win/Place percentages, and significant prizemoney. The combination of James McDonald, Ciaron Maher, and a good barrier makes it the top pick.

2
Storm Leopard Tommy Berry Ben, Will &
Barrier 5 · 56.5kg · Form: 412151
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER6:3-1
Jockey:Jd Hayes

Boasts a strong win rate and recent form, indicating good potential for this distance. While lacking a top-tier jockey, its consistent performance suggests it can be a strong contender.

3
Road To Paris (NZL) Zac Purton R James &
Barrier 2 · 56.5kg · Form: 71L6221
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER7:2-2
Jockey:R Wellwood

Despite a recent unplaced run, prior form shows consistency with a good win and place percentage. The inside barrier and Zac Purton's booking are significant advantages, making it a strong chance.

4
Kaye Jay
Barrier 10 · 56.5kg · Form: 2143
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER4:1-1
Jockey:Mark Zahra
Trainer:Clayton Douglas

An improving horse with limited starts but a good place percentage and recent win. Mark Zahra jumping aboard suggests a genuine each-way chance if it can handle the step up in distance.

5
Green Spaces Rachel King
Barrier 3 · 56.5kg · Form: 15x411x662
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER9:3-1
Jockey:Bjorn Baker

Has shown flashes of good form with multiple wins, but recent runs have been inconsistent. Rachel King is a capable jockey, giving it an each-way hope if it brings its best.

6
Savisanta (NZL)
Barrier 8 · 56.5kg · Form: 22236x1852
MEDIUM RISK
CAREER9:1-4
Jockey:Ben Melham
Trainer:Chris Waller

Consistently places but struggles to win, indicated by its high place percentage but low win rate. Chris Waller can improve horses, making it a possible each-way if it finds extra for the distance.

7
Victorious Spirit
Barrier 9 · 56.5kg · Form: 231x348
HIGH RISK
CAREER6:1-1
Jockey:Luke Nolen
Trainer:Peter Moody & Katherine Coleman

Has shown some ability to place but lacks winning form and is stepping up in class. Luke Nolen is a good jockey, but the wide barrier and inconsistent form make it a roughie.

8
Bingi
Barrier 11 · 56.5kg · Form: 13177x956
HIGH RISK
CAREER8:2-0
Jockey:Michael Dee
Trainer:Peter Moody & Katherine Coleman

Inconsistent form with a few wins but also some poor recent runs, and a wide barrier draw. Needs to find significant improvement to be competitive here, making it a roughie.

9
Deal Done Fast
Barrier 4 · 56.5kg · Form: 2443x57
HIGH RISK
CAREER6:0-1
Jockey:Damian Lane
Trainer:Matt Cumani

Yet to win a race and recent form is uninspiring against this caliber of opposition. While Damian Lane is a top jockey, the horse's winless record makes it a rank outsider.

9
One Step Closer Zac Lloyd
Barrier 6 · 56.5kg · Form: x51044x034
HIGH RISK
CAREER10:1-0
Jockey:Tom Charlton

Yet to win a race and recent form is uninspiring against this caliber of opposition. While Damian Lane is a top jockey, the horse's winless record makes it a rank outsider.

11
Dezignation Tyler Schiller
Barrier 13 · 56.5kg · Form: 05312575
HIGH RISK
CAREER8:1-1
Jockey:Matthew Smith

Has the lowest prizemoney and a wide barrier, coupled with inconsistent and generally poor form. It appears to be significantly outclassed in this high-quality race.

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